Key-Jogging — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

950

lifetime

Volume

$70.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-12 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$1

Politics

24% 100% +$2

Sports

12% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$5.4K	2,730	2,730	+0	open	—	04-27 03:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$4.4K	2,428	1,963	+465	open	—	03-31 02:45
Netanyahu out by April 30?	15	$4.1K	2,090	2,090	+0	open	—	04-12 02:52
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	27	$3.3K	1,872	1,519	+353	open	—	04-27 19:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	23	$2.6K	1,326	1,326	+0	open	—	04-25 12:19
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	35	$2.4K	2,596	0	+2,596	open	—	07-05 22:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	14	$2.4K	1,206	1,206	+0	open	—	04-04 07:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$2.2K	1,139	1,139	+0	open	—	04-13 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	5	$2.1K	968	1,179	-211	open	—	04-14 22:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-06 16:43
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	04-17 01:23
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	05-08 05:22
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	12	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-12 21:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	4	$1.6K	854	854	+0	open	—	04-20 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$1.5K	785	785	+0	open	—	05-15 17:05
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	32	$1.5K	1,087	1,077	+10	open	—	08-12 23:17
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	9	$1.3K	895	447	+447	open	—	07-13 07:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	11	$1.3K	987	534	+452	open	—	08-12 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$1.2K	783	783	+0	open	—	05-02 19:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	14	$1.2K	619	619	+0	open	—	05-29 22:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$1.0K	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	04-20 17:51
will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	19	$919	947	0	+947	open	—	06-30 04:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$832	203	635	-432	open	—	06-17 17:02
Netanyahu out by June 30?	3	$803	102	719	-617	open	—	06-25 21:59
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	14	$800	430	430	+0	open	—	06-24 20:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	7	$799	404	404	+0	open	—	08-14 05:21
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	7	$608	310	310	+0	open	—	07-16 14:25
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	2	$507	512	0	+512	open	—	08-11 23:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$505	256	256	+0	open	—	03-30 19:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$496	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 23:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 05:21:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	404	100¢	$404	0x4c1088…
08-14 01:48:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x6b5b50…
08-12 23:17:55	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xea139b…
08-12 18:35:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	29	84¢	$24	0x6b45ae…
08-12 11:49:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	68	92¢	$63	0x49aa7f…
08-12 11:23:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x450fd7…
08-12 07:02:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xa18b6d…
08-11 23:30:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x76ac6a…
08-11 23:26:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x1b5d7f…
08-11 23:17:54	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	405	99¢	$401	0x01e8ff…
08-11 23:17:25	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x1469e7…
08-11 14:29:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x2a0f85…
08-11 03:04:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x4e317b…
08-10 21:11:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xf5d847…
08-10 20:49:31	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd32f82…
08-10 20:18:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x457f3f…
08-10 20:14:58	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x4944c6…
08-09 21:54:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x94135e…
08-09 21:50:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x537f4b…
08-09 00:34:10	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0x637b83…
08-08 21:46:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x990d69…
08-08 19:48:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	30	82¢	$24	0xe8288b…
08-08 11:15:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xe232ce…
08-07 14:19:40	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	107	94¢	$101	0xa38f8c…
08-07 06:24:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x2ca49d…
08-06 20:08:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x702495…
08-06 12:30:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x49ae14…
08-05 22:19:27	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	193	75¢	$145	0x5a2842…
08-05 22:14:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0xb8fd77…
08-05 22:12:41	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	178	72¢	$128	0xd6e122…
08-05 13:03:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	250	85¢	$212	0x134b5c…
08-04 22:30:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	189	83¢	$157	0x2a8f7a…
08-04 22:13:47	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	22	71¢	$16	0x7a703f…
08-04 22:03:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0xf5fa7c…
08-04 22:02:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xc9c600…
08-04 21:50:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xf31e75…
08-04 21:09:29	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x17771c…
08-04 19:45:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd0cf0d…
08-04 19:33:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x951214…
08-04 16:38:29	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0x145021…
08-04 15:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0xd1d042…
08-04 15:47:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5fff3f…
08-04 14:46:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x0536c2…
08-04 14:17:20	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x713ef5…
08-04 14:09:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x6b7c0a…
08-04 13:47:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	466	70¢	$326	0x0eff0b…
08-04 07:27:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x6bcaf9…
08-03 20:16:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x69b2bc…
08-02 15:21:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x4b9cc0…
08-02 15:20:44	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0xfdf1eb…
08-01 17:18:27	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x43612a…
08-01 16:56:50	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4d34d0…
08-01 15:53:56	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x09d3a9…
08-01 14:47:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xaf165c…
08-01 14:23:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x1d0782…
08-01 13:10:29	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xa34d9f…
08-01 12:27:05	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0xf79de1…
08-01 12:26:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x7d42eb…
08-01 12:17:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x15fca3…
08-01 12:16:44	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x2fe6e0…
08-01 12:11:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0x6514a7…
08-01 12:11:17	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0b2259…
08-01 12:08:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	155	65¢	$101	0x6d9f93…
08-01 11:50:11	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	142	70¢	$99	0xd5bf64…
08-01 11:44:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xa30080…
08-01 11:25:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x845d2b…
08-01 11:09:08	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x404178…
08-01 11:05:06	iran leadership change by august 31 669	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xac69db…
08-01 11:01:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x75e7a0…
08-01 10:58:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	133	76¢	$101	0x9dd858…
08-01 10:38:54	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0x7cfd15…
08-01 10:36:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x41f89c…
07-31 10:41:50	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x948430…
07-30 21:57:54	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x8e5d93…
07-30 20:51:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5aaec7…
07-30 17:41:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd916f9…
07-30 00:08:11	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	No	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0x532b5f…
07-29 22:06:30	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xf48022…
07-29 18:40:50	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xbb3831…
07-29 18:28:06	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x0f34f6…
07-27 23:05:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdce1d0…
07-27 06:11:00	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xda3edf…
07-27 05:54:57	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x49babc…
07-27 04:41:33	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd3d60…
07-27 04:41:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xa8ae76…
07-25 09:18:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0xe9dc6e…
07-24 20:21:15	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xe50f6c…
07-23 22:50:43	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x71b105…
07-23 08:15:45	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x07bc75…
07-22 10:37:24	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x57b587…
07-22 09:34:31	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	No	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xae2a8d…
07-22 07:35:27	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x584857…
07-21 23:05:49	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x504a70…
07-20 04:40:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	235	92¢	$216	0x0143f4…
07-19 21:24:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte1	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5ebffc…
07-19 21:17:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x722321…
07-19 18:27:10	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x6e9150…
07-18 07:01:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0xfff25c…
07-18 07:01:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xdc95ec…
07-17 22:57:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x49a5db…