Stale-Armoire 0xca1f9b…ccd282
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
31
31 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$207
$207 lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$202
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 05:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
84% 50% $-3
Politics
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +31 $25 100¢ $31 +$5 05-08 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +30 $21 72¢ $22 +$1 05-07 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 9? No +20 $17 88¢ $17 +$0 05-07 20:16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $-0 05-08 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 8? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 05-08 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 8? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 05-08 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 9? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 05-07 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 10? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 05-08 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9? No +11 $9 82¢ $9 $-0 05-08 04:09
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 05-08 04:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +10 $8 85¢ $8 +$0 05-08 04:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 05-07 18:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No +10 $8 78¢ $8 $-0 05-08 05:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No +10 $8 72¢ $7 $-0 05-07 19:51
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +10 $7 62¢ $6 $-1 05-07 19:45
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No +10 $6 57¢ $6 +$0 05-08 04:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +10 $4 46¢ $5 +$0 05-07 19:45
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 05-07 19:56
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? No +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$0 05-08 04:48
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22? No +8 $2 22¢ $2 $-0 05-08 04:44
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by May 31, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 05-08 04:45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? No +10 $3 6¢ $1 $-2 05-08 05:14