Teeming-Puppet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

3,044

Trades

12,278

lifetime

Volume

$510.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$2.43K

21 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

82% 58% +$41,714

Sports

13% 54% +$5,342

Politics

4% 68% +$588

Tech

2% 53% +$301

Crypto

0% 78% +$82

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	No	+538	$239	87¢	$471	+$232	10-15 19:50
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	+395	$217	87¢	$342	+$125	10-26 15:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?	No	+663	$90	49¢	$328	+$238	10-19 13:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+300	$212	86¢	$260	+$48	05-29 14:54
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	+250	$222	90¢	$226	+$4	10-26 18:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	+1,694	$371	8¢	$144	-$227	09-29 13:49
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	+163	-$161	80¢	$130	+$291	10-27 06:44
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$126	64¢	$127	+$1	10-21 11:07
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+387	$231	22¢	$87	-$144	09-25 19:58
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,927	$182	3¢	$79	-$103	10-07 18:45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	+538	-$53	13¢	$68	+$121	09-29 05:34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	+83	$46	55¢	$45	-$1	05-11 08:58
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+181	$30	25¢	$45	+$15	09-19 08:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+500	$183	5¢	$24	-$160	09-29 13:49
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+35	$18	49¢	$17	-$1	05-11 08:59
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	+896	$54	2¢	$14	-$39	09-26 21:18
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	+100	$44	9¢	$9	-$35	08-13 18:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	05-07 11:34
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	+289	$146	2¢	$5	-$141	09-15 09:19
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+289	$147	1¢	$4	-$144	09-15 10:29
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+258	$58	1¢	$3	-$55	05-22 11:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	55	$9.1K	7,185	6,158	+1,027	Yes	+$846	05-28 14:30
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	16	$8.4K	8,982	200	+8,782	Yes	+$740	07-18 17:13
Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?	33	$5.6K	6,727	0	+6,727	Yes	+$105	08-08 11:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?	47	$4.9K	5,179	4,614	+565	No	-$192	06-29 13:10
Will Cadillac achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	8	$4.7K	3,002	3,002	+0	No	+$1,195	05-13 09:49
Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?	39	$4.6K	6,280	2,399	+3,882	Yes	+$223	08-24 14:08
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	2	$3.8K	2,248	2,248	+0	open	—	08-14 15:24
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?	53	$3.6K	3,537	2,806	+731	No	+$616	06-29 10:21
Democratic Senate odds >68% on September 25?	17	$3.1K	1,687	1,666	+21	No	+$142	09-24 21:52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?	13	$3.1K	1,663	1,655	+8	Yes	+$102	05-17 23:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?	11	$3.0K	4,497	534	+3,963	open	—	10-19 14:56
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?	36	$2.9K	2,882	2,304	+578	No	+$444	06-23 07:40
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September?	15	$2.9K	5,533	80	+5,452	No	+$98	09-22 15:57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	25	$2.8K	3,914	228	+3,687	No	+$711	05-29 14:52
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	16	$2.6K	5,294	1,822	+3,472	open	—	10-25 15:52
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?	4	$2.6K	5,414	811	+4,603	open	—	10-18 07:57
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?	52	$2.3K	3,084	2,807	+278	Yes	+$379	07-14 07:52
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	21	$2.3K	5,493	3,243	+2,250	Yes	-$1	10-04 09:54
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?	19	$2.2K	6,555	620	+5,936	open	—	10-26 18:07
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	5	$2.2K	4,789	250	+4,539	open	—	10-19 13:54
will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	54	$2.1K	3,110	2,162	+948	Yes	+$122	07-14 10:43
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	32	$2.1K	5,667	81	+5,586	Yes	+$477	08-28 13:04
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	14	$2.0K	4,600	2,000	+2,600	Yes	-$113	08-12 11:14
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	11	$2.0K	4,216	818	+3,398	open	—	10-23 20:18
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	17	$2.0K	3,899	3,108	+791	Yes	+$461	09-12 10:32
Will Aston Martin achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	5	$1.9K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$959	05-13 09:36
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 90 to 101 km/h in September?	1	$1.9K	2,131	0	+2,131	Yes	+$191	09-28 10:51
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	34	$1.9K	2,923	1,893	+1,030	No	+$132	09-28 14:31
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	44	$1.9K	1,098	1,098	+0	No	+$289	10-01 20:12
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	27	$1.8K	2,435	1,914	+521	Yes	+$703	07-05 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:36:36	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	65	40¢	$26	0x9fdc8f…
10-27 06:44:32	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	70¢	$114	0xeb0e5c…
10-26 21:14:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x9f89f7…
10-26 21:14:41	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0274a3…
10-26 21:10:59	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x38e30b…
10-26 21:00:39	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x16b267…
10-26 19:15:36	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	73¢	$47	0x9a907d…
10-26 18:30:36	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	128	11¢	$14	0x16bdb0…
10-26 18:30:26	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xe59dff…
10-26 18:26:00	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xc39389…
10-26 18:07:21	Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?	Anduril	SELL	133	57¢	$76	0x70c1ff…
10-26 18:04:42	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	57¢	$33	0x22dd31…
10-26 17:57:32	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x348413…
10-26 16:56:45	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc1cb76…
10-26 16:20:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	400	33¢	$132	0x7e509c…
10-26 16:08:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$153	0x35e637…
10-26 15:07:24	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	SELL	395	87¢	$343	0xf7d28f…
10-26 12:19:30	Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xa2f3cb…
10-26 12:13:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0xc905e4…
10-26 12:11:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	234	9¢	$20	0x3eda7a…
10-26 12:09:47	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	66¢	$37	0xda98af…
10-26 12:09:47	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xc0326e…
10-26 12:07:11	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	25¢	$17	0x715a06…
10-26 12:05:57	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	10¢	$16	0xf90c97…
10-26 11:49:00	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$85	0xc4110f…
10-25 22:58:06	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	303	29¢	$89	0x13b192…
10-25 22:57:56	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	220	20¢	$43	0xba92c9…
10-25 19:49:30	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xacbb9d…
10-25 19:49:18	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5a3e78…
10-25 19:49:08	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xedac36…
10-25 19:48:57	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa04c01…
10-25 15:52:45	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	500	31¢	$153	0xc552b9…
10-25 15:52:45	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	1,889	57¢	$1,068	0x38acc5…
10-25 15:38:56	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	348	29¢	$102	0x108bdb…
10-25 15:38:09	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	417	26¢	$107	0x482e7f…
10-25 15:37:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	1,159	63¢	$732	0x8af178…
10-25 15:37:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?	No	SELL	390	76¢	$296	0x73d319…
10-24 22:45:20	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,056	32¢	$336	0x3d347a…
10-24 22:45:20	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	344	15¢	$50	0x1f8235…
10-24 22:42:20	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	830	39¢	$328	0x6fc0a6…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.90 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	226	40¢	$90	0xdaaa27…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa85fe1…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6437a3…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x0f1022…
10-24 22:42:18	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.30 ft MLLW or more?	No	BUY	212	70¢	$148	0x0c8680…
10-24 17:20:47	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfefcc9…
10-24 16:55:44	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x9f590c…
10-24 16:55:44	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	421	11¢	$48	0x6e8457…
10-24 06:27:56	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	44	47¢	$21	0xa4ff23…
10-23 20:20:18	Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?	No	BUY	337	26¢	$88	0x6d7eb2…
10-23 20:18:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	No	BUY	362	62¢	$226	0x764feb…
10-23 20:18:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	479	51¢	$246	0xe45d3f…
10-23 20:17:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xbbb418…
10-23 20:15:02	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	73¢	$77	0x06b129…
10-23 20:09:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1c7689…
10-23 20:08:00	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	723	64¢	$464	0xd83386…
10-23 19:59:44	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	340	72¢	$244	0x5e161c…
10-23 15:45:06	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	177	72¢	$127	0x3dec12…
10-23 15:44:41	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	84	72¢	$60	0x0550c8…
10-23 12:01:56	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	190	68¢	$130	0xf43a77…
10-23 10:46:23	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	780	38¢	$299	0xf590a3…
10-23 10:45:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd28a4f…
10-23 10:45:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	No	BUY	866	51¢	$438	0x396041…
10-23 10:38:56	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	748	22¢	$163	0x34db35…
10-23 10:38:51	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	24¢	$128	0xe80720…
10-23 10:38:39	Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xee1ca8…
10-23 05:53:50	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?	No	SELL	282	96¢	$270	0x46f11f…
10-22 21:52:09	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x1d0007…
10-22 19:52:03	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5f8af4…
10-22 18:08:15	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa1cffd…
10-22 07:02:11	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?	Yes	BUY	131	47¢	$62	0x99a074…
10-22 06:58:45	Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 20% to 39.99%?	No	BUY	163	66¢	$107	0x6e7a98…
10-22 06:55:05	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	201	15¢	$31	0x1db3c1…
10-22 02:24:02	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	34	28¢	$10	0xc83829…
10-22 02:24:02	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x80d9a7…
10-22 02:21:38	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xaaec3b…
10-22 02:21:38	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x5c9e61…
10-22 02:21:38	will us gas price be between 4pt26 and 4pt27 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x2a40c6…
10-22 02:03:30	will us gas price be between 4pt25 and 4pt26 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xd18db9…
10-22 01:44:23	will us gas price be between 4pt24 and 4pt25 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x1dbb33…
10-22 01:42:30	will us gas price be less than 4pt24 on october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8c8cd4…
10-21 22:50:02	Will Airbnb (ABNB) Q3 gross booking value be above $26.6B?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc9b453…
10-21 21:25:09	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xea71db…
10-21 21:25:09	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xe2b183…
10-21 21:22:26	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x836248…
10-21 21:22:26	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6391a7…
10-21 21:22:26	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be below 3.00 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3086a3…
10-21 21:20:51	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9778ac…
10-21 21:20:24	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	BUY	102	26¢	$26	0xc20faa…
10-21 21:20:15	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?	Yes	BUY	486	29¢	$141	0xb9ebdc…
10-21 21:20:15	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30?	No	BUY	909	61¢	$552	0x855c6a…
10-21 17:34:15	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xb0eea1…
10-21 17:03:59	Major company hacked via PHP flaw by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x744ef5…
10-21 16:55:50	major company hacked via php flaw by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xba3ab5…
10-21 16:54:50	major company hacked via php flaw by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf8b210…
10-21 16:54:23	major company hacked via php flaw by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xa2b03d…
10-21 16:53:57	major company hacked via php flaw by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,467	53¢	$771	0x9bf204…
10-21 16:53:57	Major company hacked via PHP flaw by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,260	56¢	$705	0x7522a8…
10-21 13:32:47	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xfe64be…
10-21 13:14:26	Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe670f2…