Realized P&L
+$133
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
46
Trades
45,240
lifetime
Volume
$78.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$69
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
58% 17% +$90
Politics
24% 25% +$45
Sports
12% 67% $-2
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -46 $-21 77¢ $-36 $-15 06-02 18:56
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +176 $14 $7 $-7 07-04 18:19
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -97 $-6 $-6 $-0 07-08 01:53
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +23 $3 28¢ $6 +$4 06-25 19:05
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes -72 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-01 10:43
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? Yes -59 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-23 05:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? Yes +144 $3 $2 $-1 07-04 07:36
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? Yes +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-25 05:13
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? Yes +56 $2 $2 $-1 06-01 08:24
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes +9 $1 $1 $-0 07-10 05:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +10 $0 $1 +$0 07-09 15:25
US defaults on debt by 2027? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 07-07 03:20
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 07-07 03:23
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes +16 $1 $0 $-1 07-08 12:15
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 07-09 00:07
Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +19 $0 $0 $-0 07-08 15:29
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-08 09:52
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +0 $8 $0 $-8 07-08 21:57