Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$742
Trades
36
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$1,278
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-14 19:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $159 | $158 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $133 | $133 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $5 | $351 | $346 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $158 | $158 |
| Median | 2 | — | $100 | $100 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $300 | $300 |
| unranked | 10 | $5 | $85 | $80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-08 00:33 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +281 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 00:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +186 | $1 | $2 | 13 | 06-14 19:36 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +159 | $158 | $158 | 3 | 06-14 19:36 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 23:32 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-28 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6bd5…7f04 | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-06 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-12 02:09 |
| Aggressive-Platter 0x392f…408d | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 20:47 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 08:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 19:36:15 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x73c7b4… |
| 06-14 19:36:15 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $93 | 0x73c7b4… |
| 06-14 14:43:04 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x39d85d… |
| 06-14 14:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39d85d… |
| 06-12 17:29:52 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x1dd2b4… |
| 06-12 17:29:52 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1dd2b4… |
| 06-12 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4efa70… |
| 06-12 02:09:06 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x4efa70… |
| 06-12 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xc39816… |
| 06-12 01:53:12 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc39816… |
| 06-10 09:39:49 | Tasty-Brake 0x3b7d…92e7 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x481bdb… |
| 06-10 09:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x481bdb… |
| 06-10 06:44:18 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x47a328… |
| 06-10 06:44:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47a328… |
| 06-10 06:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdac7de… |
| 06-10 06:43:49 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdac7de… |
| 06-08 08:35:10 | Grouchy-Melatonin-Impediment 0x1e8a…76a8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf3e4ea… |
| 06-08 08:35:10 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf3e4ea… |
| 06-08 00:33:40 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | BUY | 281 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xa47e48… |
| 06-08 00:33:40 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa47e48… |
| 06-08 00:33:40 | Wry-Lumberman 0x0359…a079 | No | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0xa47e48… |
| 06-07 13:32:36 | Grouchy-Melatonin-Impediment 0x1e8a…76a8 | No | SELL | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x746ac4… |
| 06-07 13:32:36 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x746ac4… |
| 06-07 13:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x746ac4… |
| 06-06 20:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x6bd5…7f04 | No | BUY | 34 | 98¢ | $34 | 0x3bf3bf… |
| 06-06 20:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3bf3bf… |
| 06-06 20:58:43 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3bf3bf… |
| 06-06 20:58:43 | Wiry-Kite 0x5ca3…9c4a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3bf3bf… |
| 06-06 20:47:43 | Aggressive-Platter 0x392f…408d | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x5de623… |
| 06-06 20:47:43 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5de623… |
| 06-04 20:13:00 | (anonymous) 0x93a5…d371 | No | SELL | 49 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x4a62ea… |
| 06-04 20:13:00 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x4a62ea… |
| 06-03 13:17:24 | Tasty-Brake 0x3b7d…92e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x927d4b… |
| 06-03 13:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x93a5…d371 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x927d4b… |
| 05-28 23:32:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x408c42… |
| 05-28 23:32:13 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x408c42… |