Realized P&L (24h)
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
154
466 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$25
$233 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$51
27 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-10 18:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
18%
Tech
9%
Crypto
5%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $18 38¢ $19 +$1 06-09 14:23
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? No +20 $2 46¢ $9 +$7 06-09 14:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 06-09 07:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:39
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$1 06-09 16:13
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +2 $2 54¢ $1 $-1 06-09 14:23
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-09 14:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 59¢ $1 +$0 06-09 13:16
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 15:32
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-10 13:01
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-09 15:54
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-10 20:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 06-10 11:37
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $-0 06-09 06:48
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-09 05:35
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +13 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 14:24
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes +1 $1 58¢ $1 $-0 06-10 12:17
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-10 01:02
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:50
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 07:45
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-10 02:22
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-09 13:07
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:41
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +0 $0 40¢ $0 $-0 06-10 18:45
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-10 16:35