(anonymous) 0xe8c428…f0ea5c
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
1,258
Trades
25,351
lifetime
Volume
$316.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$509
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 10-29 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
60% 69% -$1,010
Politics
23% 65% -$518
Crypto
9% 60% -$70
Tech
5% 72% -$191
Sports
3% 67% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $118 42¢ $85 -$33 10-29 14:26
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +80 $68 84¢ $67 -$1 10-27 22:36
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +80 $50 60¢ $48 -$3 10-29 02:42
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +80 $59 57¢ $46 -$13 10-29 14:16
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +51 $50 88¢ $45 -$5 10-27 23:54
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +200 $44 22¢ $44 $0 10-27 18:07
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +100 $30 28¢ $28 -$2 10-29 17:37
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +120 $31 22¢ $27 -$4 10-27 00:35
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +200 $31 9¢ $19 -$12 10-26 12:21
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +34 $16 46¢ $15 -$1 10-28 09:59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +100 $2 15¢ $15 +$13 10-29 17:52
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$1 10-29 17:50
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +50 $8 18¢ $9 +$1 10-28 19:00
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? Yes -25 -$5 29¢ $-7 -$2 10-27 07:57
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $16 16¢ $7 -$9 10-25 23:00
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +8 $5 72¢ $6 +$1 10-28 22:52
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $10 12¢ $6 -$4 10-26 21:47
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +5 $2 86¢ $4 +$2 10-27 18:05
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $3 87¢ $4 +$0 07-13 15:13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +4 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 07-24 14:45
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$1 95¢ $3 +$4 08-13 19:39
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$0 07-15 01:09
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 10-27 17:29
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 09-18 08:24
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$1 08-19 06:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +1 -$3 91¢ $1 +$4 07-13 23:45
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +30 $6 2¢ $1 -$6 10-06 19:39
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +30 $4 2¢ $1 -$4 10-06 19:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +1 $0 40¢ $0 +$0 09-14 08:07
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +4 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 08-20 17:01