Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$16,555
Trades
271
Unique wallets
129
Liquidity
$2,766
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-29 09:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $9 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $19 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $5 | $793 | $788 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 83 | $9 | $3.2K | $3.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $18 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $4 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| Median | 21 | $1 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| Below median | 6 | $3 | $35 | $32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $218 | $218 |
| unranked | 75 | $5 | $2.9K | $2.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +2,325 | $2,306 | $2,306 | 2 | 06-05 01:37 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +1,482 | $1,470 | $1,470 | 4 | 06-04 20:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,121 | $2 | $2 | 37 | 06-25 12:27 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1,074 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-06 18:17 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 06-28 12:04 |
| Aggressive-Platter 0x392f…408d | No | +950 | $943 | $943 | 1 | 06-06 20:48 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +837 | $1 | $1 | 26 | 06-28 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0d1…b755 | Yes | +669 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 09:17 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | Yes | +265 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 01:04 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +263 | $-0 | $2 | 4 | 06-29 09:17 |
| Ringed-Ideal 0xfa2a…c1fa | No | +262 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 06-25 02:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a9a…cd1c | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 1 | 06-20 09:11 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 06-25 13:04 |
| Warlike-Fingerling 0x5960…6715 | No | +118 | $118 | $118 | 1 | 06-25 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a31…6d85 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-25 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf44d…7dab | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-25 08:01 |
| Valuable-Load 0x2bee…a9eb | No | +107 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 06-25 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xeb7f…0b47 | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-25 15:41 |
| Limping-Deviance 0xd729…91af | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-25 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7528…f363 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 06:10 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6dcc…e5da | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 15:22 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +65 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xad9f…3313 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-06 13:12 |
| Velvety-Outlaw 0x1ee7…4ea8 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-08 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc59…c39f | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-25 07:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x26e2…8352 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-24 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x43d9…3278 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-23 10:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x242f…d0d5 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-26 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x10d1…d80e | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-23 10:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x46c4…fd17 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-25 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f0…8437 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-25 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c8f…5e41 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-25 08:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xc2d9…bb72 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-24 08:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4696…e764 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-25 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xb18d…9579 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-23 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe243…4fe2 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-24 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x397a…2c25 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-25 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4989…467a | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-24 07:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 09:17:43 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xd92bf9… |
| 06-29 09:17:43 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd92bf9… |
| 06-29 09:17:43 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 648 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd92bf9… |
| 06-29 09:17:43 | (anonymous) 0xe0d1…b755 | Yes | BUY | 669 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd92bf9… |
| 06-28 12:04:52 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 911 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1f01c4… |
| 06-28 12:04:52 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x1f01c4… |
| 06-28 12:04:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f01c4… |
| 06-26 15:09:47 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 153 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e6751… |
| 06-26 15:09:47 | (anonymous) 0xb234…a15a | No | SELL | 153 | 100¢ | $153 | 0x8e6751… |
| 06-26 09:39:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52aee1… |
| 06-26 09:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x3cd8…bd16 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x52aee1… |
| 06-26 09:00:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8372b… |
| 06-26 09:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x0231…017c | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xa8372b… |
| 06-26 08:49:40 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d25fc… |
| 06-26 08:49:40 | (anonymous) 0x242f…d0d5 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x2d25fc… |
| 06-26 08:23:59 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6c22f… |
| 06-26 08:23:59 | Honored-Heroine 0x6a31…2422 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xf6c22f… |
| 06-26 07:47:28 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4cb890… |
| 06-26 07:47:28 | Concerned-Purse 0x840b…396f | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x4cb890… |
| 06-26 06:43:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c1dcf… |
| 06-26 06:43:52 | (anonymous) 0xde18…8652 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x9c1dcf… |
| 06-26 06:29:46 | (anonymous) 0x1d58…cc02 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xdc5fa4… |
| 06-26 06:29:46 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc5fa4… |
| 06-26 06:10:11 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56dddd… |
| 06-26 06:10:11 | (anonymous) 0x7528…f363 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x56dddd… |
| 06-25 21:05:01 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbadf99… |
| 06-25 21:05:01 | Sparkling-First 0xab26…c0fb | No | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $53 | 0xbadf99… |
| 06-25 21:05:01 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbadf99… |
| 06-25 21:05:01 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbadf99… |
| 06-25 20:59:11 | Sparkling-First 0xab26…c0fb | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xce1481… |
| 06-25 20:59:11 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xce1481… |
| 06-25 20:36:46 | Sparkling-First 0xab26…c0fb | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xc41759… |
| 06-25 20:36:46 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc41759… |
| 06-25 20:19:20 | Sparkling-First 0xab26…c0fb | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x20aee6… |
| 06-25 20:19:20 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x20aee6… |
| 06-25 15:41:32 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c2369… |
| 06-25 15:41:32 | (anonymous) 0xeb7f…0b47 | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x6c2369… |
| 06-25 15:37:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63a6fd… |
| 06-25 15:37:50 | Valuable-Load 0x2bee…a9eb | No | BUY | 107 | 100¢ | $107 | 0x63a6fd… |
| 06-25 15:27:26 | (anonymous) 0x4a31…6d85 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x6af8c3… |
| 06-25 15:27:26 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6af8c3… |
| 06-25 15:22:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d1c18… |
| 06-25 15:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x6dcc…e5da | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5d1c18… |
| 06-25 13:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b34…340f | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x3f07f4… |
| 06-25 13:04:08 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f07f4… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x1f23…be6e | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x319624… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x319624… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05e456… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | Empty-Quinoa 0x225a…fcd8 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x3f8de5… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | Internal-Declaration 0x6436…b1b5 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x05e456… |
| 06-25 13:04:05 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f8de5… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ad1c6… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x9670…a492 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x63ba00… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b89…63c6 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9ad1c6… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46637c… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | Repulsive-Effort 0x1a52…5cc8 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x46637c… |
| 06-25 13:04:04 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63ba00… |
| 06-25 13:04:02 | Miniature-Nestling 0x5f85…487b | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xa09c60… |
| 06-25 13:04:02 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa09c60… |
| 06-25 13:04:02 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa09c60… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | Content-Manufacturer 0xf906…5468 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x6bd43e… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | Mealy-Dame 0x6704…4f19 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x78a1a6… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x1c31…1df9 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xb0991f… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0991f… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bd43e… |
| 06-25 13:04:01 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78a1a6… |
| 06-25 13:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x612f…ca8a | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xc8ac6f… |
| 06-25 13:03:58 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8ac6f… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fa0e6… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2d6b21… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fa0e6… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Unlawful-Digestive 0x7dd3…ca95 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x2d6b21… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Probable-Bench 0x13f9…bbfc | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x1fa0e6… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Ironclad-Clogs 0x1eda…bfd2 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xb83d48… |
| 06-25 13:03:55 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb83d48… |
| 06-25 12:27:50 | Warlike-Fingerling 0x5960…6715 | No | BUY | 118 | 100¢ | $118 | 0xd9975c… |
| 06-25 12:27:50 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9975c… |
| 06-25 12:27:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 81 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd9975c… |
| 06-25 12:06:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 101 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41a653… |
| 06-25 12:06:28 | Limping-Deviance 0xd729…91af | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x41a653… |
| 06-25 10:07:05 | (anonymous) 0x46c4…fd17 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x790028… |
| 06-25 10:07:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x790028… |
| 06-25 09:55:34 | (anonymous) 0x5717…2faf | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x1f50f2… |
| 06-25 09:55:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f50f2… |
| 06-25 09:49:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bd778… |
| 06-25 09:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x97f0…8437 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0x2bd778… |
| 06-25 09:46:38 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb86897… |
| 06-25 09:46:38 | (anonymous) 0xe986…83ab | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xb86897… |
| 06-25 09:42:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb4ce4… |
| 06-25 09:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xd79d…d1ee | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xfb4ce4… |
| 06-25 09:29:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55a471… |
| 06-25 09:29:07 | (anonymous) 0xd219…d28a | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x55a471… |
| 06-25 09:19:56 | (anonymous) 0x8eec…c177 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x56e787… |
| 06-25 09:19:56 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56e787… |
| 06-25 09:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x8c5f…38c5 | No | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x1e3d73… |
| 06-25 09:04:41 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e3d73… |
| 06-25 08:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x397a…2c25 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x189fda… |
| 06-25 08:43:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x189fda… |
| 06-25 08:38:46 | (anonymous) 0x4696…e764 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xc76b82… |
| 06-25 08:38:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc76b82… |