Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$168.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.2K
Hit rate
28.5%
Resolved (30d)
99
Trades (30d)
1,434
29,579 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$436.3K
$9.59M lifetime
Avg / trade
$324
Open exposure
$118.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$198,612
Other
39% 71% -$8,890
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +84,415 $23,582 45¢ $38.0K +$14,447 11-04 04:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +22,236 $16,754 94¢ $20.8K +$4,093 11-06 03:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.6K +$6,796 07-11 00:14
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +9,621 $8,287 98¢ $9.4K +$1,117 10-02 13:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 94¢ $-7593 -$1,811 08-26 21:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +74,787 $16,499 10¢ $7.1K -$9,394 11-08 10:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 88¢ $5.9K +$6,442 10-24 21:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,576 $2,679 86¢ $3.1K +$414 11-08 10:47
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,703 $3,039 79¢ $2.9K -$113 10-06 05:51
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,351 $2,912 62¢ $2.7K -$214 11-08 06:43
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,042 $1,511 78¢ $1.6K +$71 09-24 10:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 98¢ $-1485 -$214 05-18 12:32
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,676 $909 2¢ $1.4K +$519 10-08 08:49
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? No +1,311 $1,058 96¢ $1.3K +$195 10-02 17:20
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,367 $977 76¢ $1.0K +$68 10-03 07:06
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +779 $523 86¢ $670 +$147 10-01 17:21
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +681 $517 87¢ $592 +$75 10-25 03:11
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +576 $523 98¢ $564 +$41 11-04 07:18
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,034 $1,987 1¢ $550 -$1,437 11-05 22:27
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +509 $405 96¢ $491 +$85 10-18 08:03
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +557 $158 65¢ $362 +$204 09-23 22:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-356 +$1,263 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 55¢ $217 -$81 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +200 $168 97¢ $195 +$27 08-18 19:50
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +163 $101 83¢ $135 +$34 08-26 23:36
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +114 $83 82¢ $93 +$11 10-03 07:07
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 08-25 01:53
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,115 -$717 3¢ $31 +$747 11-06 12:45
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +0 -$20 90¢ $0 +$20 09-12 04:06