Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$3.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$850
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-10 01:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% 0% $-8
Other
14%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +338 $220 71¢ $240 +$20 06-01 02:16
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -132 $-122 94¢ $-124 $-1 05-30 14:00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +290 $90 34¢ $99 +$9 06-06 23:00
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026? No -82 $-81 100¢ $-82 $-0 06-09 10:47
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 $-81 80¢ $-80 +$2 06-01 07:33
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -88 $-73 84¢ $-74 $-1 06-07 02:21
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 $-55 95¢ $-57 $-1 05-30 15:21
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -47 $-44 95¢ $-45 $-1 05-30 14:00
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,207 $7 $17 +$10 06-10 01:47
French election called by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 99¢ $-8 $-0 06-01 16:24
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -13 $-8 57¢ $-8 +$1 06-08 04:11
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? Yes +25 $4 24¢ $6 +$1 06-08 14:28
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -9 $-7 64¢ $-6 +$1 06-04 21:41
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -5 $-5 91¢ $-5 +$0 05-28 16:26
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 06-09 09:04
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +1 $0 34¢ $0 +$0 06-01 13:49