Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$640

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 09-29 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

53% 59% +$3

Crypto

27% 85% +$3

Politics

16% 80% -$7

Tech

3% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	-10	-$9	98¢	$-9	$0	06-02 11:30
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	-8	-$8	98¢	$-8	$0	07-03 18:53
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	-8	-$8	98¢	$-8	+$0	07-12 15:42
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-8	-$8	100¢	$-8	$0	07-14 19:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-27 12:36
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	4	$28	8	32	-24	No	+$0	03-09 04:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 16:07
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$1	03-19 20:36
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 13:35
tim walz charged by march 31	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-23 03:45
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-23 18:22
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-04 16:08
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-27 15:07
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-20 08:37
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-11 17:45
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-10 15:43
another gta vi trailer released by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-16 10:53
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-16 01:18
will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 11:18
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-12 19:42
will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-26 00:29
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	3	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-18 23:37
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 19:11
will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	2	$12	0	22	-22	Yes	+$0	03-20 23:37
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-12 15:05
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	+$0	03-09 04:48
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	3	$12	0	24	-24	Yes	+$0	03-13 11:36
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$12	0	12	-12	No	$0	06-20 22:17
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$12	0	12	-12	No	$0	06-20 22:16
us strike on colombia by march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	$0	03-30 06:23
will james mendrick win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	1	$12	0	12	-12	No	$0	03-09 16:50
will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	$0	03-30 06:15
will russia join the board of peace	2	$12	0	24	-24	No	$0	03-30 06:27
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	06-19 03:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 00:17:44	Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x027c0c…
07-14 19:34:50	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x43d0a4…
07-12 15:42:13	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x126abb…
07-03 18:53:16	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x993375…
06-25 14:50:50	Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x62c8f6…
06-21 05:20:46	Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6e81ba…
06-20 22:17:29	Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6ed0ce…
06-20 22:16:37	Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x053392…
06-19 03:06:32	Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x4bd592…
06-12 16:05:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xbced6a…
06-11 15:58:40	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2a56cb…
06-11 15:05:19	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0e4dd1…
06-11 13:58:52	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2a444b…
06-11 13:46:37	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x21da87…
06-02 11:30:05	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x52d9dd…
05-19 19:55:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xca4be1…
05-19 19:06:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x913703…
05-16 04:24:09	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x229020…
05-13 11:39:30	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x91cd26…
05-11 08:13:44	Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x63bc79…
05-08 13:35:08	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0276de…
03-30 06:27:48	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xba97b2…
03-30 06:27:18	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x3db9dc…
03-30 06:23:26	us strike on colombia by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x403677…
03-30 06:23:08	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe78395…
03-30 06:15:26	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xfaf9a4…
03-27 15:07:35	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0f31f9…
03-27 12:36:25	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfb9183…
03-27 03:50:55	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x47adb2…
03-26 00:29:51	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x44bf27…
03-26 00:07:05	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcdbf0d…
03-24 08:51:11	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x73262c…
03-23 18:22:33	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x44cd28…
03-23 03:45:31	tim walz charged by march 31	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe63e40…
03-20 23:37:31	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xea1e72…
03-20 08:37:21	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x79ade2…
03-19 20:36:51	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8c626e…
03-18 23:37:03	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x6652b3…
03-18 23:34:39	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbe4bbb…
03-18 07:03:15	will maru reach 1b in q1	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x368e39…
03-17 08:45:37	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5feb3a…
03-17 08:45:23	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9fbdb1…
03-16 14:27:11	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x0f7246…
03-16 10:53:37	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x221fab…
03-16 01:18:57	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb8d935…
03-14 00:51:11	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xc6cbc7…
03-13 11:36:03	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xcd7dba…
03-12 20:18:41	will anthropic have the best ai model for math on march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe8d1f7…
03-12 19:42:17	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7df30e…
03-12 15:05:59	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x124c38…
03-12 08:39:05	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x082f67…
03-11 17:45:27	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x29985c…
03-11 17:06:27	will russia join the board of peace	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x2d49ca…
03-11 15:04:33	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xefa750…
03-10 19:15:03	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xdd604c…
03-10 16:16:21	will john cornyn win the texas republican senate primary by between 0 and 3pt00 116 815	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9ad8c8…
03-10 15:43:41	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x7bb5c6…
03-10 07:44:35	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xf3ca77…
03-10 05:46:59	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xe3d838…
03-10 03:44:43	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x12dbda…
03-09 22:14:27	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6ece01…
03-09 19:11:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x7dd0a4…
03-09 16:50:17	will james mendrick win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xe973af…
03-09 16:50:13	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xe89b33…
03-09 15:49:13	Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xfc0828…
03-09 11:37:19	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x834548…
03-09 11:32:11	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb173e4…
03-09 11:32:01	USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xff5dd1…
03-09 11:18:41	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb01338…
03-09 06:42:57	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xf81e29…
03-09 06:11:51	another gta vi trailer released by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x56630c…
03-09 04:48:47	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x566231…
03-09 04:32:49	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xdf62fd…
03-09 02:35:47	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x652084…
03-09 00:09:39	Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4e208d…
03-08 23:42:29	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xcca958…
03-08 16:45:19	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x93df5f…
03-08 16:24:41	will pure storage pstg be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2ca413…
03-08 14:09:09	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x745c58…
03-08 12:28:17	will sofi technologies sofi be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x7212f2…
03-08 11:04:05	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xe22c4d…
03-08 09:54:25	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x94656d…
03-08 08:13:03	will maru reach 1b in q1	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xda98e3…
03-07 21:35:41	Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$1	0xfc3bce…
03-07 15:01:09	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xc46c7c…
03-07 14:09:17	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x3f1179…
03-07 13:51:37	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x47f4a7…
03-07 11:00:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xc3eb79…
03-07 08:03:23	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x11c402…
03-04 16:08:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdde789…
03-04 16:07:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x2dd512…
03-04 04:04:07	Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x914654…
03-03 19:10:25	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5538a3…
03-03 02:45:43	will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x61e55b…
03-03 01:21:47	ilhan omar federally charged by march 31	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x9a8ec5…
03-02 11:58:53	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd42fd9…
03-02 11:40:39	Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x8006b7…
03-02 11:09:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xef8e16…
03-02 10:30:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x19d7b8…
03-02 10:25:33	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xefe78b…