Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$961
Trades
50
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$4,998
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 07:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $38
vs crowd: 13% YES on $660)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $15 | $270 | $256 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $14 | $230 | $216 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $58 | $56 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $165 | $161 |
| Median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Below median | 4 | $10 | $247 | $237 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | $51 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| unranked | 5 | $58 | $40 | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | No | +191 | $157 | $157 | 1 | 06-06 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8085…528c | Yes | +133 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-06 21:55 |
| Youthful-Mangrove 0x97cc…b4a8 | Yes | +120 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 09:56 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-08 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +67 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-09 07:45 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-07 15:47 |
| Third-Opera 0xed90…2ba7 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 15:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +49 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 20:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-08 15:32 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-08 09:56 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-05 00:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 07:45:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-09 07:45:34 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 46 | 84¢ | $39 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-09 07:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 67 | 84¢ | $56 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-08 20:48:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x6fa59d… |
| 06-08 20:48:39 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x6fa59d… |
| 06-08 20:48:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0xc6e3c1… |
| 06-08 20:48:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0xc6e3c1… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 67 | 82¢ | $55 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 46 | 82¢ | $38 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 15:32:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x76b1b3… |
| 06-08 15:32:27 | Third-Opera 0xed90…2ba7 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x76b1b3… |
| 06-08 15:32:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 49 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x76b1b3… |
| 06-08 09:56:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5a3b51… |
| 06-08 09:56:21 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5a3b51… |
| 06-08 09:56:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x3c2b48… |
| 06-08 09:56:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x3c2b48… |
| 06-08 09:56:18 | Youthful-Mangrove 0x97cc…b4a8 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 17¢ | $20 | 0x3c2b48… |
| 06-08 09:56:18 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 62 | 83¢ | $52 | 0x3c2b48… |
| 06-08 09:56:18 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0x3c2b48… |
| 06-07 15:47:52 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x957e9d… |
| 06-07 15:47:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x957e9d… |
| 06-07 02:21:09 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0x23943c… |
| 06-07 02:21:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x23943c… |
| 06-07 02:21:09 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 38 | 83¢ | $31 | 0x23943c… |
| 06-06 21:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x6f1f59… |
| 06-06 21:58:45 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x6f1f59… |
| 06-06 21:55:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x21f53a… |
| 06-06 21:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x21f53a… |
| 06-06 21:55:37 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x21f53a… |
| 06-06 21:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x8085…528c | Yes | BUY | 120 | 18¢ | $22 | 0x21f53a… |
| 06-06 21:55:37 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | No | BUY | 191 | 82¢ | $157 | 0x21f53a… |
| 06-06 20:28:46 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xf38199… |
| 06-06 20:28:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 18¢ | $3 | 0xf38199… |
| 06-06 20:28:46 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xf38199… |
| 06-06 20:04:31 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xfb9dd0… |
| 06-06 20:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | BUY | 49 | 82¢ | $40 | 0xfb9dd0… |
| 06-06 20:04:31 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 29 | 82¢ | $24 | 0xfb9dd0… |
| 06-05 00:41:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xab5d73… |
| 06-05 00:41:58 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xab5d73… |
| 06-05 00:40:49 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x367f4d… |
| 06-05 00:40:49 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x367f4d… |
| 05-30 12:35:39 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x01a116… |
| 05-30 12:35:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x01a116… |
| 05-29 15:33:09 | Definite-Cenotaph 0x8ced…15f9 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x28633b… |
| 05-29 15:33:09 | (anonymous) 0x8085…528c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x28633b… |
| 05-28 18:59:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd5e6ea… |
| 05-28 18:59:33 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xd5e6ea… |
| 05-28 08:42:59 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x50066a… |
| 05-28 08:42:59 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x50066a… |