Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$119.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.8K
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (90d)
240
Trades (90d)
6,514
29,118 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.76M
$9.30M lifetime
Avg / trade
$320
Open exposure
$112.7K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 18:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$198,612
Other
39% 71% -$8,900
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +84,415 $23,582 45¢ $38.1K +$14,532 11-04 04:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +22,236 $16,754 91¢ $20.2K +$3,482 11-06 03:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.6K +$6,776 07-11 00:14
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +9,621 $8,287 98¢ $9.4K +$1,117 10-02 13:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 92¢ $-7430 -$1,648 08-26 21:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70,648 $16,126 11¢ $7.4K -$8,708 11-06 18:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 92¢ $6.1K +$6,643 10-24 21:54
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,151 $2,792 62¢ $2.6K -$218 11-04 22:06
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,333 $1,610 88¢ $2.0K +$431 11-06 14:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,676 $909 2¢ $1.6K +$658 10-08 08:49
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,042 $1,511 76¢ $1.5K +$31 09-24 10:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 97¢ $-1485 -$213 05-18 12:32
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? No +1,311 $1,058 96¢ $1.3K +$195 10-02 17:20
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,367 $977 79¢ $1.1K +$103 10-03 07:06
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +681 $517 87¢ $592 +$75 10-25 03:11
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +576 $523 96¢ $555 +$32 11-04 07:18
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,034 $1,987 0¢ $450 -$1,537 11-05 22:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-358 +$1,261 10-16 11:30
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +557 $158 60¢ $337 +$179 09-23 22:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 55¢ $217 -$82 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +114 $83 82¢ $93 +$11 10-03 07:07
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +100 $70 80¢ $80 +$10 08-25 01:53
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,115 -$717 3¢ $31 +$747 11-06 12:45
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +0 -$20 90¢ $0 +$20 09-12 04:06
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$203 90¢ $0 +$204 09-07 19:17