Realized P&L
+$1.51K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.03K
Hit rate
91.3%
Resolved
13
Trades
12,452
lifetime
Volume
$5.01M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$403
Open exposure
$41.9K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$821
Other
40% 86% +$1,130
Sports
4% 75% $-444
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 544 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12,534 $12,721 100¢ $12.5K $-243 06-26 08:36
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10,448 $10,732 100¢ $10.4K $-300 06-29 13:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -8,500 $-7,990 100¢ $-8492 $-502 05-29 02:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6,788 $4,157 64¢ $4.4K +$221 06-30 14:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -1,771 $-1,260 100¢ $-1767 $-507 06-30 09:48
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? No +1,740 $1,737 100¢ $1.7K +$0 06-26 22:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2,747 $1,356 59¢ $1.6K +$265 06-30 14:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1,260 $681 55¢ $693 +$13 06-27 22:22
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +278 $198 76¢ $213 +$14 06-27 14:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +110 $103 100¢ $110 +$7 06-19 23:17