Jumpy-Coat 0x37a016…fdec34
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$139
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
500
Trades
1,249
lifetime
Volume
$36.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-25 03:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
53% 76% -$152
Politics
32% 76% +$130
Sports
10% 82% +$158
Tech
3% 78% -$3
Crypto
3% 75% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -650 -$562 91¢ $-591 -$28 05-24 09:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -600 -$576 96¢ $-577 -$1 08-23 07:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -300 -$275 89¢ $-268 +$6 08-23 07:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -327 -$265 78¢ $-254 +$11 10-25 03:52
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -100 -$96 97¢ $-97 -$1 08-23 07:17
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -103 -$89 87¢ $-90 -$1 10-24 12:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -650 -$71 9¢ $-59 +$11 08-23 07:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -50 -$42 82¢ $-41 +$1 08-23 07:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -300 -$24 11¢ $-32 -$8 08-23 07:16
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 10-24 12:32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -10 -$10 97¢ $-10 +$0 10-24 12:32
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No -10 -$9 86¢ $-8 +$0 10-24 12:34
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -20 -$9 40¢ $-8 +$1 10-24 12:33
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No -8 -$8 100¢ $-8 $0 10-24 12:45
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -8 -$7 93¢ $-7 $0 10-24 12:44
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No -7 -$7 97¢ $-7 $0 10-24 12:43
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -7 -$6 94¢ $-7 $0 10-24 12:43
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -8 -$6 77¢ $-6 -$1 10-24 12:40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 10-24 12:42
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 10-24 12:41
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 +$0 08-23 07:20
New pandemic in 2026? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 10-24 12:41
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -6 -$6 96¢ $-6 $0 10-24 12:40
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -6 -$5 92¢ $-6 $0 10-24 12:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 10-24 12:38
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 +$0 10-24 12:38
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 +$0 10-24 12:38
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No -5 -$4 88¢ $-4 $0 10-24 12:37
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -5 -$4 87¢ $-4 +$0 10-24 12:37
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? No -5 -$1 26¢ $-1 +$0 10-24 12:36