Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?
open
Total volume
$48
Trades
36
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,027
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-06-06
last 08-13 02:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $23 | $23 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $4 | $7 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $5 | $18 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 5 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +43 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 07-31 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +27 | $2 | $3 | 8 | 08-10 23:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 08-13 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a25…834b | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-16 16:48 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x37a0…ec34 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-06 15:53 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 18:34 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-08 06:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 02:38:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x7b9e23… |
| 08-13 02:38:22 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7b9e23… |
| 08-10 23:11:00 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4a1398… |
| 08-10 23:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4a1398… |
| 08-10 23:11:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x4a1398… |
| 07-31 00:30:41 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xee0f58… |
| 07-31 00:30:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xee0f58… |
| 07-30 16:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa5ffdf… |
| 07-30 16:21:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa5ffdf… |
| 07-30 16:21:35 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3b96f0… |
| 07-30 16:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3b96f0… |
| 07-30 12:07:54 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d2129… |
| 07-30 12:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x5d2129… |
| 07-29 09:27:45 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf8f4f3… |
| 07-29 09:27:45 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf8f4f3… |
| 07-29 09:09:08 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3512ac… |
| 07-29 09:09:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3512ac… |
| 07-29 09:08:35 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x55a4cf… |
| 07-29 09:08:35 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x55a4cf… |
| 07-19 01:22:43 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x68cc4f… |
| 07-19 01:22:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x68cc4f… |
| 07-19 01:22:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x68cc4f… |
| 07-19 01:22:43 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x68cc4f… |
| 07-16 16:48:59 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1b6582… |
| 07-16 16:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1b6582… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x155a48… |
| 07-08 18:34:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x155a48… |
| 06-10 23:30:57 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc02eae… |
| 06-10 23:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc02eae… |
| 06-10 23:30:57 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc02eae… |
| 06-10 23:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x8a25…834b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc02eae… |
| 06-08 06:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x5c26…0b31 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x42ffdd… |
| 06-08 06:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x42ffdd… |
| 06-08 06:51:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x42ffdd… |
| 06-06 15:53:48 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc56958… |
| 06-06 15:53:48 | (anonymous) 0x37a0…ec34 | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0xc56958… |