Realized P&L
-$7.10K
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
13,923
Trades
88,769
lifetime
Volume
$446.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$662
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 10-08 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
91% 46% -$5,503
Crypto
5% 58% -$1,504
Politics
4% 52% +$105
Sports
0% 56% -$85
Tech
0% 50% -$111
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No -50 -$46 86¢ $-43 +$2 10-08 16:47
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -36 -$38 96¢ $-34 +$4 10-08 16:46
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -40 -$32 86¢ $-34 -$2 10-08 16:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -50 -$43 65¢ $-32 +$10 05-04 21:40
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes -36 -$28 80¢ $-29 -$1 05-01 02:15
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 No +30 $22 98¢ $29 +$8 05-05 15:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -30 -$29 97¢ $-29 $0 10-08 16:48
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No -30 -$29 95¢ $-28 +$0 10-08 16:47
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes -38 -$27 76¢ $-28 -$1 10-08 16:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No -30 -$25 92¢ $-28 -$3 10-08 16:48
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No -30 -$26 86¢ $-26 +$0 10-08 16:48
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No -29 -$25 88¢ $-26 -$1 10-08 16:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes -26 -$17 94¢ $-24 -$7 05-08 00:12
Discord IPO before 2027? No -26 -$9 94¢ $-24 -$15 05-05 12:47
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -20 -$13 95¢ $-19 -$6 05-03 22:15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -20 -$17 92¢ $-18 -$1 10-08 16:49
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No -19 -$18 96¢ $-18 $0 10-08 16:49
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -20 -$17 88¢ $-18 -$1 05-04 16:35
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -21 -$17 80¢ $-17 -$1 10-08 16:50
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -20 -$11 85¢ $-17 -$6 04-30 13:24
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -37 -$16 46¢ $-17 -$1 10-08 16:50
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -15 -$11 98¢ $-15 -$3 05-07 21:20
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -15 -$12 97¢ $-15 -$3 05-07 23:04
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$11 96¢ $-14 -$4 05-03 08:06
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No -15 -$14 96¢ $-14 -$1 05-23 08:36
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 -$4 90¢ $-14 -$9 05-05 07:02
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$12 90¢ $-13 -$2 05-18 08:44
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No -20 -$16 62¢ $-12 +$3 05-03 18:57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -15 -$8 81¢ $-12 -$4 05-03 03:53
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +13 $7 91¢ $12 +$5 05-19 09:09