Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,873
Trades
138
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$4,998
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-23 09:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $38
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $5 | $58 | $53 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $26 | $505 | $479 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $5 | $789 | $784 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $65 | $137 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $87 | $87 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $201 | $196 |
| Median | 6 | $4 | $68 | $64 |
| Below median | 5 | $12 | $729 | $717 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $16 | $148 | $132 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| unranked | 13 | $65 | $196 | $131 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8085…528c | Yes | +133 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 06-06 21:55 |
| Youthful-Mangrove 0x97cc…b4a8 | Yes | +120 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-08 09:56 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +100 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 06-08 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 06-14 15:45 |
| Third-Opera 0xed90…2ba7 | Yes | +78 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-27 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | +72 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 07-02 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | No | +66 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 07-04 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +49 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +25 | $21 | $47 | 3 | 07-12 12:03 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $4 | $16 | 5 | 06-15 09:35 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $18 | $116 | 5 | 07-02 00:36 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-05 00:40 |
| Pink-Eggnog 0xe82a…db8d | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-23 09:16 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +10 | $9 | $59 | 4 | 07-23 09:16 |
| Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-13 12:17 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +8 | $6 | $42 | 4 | 07-09 22:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +7 | $6 | $7 | 3 | 07-10 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x57ec…885b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 22:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $9 | 3 | 07-09 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $4 | $13 | 3 | 07-12 12:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +3 | $2 | $15 | 4 | 07-13 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $4 | 2 | 07-02 03:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 09:16:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x4443fe… |
| 07-23 09:16:21 | Pink-Eggnog 0xe82a…db8d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4443fe… |
| 07-13 12:17:26 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x377feb… |
| 07-13 12:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x377feb… |
| 07-12 12:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x62439c… |
| 07-12 12:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x62439c… |
| 07-12 12:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x62439c… |
| 07-10 14:55:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x8351e3… |
| 07-10 14:55:55 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x8351e3… |
| 07-10 14:55:55 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8351e3… |
| 07-09 22:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x57ec…885b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc1b28a… |
| 07-09 22:11:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xc1b28a… |
| 07-09 11:02:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x89b7d2… |
| 07-09 11:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x89b7d2… |
| 07-07 07:57:26 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xb02f89… |
| 07-07 07:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xb02f89… |
| 07-06 09:01:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xfb78b5… |
| 07-06 09:01:49 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xfb78b5… |
| 07-04 19:25:59 | (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x7373a6… |
| 07-04 19:25:59 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x7373a6… |
| 07-04 06:12:47 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x6a4f19… |
| 07-04 06:12:47 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x6a4f19… |
| 07-04 02:14:07 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xad1da1… |
| 07-04 02:14:07 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xad1da1… |
| 07-02 03:04:11 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x07cea5… |
| 07-02 03:04:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x07cea5… |
| 07-02 03:04:11 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x07cea5… |
| 07-02 00:36:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 60 | 82¢ | $49 | 0xcb0290… |
| 07-02 00:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | BUY | 72 | 82¢ | $59 | 0xcb0290… |
| 07-02 00:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xcb0290… |
| 07-01 12:00:20 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 43 | 80¢ | $34 | 0x48bc0d… |
| 07-01 12:00:20 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 43 | 80¢ | $34 | 0x48bc0d… |
| 07-01 09:12:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 43 | 82¢ | $35 | 0x11e41d… |
| 07-01 09:12:10 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 43 | 82¢ | $35 | 0x11e41d… |
| 06-28 18:59:26 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 43 | 83¢ | $35 | 0x886dd2… |
| 06-28 18:59:26 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 43 | 83¢ | $35 | 0x886dd2… |
| 06-28 17:14:04 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 48 | 84¢ | $40 | 0x59663b… |
| 06-28 17:14:04 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 43 | 84¢ | $36 | 0x59663b… |
| 06-28 17:14:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x59663b… |
| 06-27 14:21:02 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0x066c53… |
| 06-27 14:21:02 | Third-Opera 0xed90…2ba7 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x066c53… |
| 06-26 07:42:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 29 | 84¢ | $24 | 0x8d1071… |
| 06-26 07:42:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x8d1071… |
| 06-26 07:39:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x096727… |
| 06-26 07:39:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 16¢ | $9 | 0x096727… |
| 06-26 07:39:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x096727… |
| 06-26 07:39:04 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 87 | 84¢ | $72 | 0x096727… |
| 06-25 08:46:50 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 77 | 84¢ | $65 | 0x6f7039… |
| 06-25 08:46:50 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 77 | 84¢ | $65 | 0x6f7039… |
| 06-25 07:02:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe8ac08… |
| 06-25 07:02:23 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe8ac08… |
| 06-25 07:01:50 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 48 | 84¢ | $41 | 0xe60b1f… |
| 06-25 07:01:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xe60b1f… |
| 06-25 07:01:50 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe60b1f… |
| 06-25 07:01:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xe60b1f… |
| 06-21 16:24:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x322d36… |
| 06-21 16:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x322d36… |
| 06-21 11:40:16 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0xd17249… |
| 06-21 11:40:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd17249… |
| 06-21 11:38:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xba2bf0… |
| 06-21 11:38:40 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x18fd88… |
| 06-21 11:38:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xba2bf0… |
| 06-21 11:38:40 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x18fd88… |
| 06-21 11:38:40 | (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x18fd88… |
| 06-21 11:30:11 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xfb2c4b… |
| 06-21 11:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xfb2c4b… |
| 06-18 14:15:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xa0459e… |
| 06-18 14:15:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 42 | 83¢ | $35 | 0xa0459e… |
| 06-18 14:15:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 62 | 83¢ | $51 | 0xa0459e… |
| 06-17 11:43:23 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 27 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x2e8e1d… |
| 06-17 11:43:23 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 27 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x2e8e1d… |
| 06-17 11:43:11 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xfe6ef4… |
| 06-17 11:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x3406…6ce0 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xfe6ef4… |
| 06-17 11:43:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9330b3… |
| 06-17 11:43:02 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $7 | 0x9330b3… |
| 06-17 11:42:59 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 87 | 83¢ | $72 | 0x6a9394… |
| 06-17 11:42:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x6a9394… |
| 06-17 11:42:59 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 27 | 83¢ | $22 | 0x6a9394… |
| 06-17 11:42:59 | (anonymous) 0x3406…6ce0 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x6a9394… |
| 06-17 11:42:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x6a9394… |
| 06-15 09:35:06 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 62 | 83¢ | $51 | 0x34f405… |
| 06-15 09:35:06 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x34f405… |
| 06-15 09:35:06 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 102 | 83¢ | $85 | 0x34f405… |
| 06-14 15:45:31 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 188 | 84¢ | $158 | 0xc0dd67… |
| 06-14 15:45:31 | Oddball-Pedal 0xb524…0808 | No | SELL | 191 | 84¢ | $161 | 0xc0dd67… |
| 06-14 15:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xc0dd67… |
| 06-12 11:16:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xfd2148… |
| 06-12 11:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xfd2148… |
| 06-09 07:45:34 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | SELL | 46 | 84¢ | $39 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-09 07:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 67 | 84¢ | $56 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-09 07:45:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 21 | 84¢ | $18 | 0xcaaa69… |
| 06-08 20:48:39 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x6fa59d… |
| 06-08 20:48:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x6fa59d… |
| 06-08 20:48:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0xc6e3c1… |
| 06-08 20:48:10 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $18 | 0xc6e3c1… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 67 | 82¢ | $55 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 20:46:13 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 46 | 82¢ | $38 | 0x1d6da7… |
| 06-08 15:32:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x76b1b3… |
| 06-08 15:32:27 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 49 | 83¢ | $41 | 0x76b1b3… |