Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$174
Trades
32
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$414
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-29 10:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $7 | $54 | $47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | $5 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | $54 | $47 |
| Below median | 5 | $0 | $37 | $36 |
| unranked | 5 | $5 | $9 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +67 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 07-29 10:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +33 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-29 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-29 10:18 |
| Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-01 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 15:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 12:16 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 07:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 10:18:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xdd2c47… |
| 07-29 10:18:15 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 38 | 80¢ | $31 | 0xdd2c47… |
| 07-29 10:18:15 | Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | BUY | 67 | 80¢ | $53 | 0xdd2c47… |
| 07-29 10:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xdd2c47… |
| 07-20 09:37:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x9e4932… |
| 07-20 09:37:06 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x9e4932… |
| 07-13 11:10:53 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 32 | 85¢ | $27 | 0x6cae1e… |
| 07-13 11:10:53 | Infatuated-Immortal 0x2bee…0b93 | No | SELL | 32 | 85¢ | $27 | 0x6cae1e… |
| 07-11 07:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xfa0688… |
| 07-11 07:22:26 | (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xfa0688… |
| 06-11 13:34:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x701289… |
| 06-11 13:34:25 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x701289… |
| 06-11 12:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe10b71… |
| 06-11 12:16:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe10b71… |
| 06-01 15:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf37323… |
| 06-01 15:56:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf37323… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc6f8b9… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xd7964c… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc6f8b9… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd7964c… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x4b1cc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc3cdc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4b1cc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8cfcd8… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x8cfcd8… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc3cdc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:41 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x38a1de… |
| 06-01 15:52:41 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x38a1de… |
| 06-01 13:49:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27773c… |
| 06-01 13:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x27773c… |
| 06-01 13:49:39 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xacf1c7… |
| 06-01 13:49:39 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xacf1c7… |