Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
330
Trades
10,620
lifetime
Volume
$8.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$116
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-31 08:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Other
71% 41% +$31
Politics
19% 32% -$60
Crypto
7% 30% -$15
Tech
3% 38% +$15
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$3
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +65 $17 16¢ $11 -$6 10-21 05:23
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? Yes +178 $28 6¢ $10 -$18 07-25 08:18
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +65 $11 15¢ $10 -$1 09-28 12:26
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +32 $8 22¢ $7 -$1 07-30 14:42
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +15 $6 40¢ $6 +$0 09-15 22:39
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $8 18¢ $5 -$3 10-17 12:21
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $8 4¢ $5 -$3 09-15 21:09
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +36 $5 13¢ $5 $0 09-19 10:57
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $8 4¢ $4 -$4 06-23 00:38
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +10 $3 38¢ $4 +$1 10-30 22:32
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31 Yes +50 $11 8¢ $4 -$7 07-22 20:40
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +25 $4 14¢ $4 -$1 10-21 00:57
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? No +112 $9 3¢ $3 -$5 10-21 04:48
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? Yes +40 $2 8¢ $3 +$2 08-11 14:17
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? Yes +25 $4 11¢ $3 -$1 10-19 01:07
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +48 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 10-14 11:46
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +13 $3 20¢ $2 -$1 09-15 02:19
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 07-12 19:28
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +67 $3 4¢ $2 $0 08-10 15:44
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +25 $3 10¢ $2 -$1 10-26 11:27
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +25 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 10-16 12:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +30 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 09-23 07:14
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +30 $2 7¢ $2 +$0 09-26 06:10
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-07 16:17
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +40 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 10-14 02:56
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +15 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 10-12 04:14
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +12 $2 17¢ $2 $0 09-18 08:55
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +45 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 09-04 13:12
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +36 $7 6¢ $2 -$5 09-19 11:40
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 09-18 06:24