x26 0x5b9115…222709
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.50K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
477
Trades
4,428
lifetime
Volume
$840.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$50.3K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
82% 80% +$5,319
Politics
13% 70% +$3,903
Tech
3% 65% -$46
Sports
1% 60% -$2,112
Crypto
0% 50% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +23,157 $19,723 94¢ $21.7K +$1,929 10-25 23:33
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6,500 $3,943 71¢ $4.6K +$672 10-18 16:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,600 $3,894 94¢ $4.3K +$407 07-12 22:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,500 $3,920 94¢ $4.3K +$332 09-07 23:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +5,216 $3,115 72¢ $3.7K +$615 10-29 12:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,000 $2,185 70¢ $3.5K +$1,290 10-29 10:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,639 82¢ $1.6K +$11 09-20 05:48
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,184 $780 85¢ $1.0K +$222 10-05 13:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,000 -$570 97¢ $-970 -$400 06-11 10:26
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,368 $1,033 60¢ $828 -$206 09-22 08:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +773 $606 98¢ $762 +$156 10-02 13:00
Brex IPO before 2027? No -684 -$677 99¢ $-678 -$1 09-30 19:52
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -448 -$242 94¢ $-422 -$180 06-10 18:59
Discord IPO before 2027? No -400 -$172 94¢ $-375 -$203 05-29 09:05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +400 $280 78¢ $310 +$30 10-02 12:51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +250 $215 92¢ $230 +$15 10-01 23:35
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +2,194 $1,720 10¢ $208 -$1,511 07-21 20:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +3,000 $315 6¢ $195 -$120 05-13 01:16
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -200 -$134 97¢ $-193 -$59 06-23 21:53
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +718 $237 15¢ $108 -$129 09-29 19:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$7 05-08 10:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $84 96¢ $96 +$12 04-29 06:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +200 $36 18¢ $37 +$1 10-02 10:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,481 $105 1¢ $24 -$81 10-26 13:51
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +200 $35 10¢ $20 -$15 10-28 06:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +14 -$471 90¢ $13 +$483 10-29 17:40
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,755 $574 0¢ $8 -$566 09-29 19:23
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -43 $203 10¢ $-4 -$208 05-26 09:54