Realized P&L
+$133
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
46
Trades
45,156
lifetime
Volume
$78.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$75
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 01:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
58% 17% +$90
Politics
24% 25% +$45
Sports
12% 67% $-2
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 365 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -46 $-21 56¢ $-26 $-5 06-02 18:56
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? No +524 $15 $9 $-6 06-24 23:31
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +150 $11 $9 $-2 06-08 15:40
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -131 $-8 $-8 +$1 06-26 01:10
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes -59 $-5 $-4 +$1 06-23 05:05
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes -72 $-5 $-2 +$2 06-01 10:43
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +23 $3 10¢ $2 $-0 06-25 19:05
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? Yes +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-25 05:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +113 $3 $2 $-1 06-06 17:16
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? Yes +56 $2 $2 $-0 06-01 08:24
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +163 $4 $1 $-3 06-07 11:26
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +182 $2 $1 $-1 06-25 03:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +333 $4 $1 $-3 06-25 15:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +390 $54 $1 $-54 06-09 20:07
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +108 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 07:08
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +514 $14 $1 $-13 06-06 14:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +513 $5 $1 $-5 06-24 20:52
Will Amazon acquire TikTok? Yes +334 $1 $1 $-1 06-24 17:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +323 $7 $0 $-7 06-24 15:29
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +183 $1 $0 $-0 06-22 05:17
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? Yes +169 $1 $0 $-0 06-22 11:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes +332 $2 $0 $-2 06-22 18:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +10 $0 $0 +$0 06-02 19:38
French election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes -20 $1 $-0 $-1 06-24 06:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -148 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-08 14:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? Yes +200 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 04:08
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +93 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 23:09
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes +42 $1 $0 $-1 06-24 15:46
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +42 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 07:39