Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$23
Trades
22
Unique wallets
7
Liquidity
$414
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-11 13:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $6 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 13:34 |
| Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-01 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 15:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 12:16 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 13:34:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x701289… |
| 06-11 13:34:25 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x701289… |
| 06-11 12:16:55 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | SELL | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe10b71… |
| 06-11 12:16:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xe10b71… |
| 06-01 15:56:30 | (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf37323… |
| 06-01 15:56:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf37323… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc6f8b9… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc6f8b9… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xd7964c… |
| 06-01 15:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xd7964c… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x4b1cc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8cfcd8… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x3231…07c2 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc3cdc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4b1cc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x8cfcd8… |
| 06-01 15:52:43 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc3cdc3… |
| 06-01 15:52:41 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x38a1de… |
| 06-01 15:52:41 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x38a1de… |
| 06-01 13:49:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x27773c… |
| 06-01 13:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xf4ea…c42f | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x27773c… |
| 06-01 13:49:39 | Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xacf1c7… |
| 06-01 13:49:39 | Soggy-Sanity 0xeea7…d491 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xacf1c7… |