Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$520
Trades
78
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,925
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-05 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $3 | $61 | $58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $1 | $0 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 12 | $4 | $56 | $52 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +236 | $3 | $4 | 15 | 07-09 10:16 |
| Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | +54 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 08-03 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +28 | $0 | $4 | 20 | 08-04 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb18f…a3a7 | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-01 16:59 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-05 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7c1…bcf6 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-05 13:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x68df…3a20 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-03 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6d5…5cee | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 08-04 08:14 |
| Querulous-Boulder 0x8a01…2a0d | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 02:24 |
| Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xf085…a875 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-07 22:20 |
| Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 00:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 08:14 |
| Homely-Fry 0x5fbb…0160 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x77d6…c9aa | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 06:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:56:15 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81630c… |
| 08-05 13:56:15 | (anonymous) 0xe7c1…bcf6 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x81630c… |
| 08-04 08:14:09 | (anonymous) 0xd6d5…5cee | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x9f3f45… |
| 08-04 08:14:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f3f45… |
| 08-04 08:14:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9f3f45… |
| 08-03 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x68df…3a20 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x2608ec… |
| 08-03 11:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2608ec… |
| 08-03 11:08:29 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2608ec… |
| 08-01 16:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xb18f…a3a7 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b22f1… |
| 08-01 16:59:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1b22f1… |
| 07-26 08:21:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfadcb7… |
| 07-26 08:21:21 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfadcb7… |
| 07-24 06:32:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8863e4… |
| 07-24 06:32:18 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 314 | 99¢ | $310 | 0x8863e4… |
| 07-24 06:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8863e4… |
| 07-24 06:32:18 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8863e4… |
| 07-24 06:32:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8863e4… |
| 07-23 17:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x90d6ef… |
| 07-23 17:54:36 | Deadly-Word 0x8ee1…377a | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x90d6ef… |
| 07-18 00:27:36 | Ambitious-Doubter 0x1f17…a918 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x20cc65… |
| 07-18 00:27:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x20cc65… |
| 07-14 06:30:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa28ee4… |
| 07-14 06:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x77d6…c9aa | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa28ee4… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x673721… |
| 07-13 07:35:23 | (anonymous) 0xe47f…5107 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x673721… |
| 07-11 14:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0c0373… |
| 07-11 14:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xaa35…82a1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c0373… |
| 07-09 10:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa4123… |
| 07-09 10:16:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa4123… |
| 07-09 10:15:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f1ecc… |
| 07-09 10:15:05 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f1ecc… |
| 07-09 10:12:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc56b4d… |
| 07-09 10:12:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc56b4d… |
| 07-09 10:11:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbdc31… |
| 07-09 10:11:47 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbdc31… |
| 07-09 09:54:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1d564… |
| 07-09 09:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe1d564… |
| 07-09 09:53:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x353fe5… |
| 07-09 09:53:41 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x353fe5… |
| 07-09 09:51:50 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3f3dd… |
| 07-09 09:51:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3f3dd… |
| 07-09 09:44:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a5b35… |
| 07-09 09:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6a5b35… |
| 07-09 09:43:56 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x744ca5… |
| 07-09 09:43:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x744ca5… |
| 07-07 22:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xf085…a875 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9efdf… |
| 07-07 22:20:59 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc9efdf… |
| 07-07 22:20:29 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92a839… |
| 07-07 22:20:29 | (anonymous) 0xf085…a875 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92a839… |
| 06-29 23:52:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x671054… |
| 06-29 23:52:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x671054… |
| 06-29 12:28:17 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaad2af… |
| 06-29 12:28:17 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaad2af… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3c2…6e30 | No | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 57 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 47 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | Clean-Root 0xce7f…de96 | Yes | SELL | 208 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-26 15:24:43 | (anonymous) 0x6936…496d | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x16bfbb… |
| 06-23 15:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa59c05… |
| 06-23 15:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x1e58…25a3 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa59c05… |
| 06-16 00:29:01 | Nervous-Overload 0x1c4f…2852 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb68834… |
| 06-16 00:29:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb68834… |
| 06-11 07:20:07 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa27a47… |
| 06-11 07:20:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa27a47… |
| 06-11 07:18:00 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x91fceb… |
| 06-11 07:18:00 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x91fceb… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | Flimsy-Lute 0x5849…a99e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 06-10 17:23:06 | Foolhardy-Fiber 0x7d63…aa27 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x25ee7e… |
| 05-31 02:24:15 | Querulous-Boulder 0x8a01…2a0d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x96aaa7… |
| 05-31 02:24:15 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x96aaa7… |
| 05-31 01:40:18 | Querulous-Boulder 0x8a01…2a0d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfd458a… |
| 05-31 01:40:18 | Homely-Fry 0x5fbb…0160 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xfd458a… |