Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$930
Hit rate
50.1%
Resolved (90d)
18
Trades (90d)
714
2,752 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$87.6K
$483.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$18.7K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-29 11:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
71% 59% -$24,290
Other
29% 62% -$3,238
Crypto
0% 0% -$250
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $6,528 18¢ $6.2K -$357 10-11 06:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $5,556 11¢ $3.6K -$1,969 10-11 06:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34,000 $4,241 9¢ $3.1K -$1,130 10-11 06:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +27,000 $1,472 10¢ $2.6K +$1,161 10-20 18:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,400 $872 51¢ $714 -$158 10-25 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +760 $632 82¢ $627 -$5 10-29 01:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +616 $541 86¢ $533 -$9 10-27 20:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +510 $395 82¢ $420 +$25 10-28 20:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $146 46¢ $228 +$82 10-29 11:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,635 -$1,080 6¢ $-145 +$935 05-08 14:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 $73 24¢ $118 +$45 10-29 11:48
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +642 $169 16¢ $99 -$70 09-25 09:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +493 $180 18¢ $91 -$89 09-25 09:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +114 $85 71¢ $81 -$3 10-28 12:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -2,045 -$521 3¢ $-67 +$453 05-15 19:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$138 1¢ $-62 +$76 06-04 16:09
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,000 -$100 0¢ $-25 +$75 06-15 04:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +278 $25 0¢ $1 -$24 09-24 16:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-13 08:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 -$32 68¢ $0 +$32 10-27 13:16