Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
56
Trades
131
lifetime
Volume
$860
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$121
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-11 16:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
45% 52% +$3
Crypto
29% 71% +$2
Politics
21% 58% -$7
Tech
4% 0% $0
Sports
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -18 -$17 98¢ $-17 $0 07-03 09:25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 06-19 01:40
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -12 -$11 95¢ $-11 $0 06-25 12:55
SBF released from custody in 2026? No -10 -$9 98¢ $-9 $0 06-02 11:30
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 99¢ $-8 $0 06-19 01:57
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -8 -$8 98¢ $-8 $0 06-20 23:53
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -8 -$8 98¢ $-8 $0 06-24 14:13
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 97¢ $-8 $0 06-21 05:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -8 -$8 97¢ $-8 $0 06-19 03:10
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -8 -$8 96¢ $-8 $0 08-05 08:13
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No -8 -$8 95¢ $-8 +$0 06-24 17:26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -8 -$8 99¢ $-8 $0 06-21 00:03