Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$364
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
33,732
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$2.98K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 11:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$4
Politics
24%
Crypto
13%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 571 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down +827 $816 93¢ $767 $-48 04-24 17:40
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -730 $-562 86¢ $-627 $-66 07-10 15:40
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up +4,941 $-136 $361 +$497 05-29 19:11
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Down +330 $254 73¢ $241 $-13 07-16 12:49
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +158 $150 95¢ $150 +$0 07-23 20:51
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +137 $118 88¢ $121 +$3 07-15 12:55
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Mayweather +200 $109 56¢ $112 +$3 07-09 22:29
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $72 88¢ $88 +$16 07-01 13:59
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao +198 $76 44¢ $87 +$11 07-20 10:26
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? Yes -101 $-80 84¢ $-85 $-5 07-01 01:06
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +100 $67 68¢ $68 +$1 07-10 15:41
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +70 $62 95¢ $67 +$5 07-23 20:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -280 $-83 22¢ $-62 +$21 06-22 01:18
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +115 $29 32¢ $37 +$8 07-15 04:08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +138 $30 23¢ $32 +$1 07-01 17:05
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +200 $30 11¢ $22 $-7 06-08 21:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -200 $-20 11¢ $-21 $-1 06-22 10:49
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -18 $-17 96¢ $-17 +$0 06-23 11:21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $50 12¢ $12 $-38 07-01 12:54
Canada's population Up or Down this year? Up +16 $4 27¢ $4 +$0 06-18 02:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $26 $2 $-24 07-06 03:48