António Guterres out by December 31?
open
Total volume
$441
$14 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$2,216
Latest YES mid
24¢
Latest NO mid
76¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-30 11:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $18 | $42 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $14 | $10 | +$4 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $6 | $157 | $151 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $11 | $2 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $20 | $19 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $18 | $171 | $153 |
| Median | 3 | — | $17 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | $11 | $4 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +93 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 07-25 20:33 |
| Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | +50 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-30 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd59e…8d3f | Yes | +36 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 00:40 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 07-25 23:27 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +26 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-31 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-25 23:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-25 23:27 |
| Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 07:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:02:06 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x72ffdb… |
| 07-30 11:02:06 | Adored-Turning 0x3a5a…3427 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x72ffdb… |
| 07-25 23:33:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x15b7aa… |
| 07-25 23:33:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x15b7aa… |
| 07-25 23:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x15b7aa… |
| 07-25 23:33:25 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x15b7aa… |
| 07-25 23:33:25 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 97 | 75¢ | $73 | 0x15b7aa… |
| 07-25 23:27:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xe80b8f… |
| 07-25 23:27:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xe80b8f… |
| 07-25 23:27:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0xe80b8f… |
| 07-25 23:27:46 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | SELL | 65 | 78¢ | $51 | 0xe80b8f… |
| 07-25 21:45:25 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x7da751… |
| 07-25 21:45:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x7da751… |
| 07-25 20:33:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x994b7d… |
| 07-25 20:33:16 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x994b7d… |
| 07-25 20:32:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 15¢ | $13 | 0x517f71… |
| 07-25 20:32:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x517f71… |
| 07-25 20:32:52 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 116 | 85¢ | $98 | 0x517f71… |
| 07-03 07:44:16 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0x30603e… |
| 07-03 07:44:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x30603e… |
| 07-03 07:44:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x30603e… |
| 07-02 03:59:43 | Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xd77788… |
| 07-02 03:59:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0xd77788… |
| 06-13 21:05:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xd19071… |
| 06-13 21:05:49 | Faint-Activation 0x21f5…8c10 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xd19071… |
| 05-31 23:12:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xe76162… |
| 05-31 23:12:21 | Faint-Activation 0x21f5…8c10 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xe76162… |
| 05-31 00:40:51 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 13 | 72¢ | $10 | 0x504f9d… |
| 05-31 00:40:51 | (anonymous) 0xd59e…8d3f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x504f9d… |
| 05-31 00:40:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x504f9d… |