Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
open
Total volume
$234
Trades
19
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$2,754
Latest YES mid
84¢
Latest NO mid
16¢
End date
2027-04-30
First seen
2026-06-02
last 07-03 18:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $40 | $15 | +$25 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| Median | 2 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | — | $18 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x21c9…bddf | Yes | +79 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-02 17:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x07f8…8290 | No | +65 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-30 16:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +16 | $26 | $47 | 3 | 06-30 16:25 |
| Jumpy-Coat 0x37a0…ec34 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 17:02 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 18:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 18:51:46 | Serpentine-Oversight 0x98fc…5382 | No | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf02452… |
| 07-03 18:51:46 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf02452… |
| 07-01 01:06:29 | Radiant-Anarchy 0xfb2e…e2a2 | No | SELL | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x8a5231… |
| 07-01 01:06:29 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x8a5231… |
| 06-30 16:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3015e6… |
| 06-30 16:25:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 57 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x3015e6… |
| 06-30 16:25:17 | (anonymous) 0x07f8…8290 | No | BUY | 65 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x3015e6… |
| 06-17 19:56:28 | (anonymous) 0x32eb…f531 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x6cc9ab… |
| 06-17 19:56:28 | Precious-Physical 0xe8a6…644b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x6cc9ab… |
| 06-17 19:56:28 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x6cc9ab… |
| 06-17 19:56:26 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x9dcd1f… |
| 06-17 19:56:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x9dcd1f… |
| 06-17 19:56:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x9dcd1f… |
| 06-03 17:02:40 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x56dcc2… |
| 06-03 17:02:40 | Jumpy-Coat 0x37a0…ec34 | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x56dcc2… |
| 06-02 17:13:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 66 | 50¢ | $33 | 0x88c621… |
| 06-02 17:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x32eb…f531 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x88c621… |
| 06-02 17:13:26 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 9 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x88c621… |
| 06-02 17:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x21c9…bddf | Yes | BUY | 79 | 50¢ | $40 | 0x88c621… |