Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$278
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
478
lifetime
Volume
$8.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 17:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-8
Other
26%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +280 $205 84¢ $236 +$31 07-18 12:29
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -219 $-185 88¢ $-194 $-8 06-17 12:49
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +184 $124 92¢ $169 +$45 07-07 18:33
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -132 $-122 94¢ $-124 $-2 05-30 14:00
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +140 $119 84¢ $118 $-1 07-20 22:13
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $80 23¢ $92 +$12 07-21 16:59
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +153 $83 56¢ $86 +$3 07-20 19:19
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -100 $-83 86¢ $-85 $-2 07-04 19:25
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -111 $-85 70¢ $-77 +$7 07-14 10:24
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -60 $-55 94¢ $-56 $-1 05-30 15:21
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +76 $23 74¢ $56 +$33 07-04 02:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -50 $-48 98¢ $-49 $-1 06-14 23:17
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +61 $43 76¢ $46 +$3 07-20 20:49
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -47 $-44 96¢ $-45 $-1 05-30 14:00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +145 $-26 29¢ $41 +$67 07-20 22:47
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +50 $28 77¢ $38 +$11 06-12 06:47
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -60 $-99 62¢ $-37 +$61 07-20 17:19
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -37 $-36 96¢ $-36 +$0 07-14 04:41
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -37 $-36 94¢ $-35 +$1 07-05 02:42
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +27 $2 70¢ $18 +$16 07-14 22:53
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -25 $-15 73¢ $-18 $-3 06-10 17:40
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +278 $17 $13 $-4 07-13 21:00
Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +30 $18 40¢ $12 $-6 07-17 16:17
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -13 $-8 78¢ $-10 $-2 06-08 04:11
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $6 78¢ $8 +$2 06-21 21:58
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -9 $-7 72¢ $-6 +$0 06-04 21:41
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $4 $4 $-0 07-13 00:05
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +5 $-9 72¢ $4 +$12 07-13 11:47
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$1 07-12 17:53
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 $-1 +$4 07-07 17:38