Stale-Armoire 0xca1f9b…ccd282
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Realized P&L
-$111
Unrealized P&L
+$324
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
52
Trades
5,284
lifetime
Volume
$57.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
52% 57% $-5
Politics
46% 50% $-106
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 406 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +568 $472 82¢ $468 $-3 06-09 22:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -410 $-496 90¢ $-371 +$125 06-07 18:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -417 $-342 82¢ $-340 +$2 06-09 17:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +400 $233 64¢ $254 +$21 06-10 02:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -210 $-195 94¢ $-196 $-1 06-01 03:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +180 $138 89¢ $160 +$23 06-05 02:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +180 $148 84¢ $151 +$2 06-10 05:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $146 72¢ $143 $-3 06-08 10:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +200 $115 62¢ $125 +$10 06-10 02:47
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +120 $90 100¢ $120 +$30 06-06 16:13
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +136 $118 86¢ $116 $-2 06-03 12:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +120 $102 94¢ $113 +$11 05-30 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -162 $-81 70¢ $-113 $-32 06-09 16:29
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +125 $84 88¢ $110 +$26 06-02 23:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -120 $-99 90¢ $-107 $-8 05-29 19:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +120 $105 88¢ $105 +$0 06-07 19:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +120 $63 80¢ $95 +$33 06-02 20:58
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +180 $90 50¢ $89 $-1 06-04 18:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +100 $86 86¢ $86 +$1 06-10 00:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -90 $-84 92¢ $-83 +$1 06-09 12:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +104 $11 80¢ $83 +$72 06-10 01:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +120 $61 66¢ $79 +$18 06-09 14:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -80 $-80 96¢ $-77 +$3 05-30 14:49
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +80 $70 90¢ $72 +$1 05-31 09:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -110 $-67 62¢ $-68 $-0 06-04 14:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +100 $58 62¢ $62 +$4 06-03 20:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No -60 $-58 98¢ $-59 $-1 05-29 05:46
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +81 $64 71¢ $58 $-6 06-01 20:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +77 $57 72¢ $55 $-2 06-10 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +164 $51 32¢ $53 +$3 06-08 22:50