Pink-Eggnog — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$73

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

20,019 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$293

$61.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 34% -$1,705

Other

11% 40% -$152

Politics

3% 41% +$63

Sports

0% 29% +$63

Tech

0% 45% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+30	$20	60¢	$18	-$2	08-18 13:01
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+10	$4	92¢	$9	+$5	07-27 16:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	+10	$7	84¢	$8	+$1	10-21 11:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+10	$2	12¢	$1	-$1	10-02 15:10
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+250	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-10 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 8	10	$955	622	622	+0	Down	-$35	01-08 16:02
ethereum above 2800 on january 30	18	$679	648	123	+525	No	-$170	01-30 18:51
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	3	$565	300	300	+0	No	+$2	01-14 16:34
bitcoin up or down february 1 7am et	9	$442	425	425	+0	Down	-$5	02-01 12:06
bitcoin up or down january 13 10am et	70	$372	370	353	+17	Up	+$5	01-13 15:33
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	16	$357	419	42	+377	No	-$85	01-30 18:50
bitcoin up or down february 1 6am et	28	$354	332	332	+0	Up	+$0	02-01 11:34
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	50	$342	571	16	+555	Yes	-$32	01-29 15:48
bitcoin up or down january 12 10am et	57	$332	420	420	+0	Up	+$3	01-12 15:47
maduro mugshot released by monday	12	$310	240	240	+0	No	+$7	01-04 01:53
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	18	$310	538	0	+538	No	+$30	01-26 16:06
bitcoin up or down january 13 3am et	58	$309	392	210	+182	Up	+$2	01-13 08:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:30 UTC	156	$304	451	312	+140	Up	-$3	01-03 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:00 UTC	146	$276	307	304	+4	Down	-$2	01-03 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:45 UTC	176	$275	697	464	+233	Down	-$13	01-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 16:45 UTC	138	$248	316	305	+11	Down	+$11	01-03 16:56
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	11	$247	462	158	+304	Yes	-$183	01-28 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 14:45 UTC	125	$245	282	276	+6	Down	+$2	01-03 14:57
bitcoin up or down january 12 11am et	32	$243	238	238	+0	Up	+$8	01-12 16:04
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	2	$220	140	140	+0	No	+$24	01-19 20:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:00 UTC	128	$217	286	275	+10	Down	-$1	01-03 12:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	30	$211	324	72	+252	No	-$16	01-28 16:55
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$210	200	240	-40	Yes	+$78	01-31 22:06
bitcoin up or down january 15 11am et	21	$203	280	140	+140	Up	+$10	01-15 16:42
spx up or down on january 5 2026	3	$202	200	200	+0	Up	+$6	01-04 17:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$2	01-20 01:38
bitcoin up or down january 13 8am et	70	$197	296	102	+194	Down	-$6	01-13 13:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 21	10	$192	226	211	+16	No	+$94	01-21 09:35
bitcoin up or down january 12 9am et	32	$189	327	0	+327	Up	-$4	01-12 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 19:45 UTC	105	$189	226	222	+4	Down	-$7	01-03 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:50:25	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0d538f…
10-31 02:14:45	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x871540…
10-30 13:10:51	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x171852…
10-30 13:10:04	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	58	28¢	$16	0x743292…
10-30 13:09:48	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xb193b7…
10-29 16:53:02	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3b45f1…
10-29 14:42:46	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4bfff2…
10-29 12:04:29	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe8944d…
10-29 12:04:25	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa00ad0…
10-29 12:04:25	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3d6f37…
10-29 07:08:44	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d5643…
10-28 20:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd652f4…
10-28 20:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x53367f…
10-28 20:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcfd817…
10-28 20:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5603be…
10-28 14:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x0c0f82…
10-28 14:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x42304f…
10-28 12:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x093e46…
10-28 12:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3bffa5…
10-28 12:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8ca002…
10-28 11:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7cc733…
10-28 11:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e3410…
10-28 11:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe9b934…
10-28 11:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x07fdcd…
10-28 11:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xed0300…
10-28 11:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xabd8e3…
10-28 11:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xadc46d…
10-28 11:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x3c7abc…
10-28 11:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5eb559…
10-28 11:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0e0862…
10-28 11:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x85e8b5…
10-28 10:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x863c33…
10-28 10:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7a9b03…
10-28 10:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4f68a0…
10-28 10:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xf6f915…
10-28 10:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8bbc1b…
10-28 10:25:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x329019…
10-28 10:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x59967d…
10-28 10:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9cab23…
10-27 22:25:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xa72977…
10-27 22:21:05	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa68c70…
10-27 19:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2b48e0…
10-27 19:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xdcd5b1…
10-27 15:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0a86e3…
10-27 15:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0xb7b263…
10-27 15:38:41	Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xa18dfa…
10-27 15:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x74b19b…
10-27 11:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xc1ee89…
10-27 11:06:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdd04d6…
10-27 11:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4ab717…
10-27 09:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdaf604…
10-27 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x7158f6…
10-27 09:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeaa8e7…
10-27 09:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe830e9…
10-27 09:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3aa61d…
10-27 09:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x18812e…
10-27 09:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2d7a29…
10-27 09:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd82907…
10-27 09:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x124d8b…
10-27 09:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3096f…
10-27 09:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bd4b0…
10-27 08:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9a7c57…
10-27 08:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xef2efc…
10-27 08:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f976e…
10-27 08:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf8fe28…
10-27 08:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf4edec…
10-27 08:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x045a89…
10-27 08:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf64842…
10-27 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb1d57a…
10-27 07:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xae0598…
10-27 07:57:44	Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x2791a7…
10-27 07:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xbe2491…
10-27 07:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3e0308…
10-27 07:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0490b1…
10-27 07:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x223b2a…
10-27 07:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x547447…
10-27 07:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe02386…
10-27 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5b5a47…
10-27 07:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x887301…
10-26 20:33:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x7a23d5…
10-26 20:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9a1928…
10-26 20:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5c86ae…
10-26 20:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbd5101…
10-26 20:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc5b45a…
10-26 20:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5e9e7e…
10-26 20:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb81d59…
10-26 20:23:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb4ac87…
10-26 20:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x152312…
10-26 20:22:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3b842…
10-26 20:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb0ec22…
10-26 20:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57de44…
10-26 20:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7e6ca3…
10-26 19:13:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb20457…
10-26 19:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x490481…
10-26 19:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3df1d0…
10-26 19:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7bed9e…
10-26 19:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd228f2…
10-26 16:18:32	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x265d50…
10-26 13:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc94c0f…
10-26 13:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x6201cc…