Blank-Initialize 0x151a4b…8d0ece
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$452
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
678
lifetime
Volume
$133.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$197
Open exposure
$7.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-26 22:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
45% 100% +$79
Politics
42% — —
Tech
7% — —
Sports
4% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026? No +1,482 $1,470 100¢ $1.5K +$9 06-04 20:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +867 $843 100¢ $866 +$23 06-05 20:13
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? No +608 $604 99¢ $603 $-1 06-04 20:11
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No -500 $-483 98¢ $-492 $-9 06-16 10:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +622 $518 77¢ $479 $-39 06-08 21:58
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +400 $394 100¢ $400 +$6 06-12 19:42
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No +383 $381 100¢ $381 $-0 06-17 16:25
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +364 $341 96¢ $348 +$7 06-01 21:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +300 $276 100¢ $299 +$23 06-01 21:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,074 $793 26¢ $274 $-519 06-25 20:32
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +200 $197 100¢ $200 +$3 06-08 21:54
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 $-0 06-05 02:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +170 $148 100¢ $169 +$21 06-18 16:21
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026? No +159 $158 100¢ $159 +$1 06-14 19:36
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026? No -120 $-119 100¢ $-120 $-1 05-31 02:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -139 $-107 81¢ $-112 $-5 06-08 21:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +109 $99 100¢ $109 +$10 06-01 21:54
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +106 $102 100¢ $105 +$3 06-01 21:41
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-05 07:11
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? No +76 $75 99¢ $75 $-0 06-14 14:42
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026? No -67 $-67 99¢ $-66 +$0 06-16 06:06
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +58 $52 92¢ $53 +$1 06-01 22:04
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-50 100¢ $-50 $-0 06-19 00:42
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-1 06-04 19:59
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +40 $35 91¢ $36 +$2 06-01 21:54
Brex IPO before 2027? No -37 $-36 99¢ $-36 +$0 06-26 22:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +50 $26 68¢ $34 +$8 06-14 14:40
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 06-04 20:11
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$0 06-14 14:43
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +30 $12 65¢ $20 +$8 06-06 11:42