Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$4,097
Trades
183
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$1,657
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-19 17:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.8¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $142
vs crowd: 9% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $59 | $230 | $171 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $108 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $17 | $601 | $584 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $29 | $69 | $40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $32 | $110 | $78 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $15 | $818 | $803 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $139 | $135 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 14 | $42 | $296 | $254 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $57 | $487 | $431 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $35 | $106 | $71 |
| unranked | 11 | $10 | $298 | $288 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +398 | $368 | $368 | 5 | 08-17 16:49 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +200 | $11 | $11 | 10 | 08-17 17:19 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +177 | $27 | $37 | 4 | 08-15 12:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +147 | $19 | $19 | 11 | 06-24 06:31 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-09 17:38 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +119 | $4 | $4 | 5 | 08-17 20:49 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +111 | $11 | $23 | 3 | 08-17 16:47 |
| Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | +109 | $95 | $408 | 5 | 08-19 17:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 6 | 06-12 13:24 |
| Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | +71 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +42 | $1 | $9 | 9 | 08-17 17:19 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +39 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-19 16:10 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-29 19:17 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-17 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-17 19:25 |
| Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-17 19:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-15 12:04 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 11:34 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $1 | $55 | 3 | 08-13 17:13 |
| Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +1 | $-2 | $134 | 4 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 17:47:16 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x892a63… |
| 08-19 17:47:16 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x892a63… |
| 08-18 13:59:31 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xab209a… |
| 08-18 13:59:31 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $50 | 0xab209a… |
| 08-18 11:45:27 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xfccf2b… |
| 08-18 11:45:27 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfccf2b… |
| 08-17 20:49:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1bfca3… |
| 08-17 20:49:40 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x1bfca3… |
| 08-17 20:49:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd15640… |
| 08-17 20:49:07 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd15640… |
| 08-17 19:25:39 | Winged-Weapon 0xd515…2c54 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb600e0… |
| 08-17 19:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb600e0… |
| 08-17 17:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70fca5… |
| 08-17 17:27:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x70fca5… |
| 08-17 17:27:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x73a441… |
| 08-17 17:27:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x73a441… |
| 08-17 17:19:39 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 81 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x41654a… |
| 08-17 17:19:39 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41654a… |
| 08-17 17:19:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41654a… |
| 08-17 17:19:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x41654a… |
| 08-17 16:49:03 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x2194a1… |
| 08-17 16:49:03 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x2194a1… |
| 08-17 16:48:37 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb11474… |
| 08-17 16:48:37 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb11474… |
| 08-17 16:48:37 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 128 | 95¢ | $121 | 0xb11474… |
| 08-17 16:48:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb11474… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 271 | 93¢ | $251 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-17 16:47:57 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4d49d… |
| 08-15 12:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xeeabac… |
| 08-15 12:07:12 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xeeabac… |
| 08-15 12:07:09 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0eabef… |
| 08-15 12:07:09 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 0 | 91¢ | $0 | 0x0eabef… |
| 08-15 12:07:09 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0eabef… |
| 08-15 12:07:09 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $35 | 0x0eabef… |
| 08-15 12:07:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x4e7736… |
| 08-15 12:07:04 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x4e7736… |
| 08-15 12:04:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x32fa31… |
| 08-15 12:04:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x32fa31… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $37 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $37 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-15 12:04:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x1bc412… |
| 08-13 17:13:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x347751… |
| 08-13 17:13:28 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x347751… |
| 08-05 09:30:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1e033b… |
| 08-05 09:30:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1e033b… |
| 07-15 16:24:26 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xbbdbe5… |
| 07-15 16:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbbdbe5… |
| 07-07 18:53:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x706225… |
| 07-07 18:53:53 | Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x706225… |
| 07-05 02:42:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xac0df2… |
| 07-05 02:42:17 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 32 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xac0df2… |
| 07-04 11:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe15419… |
| 07-04 11:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe15419… |
| 07-01 09:17:41 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd61756… |
| 07-01 09:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd61756… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 201 | 91¢ | $183 | 0x10bb67… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 210 | 91¢ | $190 | 0x10bb67… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x10bb67… |
| 06-29 19:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x37ba6f… |
| 06-29 19:18:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x37ba6f… |
| 06-29 19:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe15cf5… |
| 06-29 19:17:17 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xe15cf5… |
| 06-25 12:58:38 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x78f2dd… |
| 06-25 12:58:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x78f2dd… |
| 06-25 12:58:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd894e1… |
| 06-25 12:58:23 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd894e1… |
| 06-24 06:31:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa35329… |
| 06-24 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa35329… |
| 06-23 08:57:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf7ad4d… |
| 06-23 08:57:35 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf7ad4d… |
| 06-22 23:10:14 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x17df32… |
| 06-22 23:10:14 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x17df32… |
| 06-22 23:09:08 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x073138… |
| 06-22 23:09:08 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x073138… |
| 06-21 20:30:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe83680… |
| 06-21 20:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe83680… |
| 06-19 16:10:05 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x183689… |
| 06-19 16:10:05 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x183689… |
| 06-16 23:02:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe92598… |
| 06-16 23:02:07 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xe92598… |
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $26 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x62ac63… |