Realized P&L
-$27.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
137
Trades
2,703
lifetime
Volume
$478.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$177
Open exposure
$23.2K
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-27 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
71% 59% -$24,290
Other
29% 62% -$3,238
Crypto
0% 0% -$250
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $6,528 19¢ $6.5K -$17 10-11 06:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $5,556 12¢ $4.0K -$1,527 10-11 06:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $4,241 10¢ $3.3K -$892 10-11 06:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,800 $2,554 92¢ $2.6K +$8 10-23 16:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +27,000 $1,472 9¢ $2.5K +$1,053 10-20 18:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $872 62¢ $868 -$4 10-25 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $878 86¢ $855 -$23 10-21 20:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $693 68¢ $685 -$8 10-25 04:35
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +566 $443 84¢ $473 +$30 10-23 09:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +516 $456 86¢ $444 -$13 10-24 19:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,635 -$1,080 6¢ $-145 +$935 05-08 14:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +505 $170 29¢ $144 -$26 10-17 05:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $96 62¢ $125 +$29 10-27 01:11
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +642 $169 18¢ $112 -$57 09-25 09:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +493 $180 21¢ $104 -$77 09-25 09:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +300 $81 26¢ $80 -$2 10-26 17:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -2,045 -$521 3¢ $-65 +$455 05-15 19:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$138 1¢ $-65 +$73 06-04 16:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +100 $42 42¢ $42 $0 10-26 13:53
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,000 -$100 0¢ $-25 +$75 06-15 04:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +278 $25 1¢ $3 -$22 09-24 16:51
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$61 84¢ $1 +$62 10-27 08:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-13 08:11