Profuse-Occupation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$2.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.24K

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

592

2,775 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$82.9K

$488.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$18.1K

18 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-29 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Politics

71% 59% -$24,290

Other

29% 62% -$3,238

Crypto

0% 0% -$250

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+34,000	$6,528	18¢	$6.2K	-$357	10-11 06:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+34,000	$5,556	10¢	$3.6K	-$2,003	10-11 06:15
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+34,000	$4,241	9¢	$3.0K	-$1,283	10-11 06:15
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+27,000	$1,472	10¢	$2.6K	+$1,161	10-20 18:51
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$872	51¢	$714	-$158	10-25 13:29
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	+760	$632	82¢	$627	-$5	10-29 01:22
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+616	$541	86¢	$533	-$9	10-27 20:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	+459	$353	83¢	$381	+$28	10-29 14:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,635	-$1,080	6¢	$-145	+$935	05-08 14:42
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+642	$169	16¢	$99	-$70	09-25 09:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	+493	$180	20¢	$96	-$84	09-25 09:39
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+114	$85	70¢	$81	-$4	10-28 12:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	-2,045	-$521	3¢	$-67	+$453	05-15 19:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-5,000	-$138	1¢	$-62	+$76	06-04 16:09
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10,000	-$100	0¢	$-25	+$75	06-15 04:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	+278	$25	1¢	$2	-$24	09-24 16:51
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+25	$1	4¢	$1	$0	10-13 08:11
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$32	64¢	$0	+$32	10-27 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	249	$78.3K	54,807	46,007	+8,800	No	+$3,815	04-21 20:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	276	$69.8K	124,468	30,896	+93,572	Yes	-$20,169	06-15 04:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	106	$28.0K	17,647	20,272	-2,625	No	+$690	04-23 13:28
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	46	$25.0K	15,962	15,929	+33	No	+$234	04-16 05:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	72	$20.8K	14,732	15,332	-600	No	+$1,736	05-30 06:29
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	88	$18.3K	14,037	14,237	-200	No	+$136	04-23 07:22
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	93	$17.0K	10,678	10,678	+0	open	—	10-21 08:33
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	149	$16.6K	53,149	7,722	+45,427	Yes	-$3,230	04-11 18:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	31	$16.1K	9,400	12,011	-2,611	Yes	-$1,244	06-11 12:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	46	$14.2K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	10-08 18:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	37	$10.0K	8,607	7,994	+613	No	-$545	04-26 15:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	13	$8.5K	5,011	5,011	+0	No	+$140	05-15 19:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	11	$7.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$287	05-30 06:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	47	$6.5K	34,000	0	+34,000	open	—	10-11 06:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	7	$5.9K	3,225	3,225	+0	open	—	10-28 04:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	45	$5.6K	34,000	0	+34,000	open	—	10-11 06:15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	61	$5.4K	8,081	1,517	+6,564	No	-$2,934	10-25 22:57
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$5.1K	3,043	3,043	+0	Yes	+$977	05-11 07:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	-$26	05-15 19:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	19	$4.4K	2,941	2,941	+0	open	—	10-20 15:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	50	$4.2K	34,000	0	+34,000	open	—	10-11 06:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	15	$4.2K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-23 14:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	30	$3.5K	3,842	3,842	+0	open	—	10-29 14:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	21	$3.5K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	-$264	05-30 06:31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	23	$3.3K	3,018	3,018	+0	Yes	+$33	04-24 08:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$2.8K	1,950	1,950	+0	No	+$63	04-27 10:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	20	$2.6K	1,482	1,482	+0	No	+$34	10-07 05:37
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	35	$2.5K	1,544	1,544	+0	open	—	10-27 13:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	54	$2.5K	2,926	1,788	+1,138	No	-$471	04-20 16:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$2.5K	3,530	2,530	+1,000	Yes	-$761	04-29 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:49:29	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	51	84¢	$43	0x71e884…
10-29 14:21:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	45¢	$225	0xe9df4c…
10-29 14:21:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	500	23¢	$116	0xd4d398…
10-29 11:48:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xbe20ba…
10-29 11:48:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x3e065d…
10-29 11:40:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x588f6e…
10-29 11:40:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xca2ca0…
10-29 11:29:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf4a6b6…
10-29 11:29:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	190	45¢	$86	0xdb236e…
10-29 11:28:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$47	0xa1ab36…
10-29 11:28:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xdd722f…
10-29 11:28:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$47	0x4b829c…
10-29 09:43:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	46¢	$460	0x61de32…
10-29 09:43:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0x4a6fa4…
10-29 05:56:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	491	45¢	$221	0x57c89b…
10-29 05:56:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	489	25¢	$122	0x5f4f13…
10-29 05:12:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	234	45¢	$105	0x1548c9…
10-29 05:12:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	236	26¢	$61	0x8f1fb9…
10-29 05:11:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	275	45¢	$124	0x32650e…
10-29 05:10:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	275	26¢	$70	0x7d5020…
10-29 01:22:59	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x31a47c…
10-28 22:55:04	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	551	71¢	$391	0xb15311…
10-28 22:43:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	449	71¢	$319	0xabebbf…
10-28 22:17:50	Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xc159ca…
10-28 21:01:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	837	25¢	$212	0x7a5b3a…
10-28 21:01:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	837	50¢	$419	0x391190…
10-28 20:25:53	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x9f7dd7…
10-28 20:25:49	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xb46971…
10-28 16:31:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x16f6f4…
10-28 16:30:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x1065d7…
10-28 16:30:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x69cb8b…
10-28 16:30:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xea113c…
10-28 16:29:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb404d1…
10-28 16:29:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x7bc5c1…
10-28 16:28:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9486a6…
10-28 16:28:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x9e0e24…
10-28 16:16:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x941738…
10-28 16:16:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$51	0x3b9648…
10-28 16:07:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	45¢	$270	0x96a5ca…
10-28 16:07:23	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	27¢	$160	0xeb3e2b…
10-28 12:41:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	31¢	$313	0x9ebdba…
10-28 12:40:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	49¢	$490	0xa1800d…
10-28 12:14:07	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	65	74¢	$48	0xb6b110…
10-28 12:09:02	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	49	74¢	$37	0xcd1a6a…
10-28 09:46:22	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x3e1d72…
10-28 08:50:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$77	0x34a047…
10-28 08:50:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0xb9bae3…
10-28 08:50:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0xefbca6…
10-28 08:50:07	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$51	0x914b11…
10-28 08:42:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x07eb2d…
10-28 08:41:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x70f93d…
10-28 08:41:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe2d542…
10-28 08:40:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$51	0x015963…
10-28 08:40:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5ac92a…
10-28 08:40:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbd1ef3…
10-28 07:36:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x006ff3…
10-28 07:36:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2bf374…
10-28 04:08:11	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2,800	92¢	$2,576	0x4be7d5…
10-28 01:30:53	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	85	42¢	$36	0x150aa2…
10-27 23:48:29	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xa22557…
10-27 23:06:03	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x10a206…
10-27 20:43:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x243fa4…
10-27 20:00:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	505	39¢	$197	0x70501b…
10-27 17:41:09	Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7095ae…
10-27 14:21:05	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	300	27¢	$81	0x148ddc…
10-27 13:46:18	Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	288	40¢	$116	0xf9861e…
10-27 13:44:44	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x321ae0…
10-27 13:16:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x144d8f…
10-27 12:02:23	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	64¢	$100	0x566dee…
10-27 11:45:23	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	104	82¢	$85	0xbae15f…
10-27 11:02:26	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x3f83cb…
10-27 10:45:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x606d41…
10-27 08:25:30	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4c3015…
10-27 06:00:17	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	83¢	$119	0xdb984d…
10-27 05:24:11	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	83¢	$130	0xee6f9d…
10-27 01:11:59	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d82ae…
10-27 01:10:27	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xd5c559…
10-27 01:10:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa79e8b…
10-27 01:10:12	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x008425…
10-27 01:09:00	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9b164d…
10-27 01:08:53	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0df4d3…
10-27 01:07:35	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xefd18e…
10-27 01:07:26	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8e5d4d…
10-27 01:05:11	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x592526…
10-27 00:48:44	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xfebac9…
10-27 00:48:44	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	82¢	$62	0xaffe23…
10-27 00:20:38	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x143cd5…
10-26 22:17:17	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0x635a13…
10-26 19:30:35	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xf68373…
10-26 17:47:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0xd91954…
10-26 17:10:20	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	82¢	$75	0xc8e90c…
10-26 16:58:21	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xf8b4a7…
10-26 16:50:23	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	83¢	$47	0x01e267…
10-26 16:15:18	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0x8bedb9…
10-26 16:12:39	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	83¢	$172	0xa2c632…
10-26 15:10:53	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	419	56¢	$234	0x473a94…
10-26 14:33:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	400	27¢	$108	0x2a70ce…
10-26 13:53:11	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc7caf4…
10-26 10:19:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x4b3598…
10-26 04:17:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	65¢	$320	0xecd241…