Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
81
lifetime
Volume
$385
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$101
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 07-02 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
14% 100% +$12
Crypto
10%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +172 $18 $15 $-3 07-02 04:00
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -12 $-10 92¢ $-12 $-1 06-26 14:12
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +84 $10 $6 $-4 06-26 14:15
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -37 $-6 16¢ $-6 +$0 06-01 18:00
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes -47 $-6 11¢ $-5 +$2 06-01 17:59
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -78 $-3 $-4 $-2 06-01 17:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-5 38¢ $-4 +$1 06-15 02:02
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -29 $-5 14¢ $-4 +$1 06-01 18:00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -18 $-5 20¢ $-4 +$1 06-16 13:23
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -17 $-4 22¢ $-4 +$0 07-02 03:59
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes -29 $-6 12¢ $-4 +$2 06-01 17:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes -30 $-9 12¢ $-4 +$6 05-28 23:12
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -40 $-4 $-3 +$1 05-30 16:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -44 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-15 03:01
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes -34 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-04 00:48
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 30¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 23:47
António Guterres out by December 31? Yes -11 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 07-02 03:59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 27¢ $-3 +$3 05-28 23:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -72 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-01 17:47
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes -18 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-02 22:48
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -36 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-15 02:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -37 $-2 $-2 +$1 05-29 00:01
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes -72 $-3 $-1 +$1 05-28 23:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -27 $-4 $-1 +$3 05-29 00:00
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? Yes -40 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-29 00:00