Realized P&L
+$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$751
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved
25
Trades
2,444
lifetime
Volume
$381.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$156
Open exposure
$5.83K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 20:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
90% 96% +$1,427
Politics
5% 100% +$57
Tech
5%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,600 $1,374 86¢ $1.4K +$10 07-12 22:40
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +2,194 $1,720 53¢ $1.2K $-557 07-21 20:43
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? Yes +986 $859 97¢ $956 +$98 07-10 09:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,000 $-570 82¢ $-825 $-255 06-11 10:26
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -400 $-397 100¢ $-399 $-2 06-07 14:07
Canva IPO before 2027? No -350 $-322 96¢ $-334 $-12 07-04 11:57
Revolut IPO before 2027? No +229 $203 94¢ $216 +$13 06-03 10:34
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -197 $-132 92¢ $-182 $-49 06-23 21:53
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -200 $-93 50¢ $-100 $-7 07-08 22:19
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? No +100 $90 94¢ $94 +$4 06-16 10:48
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes +93 $84 98¢ $91 +$7 07-10 09:24
US recession by end of 2026? No +70 $57 88¢ $62 +$5 06-13 05:05
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? Yes -17 $-15 89¢ $-15 $-0 07-13 09:46
Discord IPO before 2027? No -17 $-7 68¢ $-12 $-4 05-29 09:05