(anonymous) 0x7a15b3…a0df69
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
356
lifetime
Volume
$216
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$43
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-10 00:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
16% — —
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $18 37¢ $18 +$0 06-09 14:23
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +20 $2 15¢ $3 +$1 06-09 14:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 62¢ $2 $-0 06-09 07:34
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +2 $2 85¢ $2 $-0 06-09 14:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 29¢ $1 +$0 06-10 00:39
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 06-09 15:32
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-09 15:54
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:56
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:00
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:48
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 75¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:22
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-09 05:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 53¢ $1 $-0 06-09 13:16
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:13
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:41
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:50
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-09 05:35
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +4 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-09 13:07
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-10 01:02
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +1 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:21
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7 $1 9¢ $1 $-0 06-09 07:45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +1 $1 18¢ $0 $-1 06-10 01:53