Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.32K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
34,939
lifetime
Volume
$3.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$144.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
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Crypto
26%
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Sports
22%
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Politics
6%
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Tech
0%
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Pop-Culture
0%
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Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk
• peak 2254 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? | No | +29,688 | $29,628 | 100¢ | $29.7K | +$30 | 06-29 05:43 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | +23,033 | $22,189 | 100¢ | $22.9K | +$729 | 06-29 13:18 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | +15,420 | $15,356 | 100¢ | $15.4K | +$49 | 06-27 19:27 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | +10,667 | $10,649 | 100¢ | $10.7K | +$7 | 06-28 03:45 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | +7,984 | $7,967 | 100¢ | $8.0K | +$9 | 06-30 03:08 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | No | +6,164 | $6,131 | 100¢ | $6.2K | +$27 | 06-30 13:12 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | No | +5,442 | $5,430 | 100¢ | $5.4K | +$3 | 06-29 08:44 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | +5,270 | $5,265 | 100¢ | $5.3K | +$0 | 06-27 11:00 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | +5,035 | $5,020 | 100¢ | $5.0K | +$8 | 06-30 05:51 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | +3,789 | $3,752 | 100¢ | $3.8K | +$28 | 06-30 03:49 | |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | +3,678 | $3,674 | 100¢ | $3.7K | +$1 | 06-29 23:16 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | +3,081 | $3,074 | 100¢ | $3.1K | +$4 | 06-29 22:37 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | +3,036 | $2,958 | 100¢ | $3.0K | +$70 | 06-29 13:52 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | +2,802 | $2,738 | 100¢ | $2.8K | +$52 | 06-30 03:28 | |
| Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | +2,272 | $2,269 | 100¢ | $2.3K | +$0 | 06-29 12:18 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | No | +2,138 | $2,117 | 100¢ | $2.1K | +$18 | 06-29 14:03 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | +1,737 | $1,730 | 100¢ | $1.7K | +$4 | 06-29 14:02 | |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | Yes | +1,713 | $1,693 | 100¢ | $1.7K | +$17 | 06-30 02:05 | |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | +1,343 | $1,149 | 100¢ | $1.3K | +$187 | 06-30 02:46 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | +1,281 | $1,276 | 100¢ | $1.3K | +$2 | 06-29 07:24 | |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | No | +1,254 | $1,253 | 100¢ | $1.3K | +$0 | 06-28 02:54 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | +1,175 | $1,173 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$1 | 06-30 02:26 | |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | +1,092 | $1,090 | 100¢ | $1.1K | +$1 | 06-29 07:53 | |
| Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | No | +1,031 | $1,029 | 100¢ | $1.0K | $-1 | 06-29 14:38 | |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | No | +911 | $876 | 99¢ | $902 | +$26 | 06-30 04:20 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | No | +871 | $868 | 100¢ | $868 | +$0 | 06-30 09:15 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | +797 | $787 | 100¢ | $794 | +$8 | 06-28 23:47 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | No | +728 | $727 | 100¢ | $728 | +$1 | 06-29 08:31 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | No | +679 | $632 | 100¢ | $676 | +$45 | 06-30 01:31 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | +645 | $644 | 100¢ | $644 | +$0 | 06-27 15:59 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 284 | $80.8K | 48,107 | 34,979 | +13,128 | open | — | 06-18 00:23 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | 109 | $76.1K | 83,687 | 0 | +83,687 | open | — | 05-27 02:37 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | 205 | $39.4K | 39,312 | 1,441 | +37,871 | open | — | 05-31 12:26 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | 187 | $34.7K | 27,478 | 9,331 | +18,147 | open | — | 06-01 02:30 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 275 | $32.7K | 20,784 | 12,073 | +8,711 | open | — | 05-30 02:10 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev | 81 | $32.5K | 33,464 | 0 | +33,464 | open | — | 05-29 22:49 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic | 136 | $32.4K | 33,933 | 0 | +33,933 | open | — | 05-27 17:35 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | 52 | $31.7K | 34,936 | 0 | +34,936 | open | — | 05-29 15:50 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? | 18 | $29.6K | 29,688 | 0 | +29,688 | open | — | 06-29 05:43 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | 75 | $26.3K | 27,948 | 0 | +27,948 | open | — | 05-22 02:35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? | 49 | $25.6K | 25,621 | 0 | +25,621 | open | — | 05-26 14:33 |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians | 88 | $24.9K | 27,084 | 0 | +27,084 | open | — | 05-20 18:02 |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals | 61 | $23.5K | 24,528 | 0 | +24,528 | open | — | 05-27 17:10 |
| Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert | 114 | $22.6K | 24,616 | 0 | +24,616 | open | — | 05-21 12:56 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | 103 | $22.4K | 24,230 | 0 | +24,230 | open | — | 05-24 05:25 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 61 | $22.3K | 22,621 | 0 | +22,621 | open | — | 05-28 12:14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 256 | $22.2K | 23,033 | 0 | +23,033 | open | — | 06-29 13:18 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann | 24 | $21.0K | 22,902 | 0 | +22,902 | open | — | 05-31 16:57 |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | 76 | $20.5K | 21,132 | 0 | +21,132 | open | — | 05-30 04:27 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur | 56 | $19.9K | 20,077 | 0 | +20,077 | open | — | 05-26 20:36 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | 80 | $19.6K | 20,185 | 0 | +20,185 | open | — | 05-29 21:02 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 89 | $19.3K | 21,216 | 0 | +21,216 | open | — | 05-28 03:47 |
| us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851 | 88 | $19.2K | 16,542 | 2,784 | +13,759 | open | — | 06-18 00:19 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | 28 | $19.0K | 20,251 | 0 | +20,251 | open | — | 05-26 17:19 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | 18 | $18.5K | 19,125 | 0 | +19,125 | open | — | 05-31 17:48 |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | 43 | $16.3K | 16,410 | 0 | +16,410 | open | — | 05-29 06:29 |
| Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar | 154 | $15.5K | 16,856 | 0 | +16,856 | open | — | 05-27 17:41 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 93 | $15.4K | 15,420 | 0 | +15,420 | open | — | 06-27 19:27 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic | 56 | $15.3K | 16,055 | 0 | +16,055 | open | — | 05-27 20:52 |
| Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs | 79 | $15.0K | 16,480 | 0 | +16,480 | open | — | 05-22 21:14 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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