Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
309
lifetime
Volume
$4.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.32K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% 0% $-8
Other
14%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +323 $208 76¢ $244 +$36 06-30 08:40
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -219 $-185 88¢ $-192 $-6 06-17 12:49
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -132 $-122 94¢ $-123 $-1 05-30 14:00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +290 $90 40¢ $118 +$28 06-06 23:00
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +104 $69 82¢ $85 +$17 06-24 22:27
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? No -82 $-81 100¢ $-82 $-1 06-09 10:47
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -88 $-73 84¢ $-73 $-0 06-07 02:21
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +500 $70 12¢ $60 $-10 06-19 21:13
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 $-55 94¢ $-56 $-1 05-30 15:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -50 $-48 96¢ $-48 $-1 06-14 23:17
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -47 $-44 96¢ $-45 $-1 05-30 14:00
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? Yes +226 $45 20¢ $44 $-1 06-30 16:57
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +50 $28 78¢ $39 +$11 06-12 06:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -25 $-97 100¢ $-25 +$72 06-19 21:03
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -25 $-15 82¢ $-21 $-6 06-10 17:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-20 18:46
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -13 $-8 68¢ $-9 $-0 06-08 04:11
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No -10 $-9 89¢ $-9 $-0 06-28 18:17
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $6 86¢ $9 +$2 06-21 21:58
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -9 $-7 88¢ $-8 $-1 06-04 21:41
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $8 77¢ $8 +$0 06-21 16:30
French election called by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-0 06-01 16:24
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 05-28 16:26
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,500 $-5 $2 +$7 06-29 10:56
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-09 09:04
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 16:27
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +1 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 06-01 13:49