Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,807
Trades
94
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,657
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 13:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+12.6¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $142
vs crowd: 10% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $32 | $133 | $102 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $91 | $230 | $138 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $19 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $16 | $37 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $32 | $110 | $78 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $808 | $808 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | $94 | $89 |
| Median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 8 | $25 | $192 | $167 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $46 | $119 | $73 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $28 | $106 | $78 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $26 | $19 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +217 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | +200 | $182 | $182 | 1 | 06-12 07:37 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +121 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-09 17:38 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +118 | $16 | $16 | 7 | 06-12 11:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $89 | $89 | 6 | 06-12 13:24 |
| Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | +71 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 08:43 |
| Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-29 08:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 06-12 11:17 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +8 | $7 | $153 | 4 | 06-12 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 07:45 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-08 11:34 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +1 | $-2 | $134 | 4 | 06-09 17:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:25:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x43b688… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:24:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x1d0094… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $26 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 90¢ | $22 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 13:22:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x30db42… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:17:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e2c4b… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 11:16:25 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x62ac63… |
| 06-12 07:37:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x3fbaf6… |
| 06-12 07:37:51 | (anonymous) 0x65b8…037f | No | SELL | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x3fbaf6… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | (anonymous) 0x65b8…037f | No | BUY | 28 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Darling-Graduate 0x2251…25a0 | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-12 07:37:45 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 340 | 91¢ | $310 | 0x49e02f… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x63b306… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 91¢ | $36 | 0x63b306… |
| 06-10 14:33:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa062a6… |
| 06-10 13:28:27 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6e9234… |
| 06-10 13:28:27 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6e9234… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 91¢ | $73 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-10 06:38:04 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x593d71… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 147 | 92¢ | $134 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 19:28:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x247d70… |
| 06-09 17:43:01 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xcdb996… |
| 06-09 17:43:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xcdb996… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 121 | 91¢ | $110 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:38:16 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 127 | 91¢ | $116 | 0x5ed422… |
| 06-09 17:34:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x74a0cc… |
| 06-09 17:34:09 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x74a0cc… |
| 06-09 17:33:55 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x992fa7… |
| 06-09 17:33:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x992fa7… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 76 | 90¢ | $68 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 506 | 88¢ | $446 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 121 | 12¢ | $15 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 17:32:24 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6b83cd… |
| 06-09 11:38:40 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x67728d… |
| 06-09 11:38:40 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x67728d… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 68 | 86¢ | $59 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xbf4d6f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | (anonymous) 0x7a15…df69 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xbf4d6f… |
| 06-09 07:45:57 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 48 | 86¢ | $42 | 0x96c31f… |
| 06-08 19:27:25 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x171f73… |
| 06-08 19:27:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x171f73… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | SELL | 157 | 85¢ | $134 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 15:37:00 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 101 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x331899… |
| 06-08 13:00:52 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x8d30c7… |
| 06-08 13:00:52 | Faint-Lava 0xd60e…3f84 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x8d30c7… |
| 06-08 13:00:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8d30c7… |
| 06-08 11:56:03 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x089041… |
| 06-08 11:56:03 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x089041… |
| 06-08 11:34:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8bc96d… |
| 06-08 11:34:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8bc96d… |
| 06-08 09:52:06 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xa4cbc5… |
| 06-08 09:52:06 | Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xa4cbc5… |
| 06-08 08:44:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1bcd5b… |
| 06-08 08:44:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1bcd5b… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | No | BUY | 414 | 81¢ | $336 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 101 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Quiet-Moth 0x3134…746a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 96 | 18¢ | $17 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x6460f1… |
| 06-08 08:43:19 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x6460f1… |
| 05-29 08:28:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x23bb6a… |
| 05-29 08:28:32 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x23bb6a… |
| 05-28 16:26:50 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x705700… |
| 05-28 16:26:50 | Scared-Eyeglasses 0xe6d4…22da | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x705700… |