Realized P&L
+$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$675
Hit rate
94.3%
Resolved
321
Trades
841
lifetime
Volume
$156.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$186
Open exposure
$2.61K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-08 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
49% 84% +$656
Politics
38% 90% +$217
Tech
8% 94% +$239
Sports
4% 67% +$281
Crypto
1% 67% -$29
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No -940 -$898 97¢ $-913 -$15 06-16 10:44
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +564 $526 99¢ $558 +$32 06-01 21:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +300 $258 98¢ $293 +$35 05-07 19:12
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +200 $186 99¢ $197 +$11 06-05 02:38
Brex IPO before 2027? No -165 -$163 99¢ $-163 -$1 07-13 11:38
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -128 -$86 90¢ $-115 -$29 06-06 11:42
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -100 -$77 92¢ $-92 -$16 06-08 21:52
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +72 $57 98¢ $71 +$14 05-07 19:32
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +58 $52 98¢ $56 +$4 06-01 22:04
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +50 $44 97¢ $49 +$5 06-04 19:59
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 06-01 21:54
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +34 $31 99¢ $33 +$2 05-02 23:19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +20 $11 98¢ $20 +$8 05-02 23:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +375 $723 2¢ $6 -$716 08-16 03:05
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +30 $7 8¢ $2 -$5 06-08 21:52
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +14 $9 0¢ $0 -$9 05-21 18:55