Tense-Precedent 0xfb5148…b4742d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$120.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$21.9K
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved (90d)
238
Trades (90d)
6,485
29,225 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.76M
$9.32M lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$119.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
57% 74% -$198,612
Other
39% 71% -$8,890
Sports
5% 61% -$15,027
Tech
0% 50% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$34
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +88,415 $25,392 45¢ $40.0K +$14,616 11-09 16:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +22,236 $16,754 94¢ $20.8K +$4,049 11-06 03:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +9,822 $2,825 98¢ $9.6K +$6,796 07-11 00:14
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? No +9,621 $8,287 98¢ $9.4K +$1,117 10-02 13:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,121 -$5,782 92¢ $-7512 -$1,730 08-26 21:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +84,906 $17,310 8¢ $7.2K -$10,093 11-09 06:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +6,719 -$496 92¢ $6.2K +$6,711 10-24 21:54
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,054 $3,317 77¢ $3.1K -$196 11-09 22:17
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,351 $2,912 66¢ $2.8K -$62 11-08 06:43
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +82,225 $1,168 2¢ $1.7K +$518 11-09 16:23
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -1,523 -$1,271 97¢ $-1484 -$213 05-18 12:32
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,042 $1,511 71¢ $1.5K -$61 09-24 10:12
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? No +1,311 $1,058 96¢ $1.3K +$195 10-02 17:20
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,367 $977 80¢ $1.1K +$123 10-03 07:06
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,066 $661 74¢ $795 +$134 10-01 20:05
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +779 $523 80¢ $627 +$104 10-01 17:21
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +681 $517 89¢ $606 +$89 10-25 03:11
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +576 $523 96¢ $554 +$31 11-04 07:18
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026? No +546 $459 99¢ $541 +$82 10-05 05:51
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +556 $533 96¢ $534 +$1 11-08 12:02
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +509 $405 96¢ $491 +$85 10-18 08:03
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100,034 $1,987 0¢ $450 -$1,537 11-05 22:27
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +557 $158 71¢ $396 +$238 09-23 22:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -371 -$1,619 96¢ $-356 +$1,263 10-16 11:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $298 55¢ $216 -$82 07-07 16:34
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +200 $168 97¢ $195 +$27 08-18 19:50
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +163 $177 84¢ $137 -$39 11-08 12:01
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +163 $101 83¢ $135 +$34 08-26 23:36
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +64,006 $439 0¢ $96 -$343 08-20 19:04
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +114 $83 82¢ $93 +$11 10-03 07:07