Realized P&L
+$219
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
14
Trades
5,847
lifetime
Volume
$48.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 17:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
79% 83% +$42
Crypto
13%
Politics
8% 100% +$176
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +210 $111 68¢ $142 +$30 06-22 13:14
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes +223 $150 64¢ $141 $-9 06-30 14:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,303 $152 $111 $-41 06-30 21:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +308 $120 32¢ $100 $-20 06-26 05:38
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +100 $74 85¢ $85 +$11 06-29 20:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No -58 $-37 100¢ $-57 $-20 05-27 20:51
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $54 18¢ $54 +$0 06-07 02:20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +111 $40 48¢ $53 +$13 06-24 05:54
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? Yes +178 $36 26¢ $46 +$11 06-26 15:50
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027? Yes -50 $-13 90¢ $-45 $-32 06-10 21:38
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -330 $-61 14¢ $-45 +$17 06-16 07:25
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No -58 $-31 74¢ $-43 $-12 06-16 16:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $40 $42 +$2 06-19 13:50
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +455 $35 $41 +$6 06-07 22:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes +300 $45 14¢ $41 $-5 06-22 19:46
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $26 20¢ $39 +$13 06-23 06:15
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? Yes +92 $4 40¢ $37 +$33 06-18 04:50
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? Yes +112 $46 26¢ $29 $-16 06-28 16:42
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +225 $19 12¢ $27 +$8 06-07 13:55
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +123 $57 21¢ $26 $-31 06-23 10:45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +50 $32 52¢ $26 $-6 06-23 06:36
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $28 26¢ $26 $-3 06-23 06:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? Yes -530 $-32 $-22 +$10 05-27 22:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-05 10:44
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-20 14:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 06-09 19:17
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $15 36¢ $20 +$5 06-05 08:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +462 $20 $20 $-1 06-30 19:23
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +9,545 $-9 $19 +$28 06-18 15:55
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +168 $16 11¢ $18 +$2 06-28 17:26