Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,409
$20 in 24h
Trades
124
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$377
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2027-04-23
First seen
2026-05-30
last 08-03 10:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $25 | $220 | $195 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $117 | $19 | +$98 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $13 | $415 | $402 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $6 | $174 | $168 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $29 | $26 |
| Below median | 7 | $8 | $403 | $395 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $95 | $11 | +$84 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $212 | $211 |
| unranked | 12 | $30 | $164 | $134 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | +447 | $85 | $85 | 22 | 07-31 07:53 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | +280 | $205 | $263 | 11 | 07-18 12:29 |
| Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | +123 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-23 16:30 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +111 | $94 | $206 | 8 | 07-31 07:53 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +47 | $9 | $14 | 3 | 08-03 08:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-19 21:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | +37 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-12 05:05 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-26 11:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfeab…04d3 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-23 18:13 |
| Homely-Cardigan 0x37b0…3646 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-30 15:44 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +10 | $7 | $117 | 9 | 07-13 09:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-03 10:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-12 05:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 07:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x009518… |
| 08-03 10:51:15 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x009518… |
| 08-03 10:51:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x009518… |
| 08-03 08:56:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x162567… |
| 08-03 08:56:21 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 13 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x162567… |
| 07-31 07:53:53 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 97 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x40ce95… |
| 07-31 07:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x40ce95… |
| 07-31 07:53:53 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 92 | 84¢ | $78 | 0x40ce95… |
| 07-26 11:22:33 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x08c779… |
| 07-26 11:22:33 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x08c779… |
| 07-23 18:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd9999c… |
| 07-23 18:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xfeab…04d3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd9999c… |
| 07-23 16:30:36 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x0aa3c9… |
| 07-23 16:30:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x0aa3c9… |
| 07-23 16:30:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x446d1b… |
| 07-23 16:30:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x446d1b… |
| 07-23 16:30:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 18¢ | $16 | 0x446d1b… |
| 07-23 16:30:28 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 49 | 18¢ | $9 | 0x446d1b… |
| 07-23 16:30:24 | Harmonious-Mozzarella 0xeda7…e3d5 | No | BUY | 123 | 81¢ | $100 | 0x1bfc5f… |
| 07-23 16:30:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 33 | 82¢ | $27 | 0x1bfc5f… |
| 07-23 16:30:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 19¢ | $17 | 0x1bfc5f… |
| 07-22 10:01:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0x5a5003… |
| 07-22 10:01:22 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 45 | 84¢ | $38 | 0x5a5003… |
| 07-22 09:12:25 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9b5b2e… |
| 07-22 09:12:25 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9b5b2e… |
| 07-21 09:33:55 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xb8e060… |
| 07-21 09:33:55 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xb8e060… |
| 07-20 11:40:07 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x153bd0… |
| 07-20 11:40:07 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x153bd0… |
| 07-20 11:40:07 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x153bd0… |
| 07-20 09:15:00 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x2bf324… |
| 07-20 09:15:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x2bf324… |
| 07-18 12:29:34 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x05d97d… |
| 07-18 12:29:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x05d97d… |
| 07-18 12:28:55 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0674c4… |
| 07-18 12:28:55 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0674c4… |
| 07-17 06:02:15 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xb10159… |
| 07-17 06:02:15 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb10159… |
| 07-16 06:39:31 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x95c3e2… |
| 07-16 06:39:31 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x95c3e2… |
| 07-15 16:34:43 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x5186a3… |
| 07-15 16:34:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x5186a3… |
| 07-15 14:37:37 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xda375c… |
| 07-15 14:37:37 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xda375c… |
| 07-15 14:37:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xda375c… |
| 07-15 14:37:37 | Funny-Destroyer 0xd31d…4d1b | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xda375c… |
| 07-15 09:46:26 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x480d11… |
| 07-15 09:46:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x480d11… |
| 07-14 10:47:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xa2dfd1… |
| 07-14 10:47:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xa2dfd1… |
| 07-14 10:47:17 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x8aa10c… |
| 07-14 10:47:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x8aa10c… |
| 07-14 10:47:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x8aa10c… |
| 07-13 09:53:13 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xb080c3… |
| 07-13 09:53:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xb080c3… |
| 07-12 14:20:14 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x2a8350… |
| 07-12 14:20:14 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x2a8350… |
| 07-12 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xa91434… |
| 07-12 05:05:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xa91434… |
| 07-12 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x22a9…dce8 | No | BUY | 37 | 81¢ | $30 | 0xa91434… |
| 07-12 05:05:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xa91434… |
| 07-12 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa91434… |
| 07-12 00:42:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x20c562… |
| 07-12 00:42:28 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x20c562… |
| 07-11 17:39:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xa700d6… |
| 07-11 17:39:58 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xa700d6… |
| 07-11 12:58:55 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x117fef… |
| 07-11 12:58:55 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x117fef… |
| 07-11 12:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5a3b81… |
| 07-11 12:57:43 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x5a3b81… |
| 07-11 07:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5620a4… |
| 07-11 07:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5620a4… |
| 07-10 11:50:50 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xc08d0e… |
| 07-10 11:50:50 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xc08d0e… |
| 07-09 07:01:07 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x438992… |
| 07-09 07:01:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x438992… |
| 07-08 20:07:14 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0xef47c3… |
| 07-08 20:07:14 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xef47c3… |
| 07-08 19:50:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0x01ff27… |
| 07-08 19:50:22 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 43 | 79¢ | $34 | 0x01ff27… |
| 07-08 19:04:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x8ce103… |
| 07-08 19:04:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x8ce103… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 33 | 77¢ | $25 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 68 | 23¢ | $16 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:52:17 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xeb81d0… |
| 07-08 18:06:16 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x142037… |
| 07-08 18:06:16 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x142037… |
| 07-08 14:51:47 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3df2c9… |
| 07-08 14:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x3df2c9… |
| 07-07 19:17:19 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $19 | 0x90bdd7… |
| 07-07 19:17:19 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 25 | 79¢ | $19 | 0x90bdd7… |
| 07-05 17:42:29 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 49 | 79¢ | $39 | 0x0d64cd… |
| 07-05 17:42:29 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 49 | 79¢ | $39 | 0x0d64cd… |
| 07-03 14:56:47 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0x4e09e4… |
| 07-03 14:56:47 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 26 | 80¢ | $21 | 0x4e09e4… |
| 07-02 06:28:02 | Profuse-Occupation 0x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | BUY | 66 | 21¢ | $14 | 0xf13096… |