Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$168.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.7K
Hit rate
28.5%
Resolved (30d)
99
Trades (30d)
1,436
29,607 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$433.5K
$9.60M lifetime
Avg / trade
$324
Open exposure
$123.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 07:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$198,612
Other
39% 71% -$8,890
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +85,730 $24,180 46¢ $39.3K +$15,085 11-09 03:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +22,236 $16,754 92¢ $20.5K +$3,748 11-06 03:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.6K +$6,776 07-11 00:14
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +9,621 $8,287 98¢ $9.4K +$1,117 10-02 13:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 92¢ $-7512 -$1,730 08-26 21:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +84,906 $17,310 8¢ $6.4K -$10,942 11-09 06:10
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +7,333 $5,910 86¢ $6.3K +$433 11-08 16:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 90¢ $6.1K +$6,576 10-24 21:54
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,744 $3,072 84¢ $3.1K +$54 11-08 11:58
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,351 $2,912 61¢ $2.7K -$258 11-08 06:43
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +74,736 $1,021 2¢ $1.7K +$661 11-09 08:43
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,042 $1,511 78¢ $1.6K +$71 09-24 10:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 98¢ $-1487 -$216 05-18 12:32
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? No +1,311 $1,058 96¢ $1.3K +$195 10-02 17:20
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,367 $977 80¢ $1.1K +$123 10-03 07:06
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,066 $661 74¢ $789 +$129 10-01 20:05
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +779 $523 82¢ $638 +$115 10-01 17:21
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +681 $517 87¢ $592 +$75 10-25 03:11
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +576 $523 96¢ $554 +$31 11-04 07:18
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +556 $533 95¢ $530 -$3 11-08 12:02
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +509 $405 96¢ $491 +$85 10-18 08:03
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,034 $1,987 0¢ $450 -$1,537 11-05 22:27
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +557 $158 68¢ $376 +$218 09-23 22:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-357 +$1,262 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 54¢ $214 -$84 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +200 $168 97¢ $195 +$27 08-18 19:50
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +163 $177 84¢ $137 -$39 11-08 12:01
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +163 $101 83¢ $135 +$34 08-26 23:36
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +114 $83 82¢ $93 +$11 10-03 07:07