Realized P&L (90d)
-$47
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved (90d)
85
Trades (90d)
189
20,021 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$587
$61.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$38
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 34% -$1,705
Other
11% 40% -$152
Politics
3% 41% +$63
Sports
0% 29% +$63
Tech
0% 45% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30 $20 53¢ $16 -$4 08-18 13:01
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +76 $13 10¢ $8 -$5 11-06 21:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +10 $7 61¢ $6 -$1 10-21 11:13
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -3 -$7 92¢ $-3 +$4 11-05 16:39
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 10-23 05:32
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? No +27 $3 5¢ $1 -$2 11-05 16:35
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 08-03 22:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-02 15:10