Determined-Mug 0xff4b1f…bfd019
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$64
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
23
Trades
14,347
lifetime
Volume
$281.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.49K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
72% 72% $-20
Politics
18% 0% $-0
Sports
10% 75% $-44
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +742 $731 98¢ $729 $-3 06-29 12:11
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +567 $531 94¢ $534 +$3 06-27 10:33
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +243 $217 95¢ $230 +$13 06-21 02:59
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +192 $156 82¢ $158 +$2 06-27 03:16
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +160 $144 92¢ $146 +$2 06-15 09:34
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +207 $161 60¢ $125 $-36 06-16 22:18
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +125 $111 94¢ $117 +$6 06-11 16:17
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +96 $89 94¢ $90 +$1 06-09 06:12
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +80 $75 94¢ $76 +$1 06-11 16:10
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +70 $64 93¢ $65 +$1 06-11 16:16
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -70 $-62 88¢ $-61 +$0 06-17 01:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +56 $50 96¢ $53 +$3 06-11 22:51
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +50 $49 99¢ $50 +$0 06-20 23:55
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -32 $-29 92¢ $-29 $-0 06-05 21:03
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 05-28 20:44
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +65 $1 5¢ $4 +$2 06-15 15:53
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-28 20:50
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +145 $3 2¢ $2 $-1 06-11 15:56
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 06-11 16:10
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-17 15:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +16 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-15 08:17
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +0 $-10 78¢ $0 +$10 06-15 11:07
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +0 $-5 91¢ $0 +$5 06-23 05:55
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-2 9¢ $0 +$2 06-26 23:57