Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
open
Total volume
$2,741
$800 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$3,518
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-08-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-08 14:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $15 | $487 | $472 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $13 | $500 | $487 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $14 | $561 | $547 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $6 | $215 | $208 |
| Median | 7 | $3 | $15 | $12 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $122 | $122 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $185 | $180 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $10 | $87 | $77 |
| unranked | 7 | $14 | $925 | $910 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thoughtful-Uniform 0x91f0…f8d6 | No | +527 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 06-04 03:38 |
| Decimal-Trafficker 0x5605…9e5c | No | +328 | $308 | $308 | 1 | 05-30 22:27 |
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +195 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 06-03 06:52 |
| Tasty-Garb 0x0182…9ffe | Yes | +158 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 11:14 |
| Milky-Codepage 0x3e26…3edf | Yes | +131 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 15:42 |
| Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | +120 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 06-05 11:14 |
| Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | +119 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-08 14:52 |
| Agonizing-Anniversary 0xb1aa…16cf | No | +107 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 06-01 08:15 |
| Marvelous-Revenue 0x9c9c…c3b3 | No | +107 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-05 11:14 |
| Monthly-Oversight 0xd7db…569d | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-08 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | +95 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 06-06 12:21 |
| Gleeful-Pantyhose 0x2f9f…894f | Yes | +48 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 03:38 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | +35 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-31 21:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +32 | $1 | $11 | 11 | 06-08 14:52 |
| Careless-Sample 0x6bea…bf97 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 08:13 |
| Tense-Mill 0xaf6d…f13b | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-27 20:06 |
| Sympathetic-Nod 0xf07d…3dec | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 17:47 |
| Outrageous-Highland 0xcf5a…09d3 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-04 06:59 |
| Dizzy-Cue 0xcdc2…b5fb | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 22:38 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 22:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Monthly-Oversight 0xd7db…569d | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-08 14:52:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 95¢ | $41 | 0xa9ee28… |
| 06-06 12:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x5e4138… |
| 06-06 12:21:31 | Guilty-Backbone 0x142e…db22 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x5e4138… |
| 06-05 15:42:58 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x02abe6… |
| 06-05 15:42:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x02abe6… |
| 06-05 15:42:58 | Milky-Codepage 0x3e26…3edf | Yes | BUY | 131 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x02abe6… |
| 06-05 15:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 81 | 92¢ | $75 | 0x02abe6… |
| 06-05 11:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x2b422a… |
| 06-05 11:14:10 | Tasty-Garb 0x0182…9ffe | Yes | BUY | 158 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x2b422a… |
| 06-05 11:14:10 | Marvelous-Revenue 0x9c9c…c3b3 | No | BUY | 107 | 94¢ | $101 | 0x2b422a… |
| 06-05 11:14:10 | Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | BUY | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0x2b422a… |
| 06-05 11:14:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x2b422a… |
| 06-04 17:47:25 | Sympathetic-Nod 0xf07d…3dec | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0058a9… |
| 06-04 17:47:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0058a9… |
| 06-04 16:51:39 | Rotating-Fault 0x405b…755c | No | SELL | 52 | 95¢ | $50 | 0xe749da… |
| 06-04 16:51:39 | Sentimental-Kale 0x9153…297a | Yes | SELL | 52 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xe749da… |
| 06-04 06:59:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x394214… |
| 06-04 06:59:00 | Outrageous-Highland 0xcf5a…09d3 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x394214… |
| 06-04 03:39:21 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x2d306d… |
| 06-04 03:39:21 | Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x2d306d… |
| 06-04 03:38:55 | Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa54603… |
| 06-04 03:38:55 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa54603… |
| 06-04 03:38:42 | Unfit-Boutique 0xd0b7…fa4b | No | SELL | 35 | 93¢ | $33 | 0x21120f… |
| 06-04 03:38:42 | Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | BUY | 35 | 93¢ | $33 | 0x21120f… |
| 06-04 03:38:36 | Disguised-Tomtom 0xd0bb…fcf9 | No | BUY | 48 | 93¢ | $45 | 0x216644… |
| 06-04 03:38:36 | Gleeful-Pantyhose 0x2f9f…894f | Yes | BUY | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x216644… |
| 06-04 03:38:33 | International-Mezzanine 0x7cd3…21a8 | No | SELL | 134 | 94¢ | $126 | 0x71baf6… |
| 06-04 03:38:33 | Tremendous-Divide 0xe154…0b7f | Yes | BUY | 96 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x71baf6… |
| 06-04 03:38:33 | Thoughtful-Uniform 0x91f0…f8d6 | No | BUY | 527 | 95¢ | $500 | 0x71baf6… |
| 06-04 03:38:33 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 296 | 95¢ | $281 | 0x71baf6… |
| 06-03 22:57:39 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb85bdd… |
| 06-03 22:57:39 | International-Mezzanine 0x7cd3…21a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb85bdd… |
| 06-03 22:38:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2a2f1c… |
| 06-03 22:38:27 | Dizzy-Cue 0xcdc2…b5fb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2a2f1c… |
| 06-03 13:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x1fd6…b788 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xdaefba… |
| 06-03 13:22:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xdaefba… |
| 06-03 06:52:56 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | SELL | 195 | 94¢ | $184 | 0x96fcda… |
| 06-03 06:52:56 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 195 | 94¢ | $184 | 0x96fcda… |
| 06-02 09:34:37 | Quick-Sausage 0x9c8d…a4d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xb46747… |
| 06-02 09:34:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb46747… |
| 06-01 08:15:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x9fca77… |
| 06-01 08:15:37 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | SELL | 24 | 94¢ | $22 | 0x9fca77… |
| 06-01 08:15:37 | Agonizing-Anniversary 0xb1aa…16cf | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x9fca77… |
| 06-01 08:13:11 | Careless-Sample 0x6bea…bf97 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x280b75… |
| 06-01 08:13:11 | Agonizing-Anniversary 0xb1aa…16cf | No | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x280b75… |
| 06-01 08:13:11 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x280b75… |
| 06-01 00:56:13 | Wilted-Oboe 0xb556…8865 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1d8723… |
| 06-01 00:56:13 | Careless-Sample 0x6bea…bf97 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1d8723… |
| 05-31 21:06:19 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x94ca8a… |
| 05-31 21:06:19 | Sentimental-Kale 0x9153…297a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x94ca8a… |
| 05-31 06:28:59 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x2f33f2… |
| 05-31 06:28:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2f33f2… |
| 05-30 22:27:37 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | SELL | 317 | 94¢ | $298 | 0x13d98c… |
| 05-30 22:27:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x13d98c… |
| 05-30 22:27:37 | Decimal-Trafficker 0x5605…9e5c | No | BUY | 328 | 94¢ | $308 | 0x13d98c… |
| 05-29 00:00:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x581006… |
| 05-29 00:00:27 | Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x581006… |
| 05-29 00:00:17 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xbd2ce1… |
| 05-29 00:00:17 | Blond-Grace 0x97b1…1a63 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xbd2ce1… |
| 05-29 00:00:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbd2ce1… |
| 05-29 00:00:17 | Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xbd2ce1… |
| 05-27 20:06:54 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x011bc8… |
| 05-27 20:06:54 | Tense-Mill 0xaf6d…f13b | No | BUY | 25 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x011bc8… |