Realized P&L
+$219
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
14
Trades
6,604
lifetime
Volume
$55.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 05:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
75% 83% +$42
Crypto
13%
Politics
8% 100% +$176
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +210 $111 99¢ $207 +$96 06-22 13:14
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,699 $181 $127 $-53 07-16 01:32
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,467 $144 $123 $-21 07-20 02:49
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes +182 $123 65¢ $118 $-5 07-20 18:32
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes +1,433 $102 $108 +$6 07-17 03:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,920 $183 $106 $-78 07-17 17:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +420 $84 22¢ $90 +$6 07-13 21:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +76 $63 94¢ $71 +$7 07-20 09:55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +238 $49 28¢ $65 +$16 07-08 12:12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +2,917 $63 $63 +$0 07-18 09:05
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +60 $54 92¢ $55 +$1 07-20 13:57
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $56 $53 $-3 07-20 19:03
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $54 18¢ $52 $-2 06-07 02:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +111 $40 40¢ $45 +$5 06-24 05:54
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $26 22¢ $45 +$19 06-23 06:15
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes +112 $46 39¢ $43 $-2 06-28 16:42
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $25 11¢ $42 +$17 07-20 13:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -330 $-61 12¢ $-38 +$24 06-16 07:25
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No -58 $-31 61¢ $-36 $-4 06-16 16:28
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? Yes -50 $-13 69¢ $-34 $-22 06-10 21:38
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +50 $32 68¢ $34 +$2 06-23 06:36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? Yes +600 $30 $33 +$3 07-05 07:51
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? Yes +92 $4 34¢ $31 +$27 06-18 04:50
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? Yes +88 $27 35¢ $31 +$4 07-16 15:05
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $28 29¢ $29 +$0 06-23 06:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +283 $41 10¢ $28 $-13 07-01 04:52
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +233 $19 11¢ $26 +$6 07-11 13:01
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes +175 $21 14¢ $24 +$3 07-19 10:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +424 $26 $24 $-3 07-21 01:45
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $-3 50¢ $21 +$24 06-15 14:55