Klutzy-Haste — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$308

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-29 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% $-7

Politics

39% 100% +$88

Crypto

3% 50% +$172

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	-80	$-72	88¢	$-70	+$2	06-29 12:09
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+100	$58	68¢	$68	+$11	06-19 08:44
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+300	$64	16¢	$46	$-17	06-19 08:45
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+55	$30	80¢	$44	+$14	06-08 08:35
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+60	$35	58¢	$35	+$0	06-19 08:45
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+30	$19	85¢	$26	+$6	06-08 08:35
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+20	$16	86¢	$17	+$1	06-05 00:40
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	+$0	06-05 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	6	$300	400	300	+100	open	—	05-05 09:28
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	5	$299	465	0	+465	open	—	04-13 10:47
will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	6	$224	37,004	0	+37,004	open	—	04-15 11:06
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$160	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 09:58
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$146	150	0	+150	open	—	02-09 14:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$143	150	0	+150	open	—	03-17 08:53
nothing ever happens khamenei	5	$136	267	0	+267	open	—	02-28 18:59
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	3	$131	200	0	+200	open	—	01-21 12:01
will sophia chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	12	$131	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	03-17 15:18
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$114	27	107	-80	open	—	06-29 12:09
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	5	$109	683	0	+683	open	—	04-06 16:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$109	150	0	+150	open	—	02-28 08:27
Macron out by June 30, 2026?	29	$99	0	100	-100	open	—	06-06 19:30
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	02-09 14:59
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	1	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 08:12
chess mblueb jsinda 2026 04 08 r9 white	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	04-08 12:10
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	5	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 10:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$85	150	0	+150	open	—	02-28 08:21
chess hnakam ywei 2026 04 11 r11 draw	2	$83	130	0	+130	open	—	04-11 11:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$82	117	0	+117	open	—	03-10 22:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 07:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	160	0	+160	open	—	04-13 13:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$76	100	0	+100	open	—	02-09 15:11
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	2	$76	280	0	+280	open	—	03-21 08:15
will benot payan win the marseille mayor election	4	$76	85	5	+80	open	—	03-17 11:02
chess jsinda pr 2026 04 09 r10 white	1	$69	99	0	+99	open	—	04-09 13:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	04-08 18:16
will vaishali r win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	4	$64	169	0	+169	open	—	04-15 15:24
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	2	$64	320	0	+320	open	—	03-20 18:50
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$64	300	0	+300	open	—	06-19 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 12:09:26	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	107	87¢	$93	0xbf8f58…
06-19 08:45:25	Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xbba4d3…
06-19 08:45:10	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	200	20¢	$41	0xdd5421…
06-19 08:44:17	Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xc3ca33…
06-08 08:38:16	Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x5363ae…
06-08 08:35:33	Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xa8f030…
06-08 08:35:19	Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xc3bb39…
06-08 08:35:00	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xce6332…
06-06 19:30:55	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf34655…
06-06 10:10:25	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x174c43…
06-06 03:34:36	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xb8fad9…
06-05 22:31:06	Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbe136b…
06-05 19:28:43	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4b9fce…
06-05 18:47:37	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa9daf9…
06-05 18:44:15	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74a4d5…
06-05 18:42:54	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x73e112…
06-05 17:31:03	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbcde63…
06-05 10:55:19	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0e8052…
06-05 06:06:00	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x98efd8…
06-05 06:04:22	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c0374…
06-05 06:00:46	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1c6976…
06-05 03:54:37	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02e03e…
06-05 03:00:48	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x840a30…
06-05 03:00:43	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d749d…
06-05 01:49:10	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xada5a3…
06-05 00:40:49	Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x367f4d…
06-04 23:55:03	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x32757d…
06-04 23:52:31	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11f9a1…
06-04 20:59:09	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5d846e…
06-04 18:33:46	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe1d510…
06-04 17:52:37	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d3af4…
06-04 17:48:55	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcab96f…
06-04 16:49:39	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe83afa…
06-04 14:50:51	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaff31c…
06-04 13:51:25	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa56607…
06-04 13:39:19	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b69e4…
06-04 13:03:06	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x211716…
06-04 13:02:22	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x371cdc…
06-04 12:58:33	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x76afb3…
05-28 11:33:23	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$24	0x538a00…
05-26 14:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x3b620f…
05-26 14:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcea19d…
05-26 14:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x401293…
05-26 13:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb543c7…
05-26 10:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9dbfd7…
05-26 10:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x32dbd9…
05-26 10:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xda7fe3…
05-26 10:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe384c8…
05-26 10:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x6c6ab3…
05-26 10:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdcc765…
05-26 09:57:28	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x277975…
05-19 13:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4774c7…
05-19 13:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0xca2e64…
05-19 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x272791…
05-19 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x58567f…
05-19 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x6c6b3d…
05-19 13:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbeb26c…
05-19 13:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2d19e6…
05-19 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0x2c9fd8…
05-19 13:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe678e2…
05-19 13:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7074c8…
05-19 13:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x5cb0a0…
05-18 09:58:49	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x94061a…
05-18 09:58:12	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	3¢	$3	0x4e5c21…
05-13 17:55:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x1e600b…
05-13 17:23:51	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x16bfb3…
05-13 17:21:52	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x0d75e4…
05-13 17:18:43	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xba0b2d…
05-13 17:09:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0x61a2f4…
05-05 11:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7cab8e…
05-05 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xda6cfd…
05-05 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x91caae…
05-05 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe2d696…
05-05 11:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0c608c…
05-05 11:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9863c2…
05-05 11:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e01e9…
05-05 11:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ed5e3…
05-05 11:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe68037…
05-05 11:25:14	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xf1813c…
05-05 11:24:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet	Titouan Droguet	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x69666c…
05-05 11:21:46	Istanbul: Danka Kovinic vs Adelina Lachinova	Danka Kovinic	BUY	150	11¢	$16	0x4244f8…
05-05 11:21:30	Istanbul: Danka Kovinic vs Adelina Lachinova	Danka Kovinic	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa6983c…
05-05 11:21:20	Istanbul: Danka Kovinic vs Adelina Lachinova	Danka Kovinic	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xb12764…
05-05 11:18:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Simona Waltert	Simona Waltert	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x43980e…
05-05 09:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5a84da…
05-05 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x609c72…
05-05 09:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa7aff4…
05-05 09:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x55c719…
05-05 09:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x503268…
05-05 09:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7397fd…
05-05 09:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xae1476…
05-05 09:28:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xd13fca…
05-05 09:28:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x53eb67…
04-30 11:19:20	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xf697da…
04-30 10:35:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4bfe44…
04-30 10:25:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	138	21¢	$29	0xfed2b8…
04-30 09:54:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x637c26…
04-15 15:24:08	will vaishali r win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc3c750…
04-15 14:55:10	will bibisara assaubayeva win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x9586ad…
04-15 11:06:44	will aleksandra goryachkina win the 2026 fide womens candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	36,903	1¢	$221	0x5cc13e…