Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$693
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
679
lifetime
Volume
$134.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$197
Open exposure
$2.14K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-13 11:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
45% 100% +$79
Politics
42%
Tech
7%
Sports
4%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No -500 $-483 97¢ $-487 $-4 06-16 10:44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +622 $518 66¢ $413 $-104 06-08 21:58
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +364 $341 96¢ $348 +$7 06-01 21:43
Brex IPO before 2027? No -194 $-191 99¢ $-191 +$0 07-13 11:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1,074 $793 18¢ $188 $-605 06-25 20:32
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +200 $186 94¢ $188 +$2 06-05 02:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -139 $-107 83¢ $-116 $-9 06-08 21:52
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +58 $52 94¢ $54 +$1 06-01 22:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +50 $26 99¢ $49 +$23 06-14 14:40
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 06-04 19:59
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 06-01 21:54
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +30 $12 64¢ $19 +$8 06-06 11:42
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +30 $7 17¢ $5 $-2 06-08 21:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +50 $16 $1 $-15 06-10 02:34