Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$710
Trades
60
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$951
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-09 08:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $4 | $32 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $1 | $80 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 26 | $1 | $90 | $89 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | +42 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 08-09 08:19 |
| Soggy-Reorganisation 0x68dc…a9c8 | No | +36 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-11 10:41 |
| Rich-Habit 0xfb08…ee59 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-27 02:36 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-07 06:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-06 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +2 | $0 | $2 | 4 | 06-20 14:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:19:54 | (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xeb07b3… |
| 08-09 08:19:54 | (anonymous) 0xe4f3…5500 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xeb07b3… |
| 08-09 08:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | BUY | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x1e6a57… |
| 08-09 08:10:06 | (anonymous) 0xfeb7…8a08 | No | SELL | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x1e6a57… |
| 08-07 06:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x886c7b… |
| 08-07 06:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xd491…a2c2 | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x886c7b… |
| 08-07 06:15:49 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x886c7b… |
| 08-07 06:07:22 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x9d8163… |
| 08-07 06:07:22 | (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9d8163… |
| 08-07 06:07:22 | (anonymous) 0xba3e…e35e | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x9d8163… |
| 08-06 12:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x5dd2…1105 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x4edb02… |
| 08-06 12:52:15 | (anonymous) 0xeaea…dc4a | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x4edb02… |
| 08-06 12:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x351f…aa01 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x1e76a4… |
| 08-06 12:04:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x1e76a4… |
| 08-06 07:03:59 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6e54f5… |
| 08-06 07:03:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6e54f5… |
| 08-06 07:03:59 | (anonymous) 0x7c8b…e57d | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x6e54f5… |
| 08-06 06:42:12 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x6bcaa7… |
| 08-06 06:42:12 | (anonymous) 0x8342…78c9 | No | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0x6bcaa7… |
| 08-06 06:21:14 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe87ba3… |
| 08-06 06:21:14 | (anonymous) 0x7019…a0b5 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xe87ba3… |
| 08-05 09:43:00 | (anonymous) 0x7089…9ed3 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xfbe5b0… |
| 08-05 09:43:00 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xfbe5b0… |
| 08-04 03:58:48 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x53520e… |
| 08-04 03:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x0bce…8f18 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x53520e… |
| 08-03 13:19:26 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc4e8b5… |
| 08-03 13:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x51bc…3f4b | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xc4e8b5… |
| 08-03 13:14:26 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x596fdb… |
| 08-03 13:14:26 | (anonymous) 0x4055…8e4b | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x596fdb… |
| 08-01 12:15:57 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x15ad35… |
| 08-01 12:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x6315…2755 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x15ad35… |
| 08-01 11:40:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb28185… |
| 08-01 11:40:35 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb28185… |
| 08-01 11:40:35 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…91e4 | No | SELL | 39 | 92¢ | $36 | 0xb28185… |
| 07-19 14:18:46 | Optimal-Cantaloupe 0x0784…f127 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x8b3780… |
| 07-19 14:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8b3780… |
| 07-18 13:57:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xefa6c0… |
| 07-18 13:57:21 | Third-Vampire 0xb991…ba03 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xefa6c0… |
| 07-11 01:21:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8d64ce… |
| 07-11 01:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x3541…b4b1 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x8d64ce… |
| 07-09 21:33:40 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc28abd… |
| 07-09 21:33:40 | Wise-Current 0x878a…134d | Yes | SELL | 378 | 4¢ | $15 | 0xc28abd… |
| 07-09 21:33:40 | Weird-Sensitivity 0x6594…9a61 | No | SELL | 288 | 96¢ | $276 | 0xc28abd… |
| 07-02 06:47:11 | Intrepid-Grandfather 0x4f68…0714 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7f545a… |
| 07-02 06:47:11 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x7f545a… |
| 06-27 02:36:02 | (anonymous) 0xd948…3f20 | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x1210fa… |
| 06-27 02:36:02 | Rich-Habit 0xfb08…ee59 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x1210fa… |
| 06-20 14:03:13 | (anonymous) 0xd948…3f20 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x55163b… |
| 06-20 14:03:13 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x55163b… |
| 06-19 02:47:43 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x1083d6… |
| 06-19 02:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1083d6… |
| 06-19 02:46:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1a26d7… |
| 06-19 02:46:46 | (anonymous) 0xd948…3f20 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x1a26d7… |
| 06-11 10:41:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x1dc2f0… |
| 06-11 10:41:04 | Soggy-Reorganisation 0x68dc…a9c8 | No | BUY | 36 | 92¢ | $33 | 0x1dc2f0… |
| 06-11 10:41:04 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x1dc2f0… |
| 06-09 09:00:43 | Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x55138d… |
| 06-09 09:00:43 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x55138d… |
| 05-30 20:14:25 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | No | SELL | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xcdd7d7… |
| 05-30 20:14:25 | Buoyant-Friendship 0x567e…e2d2 | No | BUY | 34 | 92¢ | $31 | 0xcdd7d7… |