Taut-Sleet 0x45e153…695934
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$871
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
35,234
lifetime
Volume
$3.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$34.9K
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 07-01 06:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45% — —
Crypto
26% — —
Sports
22% — —
Politics
6% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 2254 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +24,230 $23,379 99¢ $24.0K +$669 07-01 12:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2,959 $2,895 100¢ $3.0K +$61 07-01 12:13
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,713 $1,693 100¢ $1.7K +$18 06-30 02:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +883 $872 100¢ $882 +$10 07-01 10:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +689 $642 100¢ $689 +$47 07-01 06:00
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No +554 $553 100¢ $553 +$0 07-01 00:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +544 $543 100¢ $544 +$1 06-29 12:24
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +526 $506 100¢ $526 +$20 06-29 04:43
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +480 $463 100¢ $480 +$17 07-01 03:02
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +426 $420 99¢ $420 +$1 06-30 02:36
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +413 $412 100¢ $412 +$0 06-29 14:02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +413 $324 82¢ $336 +$12 06-24 06:59
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +255 $237 94¢ $241 +$4 06-30 23:06
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +239 $233 98¢ $236 +$2 07-01 11:54
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +159 $157 100¢ $158 +$1 07-01 11:38
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +110 $108 99¢ $110 +$2 06-30 03:00
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +95 $91 99¢ $94 +$3 06-29 11:22
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$0 06-29 12:03
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +82 $79 100¢ $81 +$3 07-01 09:43
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No +78 $78 100¢ $78 $-0 07-01 09:17
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +75 $74 99¢ $74 +$1 06-29 01:22
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +45 $44 99¢ $45 +$1 07-01 04:49
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +39 $38 100¢ $39 +$0 06-27 10:04
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 $-0 07-01 07:17
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 07-01 11:47
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No +32 $32 92¢ $30 $-2 07-01 08:18
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-01 06:03
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-30 05:11
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-28 18:46