(anonymous) 0x7a15b3…a0df69
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,250
lifetime
Volume
$667
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-30 10:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
74% — —
Politics
15% — —
Tech
6% — —
Sports
3% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 58¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 19:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-15 07:53
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 20:32
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -5 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-17 18:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 03:57
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 20:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 $-1 06-10 00:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-0 06-15 13:13
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $-0 06-21 20:33
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 $-0 06-16 14:20
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 9¢ $0 $-0 06-21 20:30
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +0 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-18 02:58