(anonymous) 0xd43f47…7bc66b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
181
lifetime
Volume
$179
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$31
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 06-30 09:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
54% — —
Politics
34% — —
Crypto
11% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-28 21:55
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-27 09:36
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-29 23:19
Glean IPO before 2027? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-25 20:27
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 06-27 12:57
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +8 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-28 07:47
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-23 14:01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-23 18:46
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-29 16:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +6 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-28 20:23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +8 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 06-25 13:54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-26 00:30
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes +48 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 06-25 09:14
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 19:20
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-27 09:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-28 11:38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-28 17:06
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-24 18:22
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-27 13:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-23 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-27 17:55
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-28 00:16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-24 03:57
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-28 13:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-28 21:35
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-23 11:54
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +15 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-24 14:13
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-24 12:57
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +16 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-28 01:29
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +7 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-28 15:20