Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$3,288
Trades
127
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$1,657
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-07 18:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+13.4¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $142
vs crowd: 9% YES on $1.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $32 | $134 | $103 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $109 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $10 | $285 | $275 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $19 | $49 | $30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $32 | $110 | $78 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $808 | $808 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $128 | $124 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 9 | $27 | $203 | $176 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $53 | $310 | $257 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $28 | $106 | $78 |
| unranked | 9 | $9 | $29 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +217 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +210 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 07-01 09:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +147 | $19 | $19 | 11 | 06-24 06:31 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-09 17:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 6 | 06-12 13:24 |
| Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | +71 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +39 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-19 16:10 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 06-29 19:17 |
| Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 08:43 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 11:58 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 11:34 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $6 | 5 | 07-07 18:53 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 06:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 09:17 |
| Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +1 | $-2 | $134 | 4 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 18:53:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x706225… |
| 07-07 18:53:53 | Dear-Witch 0x7bc3…513b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x706225… |
| 07-05 02:42:17 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xac0df2… |
| 07-05 02:42:17 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 32 | 95¢ | $31 | 0xac0df2… |
| 07-04 11:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe15419… |
| 07-04 11:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x5ddd…80c6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe15419… |
| 07-01 09:17:41 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd61756… |
| 07-01 09:17:41 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd61756… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x10bb67… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | SELL | 201 | 91¢ | $183 | 0x10bb67… |
| 07-01 09:17:28 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 210 | 91¢ | $190 | 0x10bb67… |
| 06-29 19:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x37ba6f… |
| 06-29 19:18:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x37ba6f… |
| 06-29 19:17:17 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xe15cf5… |
| 06-29 19:17:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe15cf5… |
| 06-25 12:58:38 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x78f2dd… |
| 06-25 12:58:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x78f2dd… |
| 06-25 12:58:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd894e1… |
| 06-25 12:58:23 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd894e1… |
| 06-24 06:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x91e2…3c51 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa35329… |
| 06-24 06:31:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa35329… |
| 06-23 08:57:35 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf7ad4d… |
| 06-23 08:57:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf7ad4d… |
| 06-22 23:10:14 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x17df32… |
| 06-22 23:10:14 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x17df32… |
| 06-22 23:09:08 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x073138… |
| 06-22 23:09:08 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x073138… |
| 06-21 20:30:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe83680… |
| 06-21 20:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe83680… |
| 06-19 16:10:05 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x183689… |
| 06-19 16:10:05 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x183689… |
| 06-16 23:02:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe92598… |
| 06-16 23:02:07 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xe92598… |
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $26 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 07:37:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x3fbaf6… |
| 06-12 07:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x65b8…037f | No | SELL | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x3fbaf6… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | (anonymous) 0x65b8…037f | No | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 340 | 91¢ | $310 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x63b306… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x63b306… |
| 06-10 13:28:27 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6e9234… |
| 06-10 13:28:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6e9234… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 147 | 92¢ | $134 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 17:43:01 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xcdb996… |
| 06-09 17:43:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xcdb996… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 121 | 91¢ | $110 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 127 | 91¢ | $116 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:34:09 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x74a0cc… |
| 06-09 17:34:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x74a0cc… |
| 06-09 17:33:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x992fa7… |
| 06-09 17:33:55 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x992fa7… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 506 | 88¢ | $446 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 76 | 90¢ | $68 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 121 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 11:38:40 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x67728d… |
| 06-09 11:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x67728d… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 48 | 86¢ | $42 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbf4d6f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xbf4d6f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 68 | 86¢ | $59 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-08 19:27:25 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x171f73… |
| 06-08 19:27:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x171f73… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 157 | 85¢ | $134 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 101 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x331899… |