Repulsive-Effort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

111

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-31 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

78% 93% -$52

Sports

10% 100% +$2

Politics

7% 67% -$3

Tech

4% 75% -$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	6	$200	120	120	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 16:10
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	2	$180	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 15:18
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	2	$140	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-11 13:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$122	78	78	+0	Yes	$0	05-13 09:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	2	$92	100	100	+0	No	-$68	05-20 04:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	2	$78	78	0	+78	No	+$0	07-01 21:47
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	2	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-30 10:42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	2	$69	40	40	+0	No	-$2	05-25 09:32
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	2	$65	40	40	+0	No	-$1	05-31 16:26
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	20	$63	39	39	+0	No	-$2	05-22 09:22
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$49	49	0	+49	Spurs	+$0	06-09 03:20
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$47	47	0	+47	Cavaliers	+$0	04-30 02:08
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$46	46	0	+46	Thunder	+$0	05-27 03:05
nba orl det 2026 04 22	1	$40	40	0	+40	Pistons	+$0	04-23 01:30
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$40	40	0	+40	Magic	+$0	04-25 19:48
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-07 01:54
will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-18 13:56
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-12 11:07
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	06-23 01:50
nba bos mia 2026 04 01	1	$25	25	0	+25	Celtics	+$0	04-02 01:42
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	1	$25	25	0	+25	Knicks	+$0	04-19 00:34
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	1	$25	25	0	+25	76ers	+$0	04-11 01:43
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	06-27 04:32
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-25 13:04
highest temperature in wellington on february 11 2026 19c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-10 20:34
highest temperature in dallas on january 30 42 43f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-30 18:55
will the night agent season 3 be the top us netflix show this week 842	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-03 19:54
highest temperature in nyc on january 29 26 27f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-29 23:40
highest temperature in chicago on february 24 2026 32 33f	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-24 19:53
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 4 be between 2100000 and 2300000	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-05 13:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:04:30	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd47bc5…
07-27 19:49:04	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x79f02b…
07-18 13:56:22	will solana reach 90 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd4e960…
07-07 01:54:55	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x62f1d9…
07-01 21:47:29	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x9ffe67…
07-01 21:45:47	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5a30cf…
06-27 04:32:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xb0afc4…
06-25 13:04:04	Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x46637c…
06-23 01:50:22	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5a3c11…
06-12 11:07:46	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2fce59…
06-09 03:20:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x839ba6…
05-31 16:26:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xf92d77…
05-30 20:24:59	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xe7c195…
05-30 10:42:05	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xca1ddf…
05-30 02:38:12	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x39c932…
05-29 16:10:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xdb7eaa…
05-29 15:08:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x340429…
05-28 10:23:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x7708f8…
05-28 10:22:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x2469e2…
05-27 03:05:03	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xe1563e…
05-26 23:11:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xbd6704…
05-26 17:08:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x528c4e…
05-25 09:32:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x5ccd53…
05-22 19:58:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xe02c27…
05-22 09:22:54	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0x4dc8be…
05-22 01:14:46	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3b79bb…
05-21 23:54:30	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x19b699…
05-21 23:34:47	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x193f64…
05-21 23:14:41	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3916bf…
05-21 23:04:37	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x0081ec…
05-21 22:24:41	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5b3517…
05-21 21:54:46	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc325cb…
05-21 21:34:49	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x8af54f…
05-21 21:25:03	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf06cf9…
05-21 21:15:02	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x80da28…
05-21 20:14:52	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2155e5…
05-21 20:04:54	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x274328…
05-21 19:44:48	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x28472d…
05-21 19:05:01	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3e4a3e…
05-21 18:44:57	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x0f6807…
05-21 18:14:53	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x666db9…
05-21 18:04:52	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x398119…
05-21 16:44:57	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x6701e1…
05-20 04:59:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x39bd94…
05-13 16:44:58	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x1400a7…
05-13 09:40:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0x2b4e4a…
05-13 02:56:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xe39154…
05-12 18:20:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	81¢	$31	0x410ca9…
05-12 15:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x6f7a4e…
05-12 10:42:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x681697…
05-11 15:18:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x1ac002…
05-11 14:00:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xb83c82…
05-11 13:44:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x07d8e2…
05-11 13:30:32	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xd74cf4…
04-30 02:08:24	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x458afc…
04-25 19:48:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd3d7c3…
04-23 01:30:26	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Pistons	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6daccc…
04-19 00:34:56	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x303021…
04-11 01:43:01	nba phi ind 2026 04 10	76ers	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3af240…
04-02 01:42:53	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Celtics	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x468c32…
03-03 19:55:25	will fall be the top us netflix movie this week	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4385f6…
03-03 19:54:21	will the night agent season 3 be the top us netflix show this week 842	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2d28…
03-02 20:33:57	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 686	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb438fe…
03-02 20:31:07	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x94b549…
03-02 18:02:41	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 6c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9aeece…
03-02 17:53:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 2 2026 36 37f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d668c…
03-02 15:31:01	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 2 2026 35c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd21e7d…
03-02 12:20:27	will wuthering heights third weekend box office be less than 6m	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x885ccb…
03-02 00:00:29	will fall be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeea720…
03-02 00:00:29	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 951	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90b020…
03-02 00:00:29	will robert hanig be the republican nominee for nc 01	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ddf86…
03-02 00:00:27	will the night agent season 3 be the top us netflix show this week 842	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf1217…
03-02 00:00:27	will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week 686	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8e24b3…
03-01 18:19:09	highest temperature in toronto on march 2 2026 neg 6c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9864d2…
03-01 17:06:41	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 2 2026 35c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xecc78b…
03-01 13:35:41	will wuthering heights third weekend box office be less than 6m	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5e08f2…
03-01 12:01:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 2 2026 36 37f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa8f53e…
02-28 17:01:39	will openai have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0705f5…
02-28 16:33:39	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 7 be between 70 and 80	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x73d896…
02-28 11:15:39	will ermal meta win sanremo 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc16cd0…
02-27 17:54:17	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 27 2026 26c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xee596e…
02-27 09:18:47	will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe8e0a…
02-27 03:48:42	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 48forhigher	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xef2954…
02-27 00:01:16	will openai have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8acb05…
02-27 00:01:16	will google have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4670a5…
02-27 00:01:16	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04fd98…
02-27 00:01:14	will ermal meta win sanremo 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb777f…
02-26 17:59:20	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x784f51…
02-26 12:32:50	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 27 2026 26c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xedd45b…
02-26 11:57:54	highest temperature in paris on february 26 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcbb79e…
02-26 11:56:00	highest temperature in london on february 26 2026 12c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c5deb…
02-26 06:53:16	highest temperature in atlanta on february 26 2026 59forbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7936d4…
02-26 05:18:38	highest temperature in london on february 26 2026 12c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x567e9e…
02-25 17:53:20	highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9f47ea…
02-25 17:53:20	highest temperature in paris on february 26 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9f05f2…
02-25 16:31:08	highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 48forhigher	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfb198d…
02-25 12:39:00	highest temperature in atlanta on february 26 2026 59forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff664d…
02-25 09:17:34	highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 11c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbce684…
02-25 06:57:38	highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 11c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x242d9f…
02-25 03:31:38	highest temperature in seoul on february 25 2026 8c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb10cbc…