Realized P&L
-$2.29K
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
2,843
Trades
51,614
lifetime
Volume
$92.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$247
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-13 16:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
57% 30% -$3,018
Politics
27% 29% -$31
Sports
10% 36% +$643
Tech
6% 36% +$245
Pop-Culture
0% 17% -$55
Crypto
0% 35% -$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -283 -$25 15¢ $-42 -$17 09-26 19:16
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -46 -$21 74¢ $-34 -$13 06-02 18:56
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -466 -$11 4¢ $-18 -$7 09-27 23:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -352 -$9 4¢ $-13 -$3 09-19 07:32
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -742 -$7 2¢ $-11 -$4 09-24 11:30
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +433 $5 2¢ $11 +$6 04-29 22:27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -247 -$14 4¢ $-11 +$3 09-04 20:48
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +194 $15 5¢ $10 -$5 08-24 00:14
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +499 $3 2¢ $10 +$6 07-09 22:55
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +353 $8 2¢ $9 +$1 06-02 13:57
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,250 $22 0¢ $8 -$15 04-28 13:48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +241 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 04-29 08:17
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -492 -$4 1¢ $-6 -$2 09-18 16:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +208 $3 2¢ $5 +$3 04-28 13:43
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +104 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 07-20 06:33
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +382 $2 1¢ $5 +$3 04-29 07:08
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +308 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 07-08 03:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -241 -$8 2¢ $-4 +$4 06-02 12:53
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -311 -$14 1¢ $-4 +$10 08-21 15:45
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -152 -$16 2¢ $-3 +$12 09-22 00:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -393 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$1 08-17 01:42
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +348 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 04-30 15:52
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,143 $15 0¢ $3 -$12 04-28 13:48
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes -9 -$1 31¢ $-3 -$2 05-03 06:02
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -396 -$11 1¢ $-3 +$8 07-10 08:09
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +334 $3 1¢ $3 -$1 04-29 19:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +133 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 06-01 23:09
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +220 $2 1¢ $2 +$1 04-30 00:30
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -110 -$5 2¢ $-2 +$2 04-30 14:10
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +311 $9 1¢ $2 -$7 10-02 17:13