x26 0x5b9115…222709
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.90K
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
478
Trades
4,444
lifetime
Volume
$854.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$50.8K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 23:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
82% 80% +$5,367
Politics
14% 70% +$3,903
Tech
3% 65% -$46
Sports
1% 60% -$2,112
Crypto
0% 50% +$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +23,157 $19,723 94¢ $21.9K +$2,161 10-25 23:33
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +6,500 $3,943 72¢ $4.7K +$770 10-18 16:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +4,600 $3,894 96¢ $4.4K +$499 07-12 22:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,500 $3,920 94¢ $4.3K +$332 09-07 23:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +5,216 $3,115 70¢ $3.6K +$510 10-29 12:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5,000 $2,185 70¢ $3.5K +$1,290 10-29 10:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,639 82¢ $1.6K +$11 09-20 05:48
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,184 $780 95¢ $1.1K +$351 10-05 13:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -1,000 -$570 97¢ $-970 -$400 06-11 10:26
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +1,368 $1,033 59¢ $807 -$226 09-22 08:32
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +773 $606 99¢ $765 +$159 10-02 13:00
Brex IPO before 2027? No -684 -$677 99¢ $-677 $0 09-30 19:52
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -448 -$242 96¢ $-430 -$188 06-10 18:59
Discord IPO before 2027? No -400 -$172 94¢ $-375 -$203 05-29 09:05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +400 $280 84¢ $336 +$56 10-02 12:51
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +250 $215 92¢ $229 +$14 10-01 23:35
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +2,194 $1,720 10¢ $208 -$1,511 07-21 20:43
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -200 -$134 97¢ $-193 -$59 06-23 21:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +3,000 $315 4¢ $135 -$180 05-13 01:16
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +718 $237 16¢ $115 -$122 09-29 19:28
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +1,000 $110 11¢ $105 -$5 10-31 16:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 05-08 10:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $84 97¢ $97 +$13 04-29 06:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,481 $105 2¢ $38 -$66 10-26 13:51
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,755 $574 1¢ $22 -$552 09-29 19:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +200 $36 9¢ $18 -$18 10-02 10:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +200 $35 8¢ $15 -$20 10-28 06:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +14 -$471 89¢ $12 +$483 10-29 17:40
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -43 $203 8¢ $-3 -$207 05-26 09:54