Teeming-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$376

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

3,054

Trades

12,335

lifetime

Volume

$514.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$2.54K

21 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-28 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

82% 58% +$41,474

Sports

12% 54% +$5,342

Politics

4% 68% +$605

Tech

2% 53% +$301

Crypto

0% 78% +$82

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+538	$239	88¢	$476	+$237	10-15 19:50
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	+395	$217	86¢	$340	+$123	10-26 15:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+387	$231	84¢	$323	+$92	09-25 19:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+300	$212	84¢	$254	+$42	05-29 14:54
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	+250	$222	88¢	$221	-$1	10-26 18:26
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+410	-$17	48¢	$197	+$214	10-28 18:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+1,694	$371	9¢	$152	-$218	09-29 13:49
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	+163	-$161	87¢	$142	+$303	10-27 06:44
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$126	66¢	$132	+$6	10-21 11:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,927	$182	2¢	$73	-$109	10-07 18:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+538	-$53	12¢	$62	+$116	09-29 05:34
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	+896	$54	4¢	$40	-$13	09-26 21:18
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	+83	$46	45¢	$38	-$8	05-11 08:58
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+181	$30	16¢	$29	-$1	09-19 08:19
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+35	$18	60¢	$21	+$3	05-11 08:59
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+100	$44	15¢	$15	-$29	08-13 18:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+500	$183	2¢	$8	-$175	09-29 13:49
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	+300	$62	2¢	$8	-$54	10-27 21:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	05-07 11:34
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	+1,000	$100	0¢	$5	-$96	10-27 21:57
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+258	$58	1¢	$3	-$55	05-22 11:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	55	$9.1K	7,185	6,158	+1,027	Yes	+$846	05-28 14:30
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	16	$8.4K	8,982	200	+8,782	Yes	+$740	07-18 17:13
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?	33	$5.6K	6,727	0	+6,727	Yes	+$105	08-08 11:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	47	$4.9K	5,179	4,614	+565	No	-$192	06-29 13:10
Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	8	$4.7K	3,002	3,002	+0	No	+$1,195	05-13 09:49
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?	39	$4.6K	6,280	2,399	+3,882	Yes	+$223	08-24 14:08
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	2	$3.8K	2,248	2,248	+0	open	—	08-14 15:24
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	53	$3.6K	3,537	2,806	+731	No	+$616	06-29 10:21
Democratic Senate odds >68% on September 25?	17	$3.1K	1,687	1,666	+21	No	+$142	09-24 21:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	13	$3.1K	1,663	1,655	+8	Yes	+$102	05-17 23:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	11	$3.0K	4,497	534	+3,963	open	—	10-19 14:56
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?	36	$2.9K	2,882	2,304	+578	No	+$444	06-23 07:40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?	15	$2.9K	5,533	80	+5,452	No	+$98	09-22 15:57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	25	$2.8K	3,914	228	+3,687	No	+$711	05-29 14:52
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	16	$2.6K	5,294	1,822	+3,472	open	—	10-25 15:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	4	$2.6K	5,414	811	+4,603	open	—	10-18 07:57
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?	52	$2.3K	3,084	2,807	+278	Yes	+$379	07-14 07:52
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	21	$2.3K	5,493	3,243	+2,250	Yes	-$1	10-04 09:54
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?	19	$2.2K	6,555	620	+5,936	open	—	10-26 18:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	5	$2.2K	4,789	250	+4,539	open	—	10-19 13:54
will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	54	$2.1K	3,110	2,162	+948	Yes	+$122	07-14 10:43
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	32	$2.1K	5,667	81	+5,586	Yes	+$477	08-28 13:04
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	14	$2.0K	4,600	2,000	+2,600	Yes	-$113	08-12 11:14
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	11	$2.0K	4,216	818	+3,398	open	—	10-23 20:18
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	17	$2.0K	3,899	3,108	+791	Yes	+$461	09-12 10:32
Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	5	$1.9K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$959	05-13 09:36
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?	1	$1.9K	2,131	0	+2,131	Yes	+$191	09-28 10:51
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	34	$1.9K	2,923	1,893	+1,030	No	+$132	09-28 14:31
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	44	$1.9K	1,098	1,098	+0	No	+$289	10-01 20:12
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	27	$1.8K	2,435	1,914	+521	Yes	+$703	07-05 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:36:32	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x2da81b…
10-28 21:31:40	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xc1cf5f…
10-28 21:24:56	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,083	33¢	$352	0x1d177c…
10-28 19:36:20	Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x63297b…
10-28 19:36:19	Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8780b7…
10-28 18:57:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	SELL	253	42¢	$107	0x6a006c…
10-28 18:44:17	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	No	BUY	279	16¢	$46	0xf0032e…
10-28 18:43:59	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	SELL	240	28¢	$68	0x7e3f5f…
10-28 07:58:49	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6c2587…
10-28 03:58:56	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x9269f3…
10-28 03:58:56	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5d3025…
10-27 22:44:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x8e07cf…
10-27 22:34:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x677bd1…
10-27 22:20:35	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0x4a21c9…
10-27 22:07:17	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x600a9b…
10-27 22:05:48	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf76dca…
10-27 21:57:17	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	300	21¢	$62	0x7d9fe6…
10-27 21:57:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x1e7729…
10-27 21:54:42	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xfdf70f…
10-27 21:54:41	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	214	35¢	$74	0xd8dc52…
10-27 21:48:47	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x19ef7c…
10-27 21:47:48	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9bd47e…
10-27 21:47:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfcebca…
10-27 21:47:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1,355	30¢	$410	0x412015…
10-27 21:47:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1,580	21¢	$332	0x3158f6…
10-27 21:47:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x23d8c0…
10-27 21:40:12	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x77a0f0…
10-27 21:40:12	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0x1f38df…
10-27 20:58:12	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x0afbea…
10-27 20:57:05	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.2500 on October 28?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa46273…
10-27 20:55:20	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xef07a0…
10-27 19:57:23	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbf1a3a…
10-27 17:32:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xff7172…
10-27 17:32:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x8d35ab…
10-27 17:32:18	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x7fd0cf…
10-27 16:58:44	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xba7c85…
10-27 16:56:09	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x620b07…
10-27 16:53:44	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x7f0303…
10-27 16:53:44	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x458920…
10-27 16:53:42	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2500 and $4.2599 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb9d5db…
10-27 14:57:14	will us gas price be 4pt29 or more on october 28 2026	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x329116…
10-27 14:55:59	will us gas price be 4pt29 or more on october 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd3104d…
10-27 14:55:57	will us gas price be 4pt29 or more on october 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb756f6…
10-27 14:55:57	will us gas price be 4pt29 or more on october 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x961dbd…
10-27 14:29:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xce6fff…
10-27 14:17:21	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	Yes	BUY	514	11¢	$56	0xd0c17e…
10-27 14:17:21	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	1,206	63¢	$762	0xa1bd98…
10-27 14:17:21	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,097	15¢	$165	0x1982e7…
10-27 13:57:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	275	19¢	$53	0x904132…
10-27 13:56:48	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?	No	BUY	805	83¢	$669	0xd8cb37…
10-27 13:56:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf4e18c…
10-27 13:56:14	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,691	14¢	$373	0xc6b063…
10-27 13:54:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	69¢	$208	0x1710eb…
10-27 13:53:29	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1dbd8f…
10-27 13:52:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	350	65¢	$226	0x7e7197…
10-27 13:50:53	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	112	88¢	$98	0x65e714…
10-27 07:36:36	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	65	40¢	$26	0x9fdc8f…
10-27 06:44:32	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	70¢	$114	0xeb0e5c…
10-26 21:14:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x9f89f7…
10-26 21:14:41	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0274a3…
10-26 21:10:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x38e30b…
10-26 21:00:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x16b267…
10-26 19:15:36	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	73¢	$47	0x9a907d…
10-26 18:30:36	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	128	11¢	$14	0x16bdb0…
10-26 18:30:26	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xe59dff…
10-26 18:26:00	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xc39389…
10-26 18:07:21	Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?	Anduril	SELL	133	57¢	$76	0x70c1ff…
10-26 18:04:42	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	57¢	$33	0x22dd31…
10-26 17:57:32	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x348413…
10-26 16:56:45	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc1cb76…
10-26 16:20:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	400	33¢	$132	0x7e509c…
10-26 16:08:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$153	0x35e637…
10-26 15:07:24	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	SELL	395	87¢	$343	0xf7d28f…
10-26 12:19:30	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa2f3cb…
10-26 12:13:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0xc905e4…
10-26 12:11:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	234	9¢	$20	0x3eda7a…
10-26 12:09:47	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	66¢	$37	0xda98af…
10-26 12:09:47	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xc0326e…
10-26 12:07:11	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$17	0x715a06…
10-26 12:05:57	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	10¢	$16	0xf90c97…
10-26 11:49:00	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$85	0xc4110f…
10-25 22:58:06	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	303	29¢	$89	0x13b192…
10-25 22:57:56	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	220	20¢	$43	0xba92c9…
10-25 19:49:30	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xacbb9d…
10-25 19:49:18	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5a3e78…
10-25 19:49:08	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xedac36…
10-25 19:48:57	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa04c01…
10-25 15:52:45	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$153	0xc552b9…
10-25 15:52:45	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	1,889	57¢	$1,068	0x38acc5…
10-25 15:38:56	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	29¢	$102	0x108bdb…
10-25 15:38:09	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	26¢	$107	0x482e7f…
10-25 15:37:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,159	63¢	$732	0x8af178…
10-25 15:37:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	SELL	390	76¢	$296	0x73d319…
10-24 22:45:20	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,056	32¢	$336	0x3d347a…
10-24 22:45:20	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	344	15¢	$50	0x1f8235…
10-24 22:42:20	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	830	39¢	$328	0x6fc0a6…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	226	40¢	$90	0xdaaa27…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa85fe1…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6437a3…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x0f1022…