Pink-Eggnog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

4,628

Trades

19,949

lifetime

Volume

$61.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 34% -$1,705

Other

10% 40% -$73

Politics

3% 41% +$63

Sports

0% 29% +$63

Tech

0% 45% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+30	$20	56¢	$17	-$3	08-18 13:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+10	$4	88¢	$9	+$4	07-27 16:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+10	$7	62¢	$6	-$1	10-21 11:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10	$2	18¢	$2	$0	10-02 15:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 8	10	$955	622	622	+0	Down	-$35	01-08 16:02
ethereum above 2800 on january 30	18	$679	648	123	+525	No	-$170	01-30 18:51
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$565	300	300	+0	No	+$2	01-14 16:34
bitcoin up or down february 1 7am et	9	$442	425	425	+0	Down	-$5	02-01 12:06
bitcoin up or down january 13 10am et	70	$372	370	353	+17	Up	+$5	01-13 15:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	16	$357	419	42	+377	No	-$85	01-30 18:50
bitcoin up or down february 1 6am et	28	$354	332	332	+0	Up	+$0	02-01 11:34
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	50	$342	571	16	+555	Yes	-$32	01-29 15:48
bitcoin up or down january 12 10am et	57	$332	420	420	+0	Up	+$3	01-12 15:47
maduro mugshot released by monday	12	$310	240	240	+0	No	+$7	01-04 01:53
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	18	$310	538	0	+538	No	+$30	01-26 16:06
bitcoin up or down january 13 3am et	58	$309	392	210	+182	Up	+$2	01-13 08:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:30 UTC	156	$304	451	312	+140	Up	-$3	01-03 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:00 UTC	146	$276	307	304	+4	Down	-$2	01-03 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:45 UTC	176	$275	697	464	+233	Down	-$13	01-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:45 UTC	138	$248	316	305	+11	Down	+$11	01-03 16:56
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	11	$247	462	158	+304	Yes	-$183	01-28 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 14:45 UTC	125	$245	282	276	+6	Down	+$2	01-03 14:57
bitcoin up or down january 12 11am et	32	$243	238	238	+0	Up	+$8	01-12 16:04
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$220	140	140	+0	No	+$24	01-19 20:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:00 UTC	128	$217	286	275	+10	Down	-$1	01-03 12:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	30	$211	324	72	+252	No	-$16	01-28 16:55
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$210	200	240	-40	Yes	+$78	01-31 22:06
bitcoin up or down january 15 11am et	21	$203	280	140	+140	Up	+$10	01-15 16:42
spx up or down on january 5 2026	3	$202	200	200	+0	Up	+$6	01-04 17:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$2	01-20 01:38
bitcoin up or down january 13 8am et	70	$197	296	102	+194	Down	-$6	01-13 13:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	10	$192	226	211	+16	No	+$94	01-21 09:35
bitcoin up or down january 12 9am et	32	$189	327	0	+327	Up	-$4	01-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 19:45 UTC	105	$189	226	222	+4	Down	-$7	01-03 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe830e9…
10-27 09:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3aa61d…
10-27 09:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x18812e…
10-27 09:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2d7a29…
10-27 09:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd82907…
10-27 09:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x124d8b…
10-27 09:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3096f…
10-27 09:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bd4b0…
10-27 08:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9a7c57…
10-27 08:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef2efc…
10-27 08:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f976e…
10-27 08:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf8fe28…
10-27 08:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4edec…
10-27 08:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x045a89…
10-27 08:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf64842…
10-27 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb1d57a…
10-27 07:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xae0598…
10-27 07:57:44	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x2791a7…
10-27 07:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbe2491…
10-27 07:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3e0308…
10-27 07:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0490b1…
10-27 07:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x223b2a…
10-27 07:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x547447…
10-27 07:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe02386…
10-27 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5b5a47…
10-27 07:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x887301…
10-26 20:33:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x7a23d5…
10-26 20:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9a1928…
10-26 20:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c86ae…
10-26 20:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbd5101…
10-26 20:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc5b45a…
10-26 20:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5e9e7e…
10-26 20:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb81d59…
10-26 20:23:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb4ac87…
10-26 20:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x152312…
10-26 20:22:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3b842…
10-26 20:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb0ec22…
10-26 20:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57de44…
10-26 20:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7e6ca3…
10-26 19:13:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb20457…
10-26 19:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x490481…
10-26 19:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3df1d0…
10-26 19:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7bed9e…
10-26 19:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd228f2…
10-26 16:18:32	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x265d50…
10-26 13:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc94c0f…
10-26 13:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x6201cc…
10-26 13:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x649796…
10-26 13:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf0d423…
10-26 13:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x2eb56f…
10-26 13:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x682c41…
10-26 13:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x856fa0…
10-26 13:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x51e7b2…
10-26 13:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdda1a6…
10-26 12:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc47477…
10-26 12:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9197b…
10-26 12:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6336bd…
10-26 12:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb32272…
10-26 12:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x687066…
10-26 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x96e933…
10-26 10:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x94e4d9…
10-26 10:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa9972b…
10-26 10:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc0df2b…
10-26 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x91b0cc…
10-26 10:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C or higher on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x993317…
10-26 10:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6aaadb…
10-26 09:20:35	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x117abf…
10-26 09:19:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd75504…
10-26 09:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8b9d69…
10-26 09:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9398e0…
10-26 09:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x89d005…
10-26 09:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6b1da5…
10-26 09:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xb4f569…
10-26 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xa7f24f…
10-26 09:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x8f5d2a…
10-26 09:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xdc6214…
10-26 08:55:38	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xcdbfed…
10-26 08:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3ac414…
10-26 08:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8e428e…
10-26 07:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x132022…
10-26 07:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc0e209…
10-24 10:52:48	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7fd1fe…
10-23 19:45:03	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe4f9e5…
10-23 18:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc03509…
10-23 18:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x81c6bc…
10-23 18:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x63744c…
10-23 15:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x48ae49…
10-23 15:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x562abe…
10-23 15:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33895b…
10-23 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc68ca7…
10-23 14:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x6b3f59…
10-23 13:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf0713b…
10-23 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd4177d…
10-23 13:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5abe8a…
10-23 13:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9898aa…
10-23 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x14ffbe…
10-23 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf69b2f…
10-23 13:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8eb700…
10-23 12:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd6e22f…
10-23 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdf3c78…