Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?
open
Total volume
$900
Trades
80
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$182
Latest YES mid
83¢
Latest NO mid
17¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-05-30
last 06-09 19:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $461 | $10 | +$450 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $72 | $32 | +$40 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $77 | $109 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $16 | $100 | $84 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $15 | $2 | +$14 |
| Median | 2 | $26 | $14 | +$12 |
| Below median | 3 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $502 | $4 | +$497 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | — | $11 | $11 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +563 | $60 | $110 | 9 | 06-09 17:28 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | +500 | $445 | $445 | 5 | 06-09 11:24 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | +69 | $50 | $50 | 4 | 06-09 12:16 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +55 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 06-09 16:49 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +50 | $12 | $17 | 4 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +40 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-09 10:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +35 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-01 13:20 |
| Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | +30 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-09 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $5 | $20 | 3 | 06-09 17:16 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | +21 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 06-09 17:28 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 17:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-09 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | +5 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 17:27 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 19:45 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +1 | $-0 | $3 | 4 | 06-07 16:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 19:18:43 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 13 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x142689… |
| 06-09 19:18:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x142689… |
| 06-09 19:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x4ecf03… |
| 06-09 19:18:36 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x4ecf03… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 51 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x95562a… |
| 06-09 17:27:54 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1a00c8… |
| 06-09 17:27:54 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1a00c8… |
| 06-09 17:25:45 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xed12c0… |
| 06-09 17:25:45 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xed12c0… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 51 | 22¢ | $11 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 17:16:37 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | SELL | 112 | 22¢ | $25 | 0x482c18… |
| 06-09 16:49:49 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0xf828f2… |
| 06-09 16:49:49 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xf828f2… |
| 06-09 16:49:33 | Black-And-White-Insert 0x7fa5…7621 | No | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x6cf595… |
| 06-09 16:49:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x6cf595… |
| 06-09 15:36:55 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xa67a31… |
| 06-09 15:36:55 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xa67a31… |
| 06-09 13:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x87853c… |
| 06-09 13:22:00 | Timely-Toothbrush 0x97f7…78e1 | No | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x87853c… |
| 06-09 13:22:00 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x87853c… |
| 06-09 12:16:36 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x3daf25… |
| 06-09 12:16:36 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x3daf25… |
| 06-09 12:13:09 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xa4688f… |
| 06-09 12:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xa4688f… |
| 06-09 11:27:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xd30859… |
| 06-09 11:27:30 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xd30859… |
| 06-09 11:25:04 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xdfe20b… |
| 06-09 11:25:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 39 | 19¢ | $7 | 0xdfe20b… |
| 06-09 11:25:04 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 62 | 20¢ | $12 | 0xdfe20b… |
| 06-09 11:25:04 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xdfe20b… |
| 06-09 11:24:37 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 153 | 11¢ | $17 | 0xf053ed… |
| 06-09 11:24:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf053ed… |
| 06-09 11:24:37 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xf053ed… |
| 06-09 11:24:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xf053ed… |
| 06-09 11:24:37 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | BUY | 61 | 89¢ | $55 | 0xf053ed… |
| 06-09 10:29:31 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x5e9326… |
| 06-09 10:29:31 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5e9326… |
| 06-09 10:29:31 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xd65de7… |
| 06-09 10:29:31 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd65de7… |
| 06-09 10:18:30 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | BUY | 105 | 89¢ | $93 | 0x4ac3a8… |
| 06-09 10:18:30 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 105 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x4ac3a8… |
| 06-09 10:17:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xefdd1f… |
| 06-09 10:17:01 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 314 | 11¢ | $35 | 0xefdd1f… |
| 06-09 10:17:01 | Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | Yes | BUY | 294 | 89¢ | $262 | 0xefdd1f… |
| 06-07 18:16:42 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xa588e8… |
| 06-07 18:16:42 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | SELL | 21 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xa588e8… |
| 06-07 16:35:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x0b3463… |
| 06-07 16:35:12 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x0b3463… |
| 06-07 16:35:12 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0b3463… |
| 06-07 00:14:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x7f81fe… |
| 06-07 00:14:43 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x7f81fe… |
| 06-04 00:54:48 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0c0645… |
| 06-04 00:54:48 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0c0645… |
| 06-03 19:45:37 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf08a8b… |
| 06-03 19:45:37 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf08a8b… |
| 06-03 15:45:30 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8fffdc… |
| 06-03 15:45:30 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 19 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8fffdc… |
| 06-03 11:14:09 | Timely-Toothbrush 0x97f7…78e1 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x472e02… |
| 06-03 11:14:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x472e02… |
| 06-02 09:34:26 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5fdc3f… |
| 06-02 09:34:26 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | No | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x5fdc3f… |
| 06-01 13:20:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x20ae56… |
| 06-01 13:20:43 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x20ae56… |
| 06-01 13:20:26 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 72¢ | $21 | 0x7bbdc5… |
| 06-01 13:20:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 29 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x7bbdc5… |
| 06-01 13:20:21 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0xa6daba… |
| 06-01 13:20:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xa6daba… |
| 05-31 08:59:12 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0xa7d68e… |
| 05-31 08:59:12 | Submissive-Pupa 0x8122…4ced | Yes | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xa7d68e… |
| 05-30 22:22:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x5f3bae… |
| 05-30 22:22:08 | Submissive-Pupa 0x8122…4ced | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x5f3bae… |