Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$196.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.3K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
1,046
Trades
29,086
lifetime
Volume
$9.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$324
Open exposure
$109.6K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 235 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$197,190
Other
39% 71% -$10,716
Sports
4% 65% +$11,775
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 0% —
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +79,897 $21,990 44¢ $34.8K +$12,806 10-24 00:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +21,236 $15,851 86¢ $18.2K +$2,370 10-09 05:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +97,648 $21,546 18¢ $18.1K -$3,482 10-23 07:53
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 99¢ $9.7K +$6,914 07-11 00:14
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 86¢ $-6943 -$1,161 08-26 21:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 92¢ $6.1K +$6,643 10-24 21:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5,000 $2,628 96¢ $4.8K +$2,196 10-04 22:25
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,474 $4,173 97¢ $4.3K +$155 10-13 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +3,230 $2,725 96¢ $3.1K +$373 10-10 04:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 97¢ $-1479 -$208 05-18 12:32
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +76,493 $1,847 1¢ $650 -$1,197 10-26 21:03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,676 $909 1¢ $592 -$317 10-08 08:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 92¢ $-342 +$1,277 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 56¢ $223 -$75 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,020 -$688 3¢ $66 +$753 10-20 18:35
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 -$293 90¢ $0 +$293 09-21 18:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 $1,831 46¢ $0 -$1,831 06-06 13:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$94 66¢ $0 +$94 10-13 05:36