Stale-Armoire 0xca1f9b…ccd282
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Realized P&L
-$111
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
52
Trades
6,558
lifetime
Volume
$78.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-01 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
50% 57% $-5
Politics
47% 50% $-106
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 403 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -450 $-530 99¢ $-447 +$83 06-20 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +299 $259 86¢ $256 $-4 06-25 16:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -240 $-211 100¢ $-240 $-29 06-10 22:02
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +212 $158 100¢ $212 +$55 06-22 15:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -210 $-195 100¢ $-210 $-14 06-01 03:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -237 $-185 88¢ $-207 $-22 06-25 16:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +310 $157 58¢ $181 +$25 06-27 00:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +120 $105 90¢ $109 +$4 06-07 19:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +125 $88 80¢ $101 +$13 06-24 19:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-97 100¢ $-100 $-3 06-15 19:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 06-10 00:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -90 $-85 100¢ $-90 $-5 06-12 11:28
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +180 $90 49¢ $88 $-2 06-04 18:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +97 $74 90¢ $88 +$14 06-13 00:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +100 $87 86¢ $86 $-1 06-19 19:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +124 $74 70¢ $86 +$12 06-26 15:40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +100 $75 75¢ $75 +$0 06-27 02:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +80 $70 92¢ $73 +$3 05-31 09:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +80 $70 86¢ $69 $-0 07-01 05:55
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +81 $64 80¢ $65 +$1 06-01 20:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -60 $-58 100¢ $-60 $-2 05-29 05:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -60 $155 100¢ $-60 $-215 06-18 16:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +60 $47 98¢ $59 +$12 06-30 16:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +60 $53 91¢ $55 +$2 06-16 17:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No -50 $-53 100¢ $-50 +$3 06-14 22:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -50 $-46 100¢ $-50 $-3 05-29 16:17
Kash Patel out by June 30? No -50 $-50 99¢ $-49 +$1 06-24 00:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +131 $51 36¢ $46 $-5 06-26 11:15
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No -46 $-44 99¢ $-45 $-2 06-22 11:14
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-48 91¢ $-45 +$3 06-08 05:01