Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
13
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$98
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 07-07 08:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
46% 100% +$0
Sports
23% 83% +$0
Other
17% 100% +$0
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 07-05 10:56
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 07-06 14:53
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +24 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 07-05 10:56
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-06 14:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-05 11:00
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-06 14:54
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-05 10:56
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-24 06:32
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-24 06:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-05 10:54
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-26 08:05
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +1 $1 58¢ $1 $0 07-05 10:59