Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,262
Trades
38
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$8,833
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-13 23:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $94 | $94 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $14 | $293 | $279 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $145 | $145 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $65 | $65 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $92 | $92 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $53 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $11 | $210 | $199 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $3 | $94 | $90 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $82 | $82 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-11 16:15 |
| Corrupt-Substance 0x7ec1…e2e3 | No | +72 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-31 12:09 |
| Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | +70 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-11 16:16 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +61 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-11 16:16 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-11 16:16 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 21:06 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 22:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 23:48:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa0320a… |
| 06-13 23:48:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0xa0320a… |
| 06-13 23:48:51 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 38 | 90¢ | $34 | 0xa0320a… |
| 06-11 16:18:00 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x5c4d43… |
| 06-11 16:18:00 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5c4d43… |
| 06-11 16:16:21 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x41de00… |
| 06-11 16:16:21 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x41de00… |
| 06-11 16:16:07 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0xaadf19… |
| 06-11 16:16:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xaadf19… |
| 06-11 16:16:07 | Determined-Mug 0xff4b…d019 | No | BUY | 70 | 91¢ | $64 | 0xaadf19… |
| 06-11 16:16:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 61 | 91¢ | $56 | 0xaadf19… |
| 06-11 16:16:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 160 | 91¢ | $146 | 0xaadf19… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x12a8ba… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x12a8ba… |
| 06-11 16:16:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x12a8ba… |
| 06-11 16:15:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x660fd8… |
| 06-11 16:15:48 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x660fd8… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 401 | 92¢ | $369 | 0x900680… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x900680… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x900680… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x900680… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x900680… |
| 06-11 16:15:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 41 | 92¢ | $38 | 0x900680… |
| 06-09 11:38:37 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xee3009… |
| 06-09 11:38:37 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xee3009… |
| 06-05 22:31:06 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbe136b… |
| 06-05 22:31:06 | Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbe136b… |
| 06-05 21:06:42 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x066df6… |
| 06-05 21:06:42 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x066df6… |
| 06-05 21:05:25 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xd06cc7… |
| 06-05 21:05:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd06cc7… |
| 06-01 06:49:38 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x339cbe… |
| 06-01 06:49:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x339cbe… |
| 05-31 12:09:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1b546e… |
| 05-31 12:09:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1b546e… |
| 05-31 12:09:20 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xd93a3f… |
| 05-31 12:09:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xd93a3f… |
| 05-31 12:09:20 | Corrupt-Substance 0x7ec1…e2e3 | No | BUY | 72 | 89¢ | $64 | 0xd93a3f… |