Blank-Initialize — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

679

lifetime

Volume

$134.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-13 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$79

Politics

42% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	24	$6.2K	3,569	2,663	+907	open	—	06-11 16:03
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$5.7K	4,996	765	+4,231	open	—	03-21 23:05
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	40	$5.1K	2,994	2,100	+894	open	—	04-26 05:35
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	17	$5.1K	5,067	1,635	+3,432	open	—	06-14 03:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$3.9K	2,268	1,672	+596	open	—	03-01 23:08
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$3.5K	3,519	0	+3,519	open	—	04-15 04:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$3.4K	1,696	1,695	+1	open	—	04-08 06:13
Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$3.1K	3,161	0	+3,161	open	—	04-20 06:03
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	22	$3.0K	2,019	1,000	+1,019	open	—	05-15 04:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	6	$2.7K	2,395	395	+2,000	open	—	04-15 16:10
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$2.5K	2,495	0	+2,495	open	—	04-16 18:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	9	$2.5K	2,505	50	+2,455	No	+$6	05-02 23:05
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	4	$2.3K	2,360	0	+2,360	open	—	02-28 07:25
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	5	$2.2K	2,232	0	+2,232	open	—	04-21 03:35
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	3	$2.2K	2,224	0	+2,224	open	—	04-17 16:59
aapl up or down on april 14 2026	2	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-14 20:11
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	3	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	open	—	03-05 06:51
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	8	$2.0K	2,079	41	+2,038	open	—	05-21 18:49
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-02 17:43
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-28 07:24
cl up or down on march 2 2026	3	$1.9K	982	982	+0	open	—	03-02 17:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	open	—	04-21 22:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$1.7K	1,783	0	+1,783	Yes	+$65	04-24 16:09
will sophie baek get engaged in bridgerton season 4	18	$1.7K	1,608	66	+1,542	open	—	02-26 19:45
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,585	0	+1,585	open	—	05-14 15:35
will iran strike bahrain in march	6	$1.6K	1,210	400	+810	open	—	03-06 07:41
will iran strike uae in march	3	$1.5K	1,023	520	+503	open	—	03-04 01:11
will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-21 03:34
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?	4	$1.5K	1,482	0	+1,482	open	—	06-04 20:12
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$1.5K	1,472	0	+1,472	open	—	04-08 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 11:38:31	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x204d5c…
06-26 22:16:46	Brex IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x262ab0…
06-26 18:04:23	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte3	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xd5a8fe…
06-26 18:03:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals erling haaland gte1	No	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0x4e956d…
06-25 20:32:41	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x44ed1f…
06-25 20:32:35	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x794d12…
06-22 22:52:08	wnba chi conn 2026 06 22	Connecticut Sun	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x67c313…
06-22 22:16:38	wnba chi conn 2026 06 22	Chicago Sky	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x98705b…
06-22 21:14:25	wnba chi conn 2026 06 22	Chicago Sky	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x97c081…
06-22 21:13:46	wnba dal sea 2026 06 22	Seattle Storm	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x59b8e8…
06-22 21:11:04	wnba chi conn 2026 06 22	Chicago Sky	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb28873…
06-22 20:57:11	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7de91f…
06-22 12:29:29	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xe96c09…
06-22 12:29:16	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	477	99¢	$472	0x320c50…
06-20 05:47:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0xa7295f…
06-20 01:53:53	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xfa02bb…
06-20 01:49:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0xd38838…
06-20 01:48:50	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x93f7ed…
06-20 01:48:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x1d9d3d…
06-20 01:48:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2d7e1a…
06-20 01:35:07	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xab3ce5…
06-20 01:31:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	146	95¢	$139	0xe8e415…
06-19 00:42:55	Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf74de9…
06-18 16:21:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x380db4…
06-18 16:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xabbbfa…
06-18 16:16:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xa8d0ad…
06-18 06:25:31	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x261199…
06-17 17:50:32	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	53¢	$25	0x160494…
06-17 16:42:58	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xb36375…
06-17 16:25:56	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaebc21…
06-17 16:25:23	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x972bd0…
06-16 10:44:37	Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xc72891…
06-16 10:44:34	Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0xe465ba…
06-16 06:06:19	Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xb4dff4…
06-15 18:09:22	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62946f…
06-15 13:43:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$293	0x11a7ac…
06-15 13:42:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa4809b…
06-15 13:42:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xaf410e…
06-14 19:45:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x7c8a6e…
06-14 19:36:15	Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$93	0x73c7b4…
06-14 14:43:31	Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x3b7004…
06-14 14:43:15	Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9722e1…
06-14 14:43:04	Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x39d85d…
06-14 14:42:54	Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x87f7fb…
06-14 14:42:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc82bdb…
06-14 14:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xeaba06…
06-14 14:41:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd86b25…
06-14 14:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x2a96d6…
06-14 14:32:51	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0x729bc5…
06-14 14:31:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179	Yes	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x3ee370…
06-14 03:28:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	800	98¢	$784	0x372572…
06-14 03:27:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	1,000	95¢	$950	0x9061ce…
06-14 03:20:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	711	94¢	$669	0xdc0d56…
06-14 03:20:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xdbbb98…
06-14 03:19:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	395	95¢	$375	0x3a3b2d…
06-14 03:19:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	29	95¢	$27	0xa7907f…
06-14 03:19:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x649bce…
06-14 03:19:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	56	95¢	$54	0x130425…
06-14 03:17:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x66e9ac…
06-14 03:16:28	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	317	55¢	$175	0x1a7b2a…
06-14 03:15:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x8cb2cf…
06-14 03:13:31	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	377	65¢	$245	0xbd43f0…
06-14 03:12:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0xbebc15…
06-14 03:10:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	727	57¢	$415	0xe60163…
06-14 03:10:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	727	55¢	$400	0xf84cdd…
06-14 03:09:58	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	213	49¢	$104	0x9ca3c2…
06-14 03:09:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x4aa5c0…
06-12 19:42:40	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$394	0x52a81b…
06-12 19:30:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	275	88¢	$242	0x42d5c8…
06-12 07:03:00	Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x275bef…
06-11 16:03:45	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0xa6b3f6…
06-10 02:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x93cb80…
06-10 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xf282ea…
06-10 02:31:10	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0x870971…
06-09 15:49:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xe0c8f0…
06-09 15:48:49	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x3df052…
06-09 15:48:39	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x1a37eb…
06-09 15:48:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe8d686…
06-08 21:58:13	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x9b776d…
06-08 21:54:40	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x27d937…
06-08 21:52:43	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xbd0827…
06-08 21:52:24	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	139	77¢	$107	0x1d5bec…
06-08 21:50:45	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x4ff68e…
06-08 21:50:12	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	427	75¢	$320	0xe751ad…
06-08 21:50:01	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	359	92¢	$330	0x7c2554…
06-08 21:14:45	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0xd6a7d2…
06-08 21:13:25	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,699	100¢	$1,696	0x59e518…
06-07 01:29:49	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$196	0xed2323…
06-06 11:42:22	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0x6cb6b7…
06-05 20:13:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	429	97¢	$418	0x6a44e9…
06-05 14:04:01	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xf1c248…
06-05 13:00:13	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	321	99¢	$318	0x16cefd…
06-05 11:48:42	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ae15b…
06-05 09:16:58	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x676d50…
06-05 08:25:18	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90469e…
06-05 08:15:58	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xdcb263…
06-05 08:03:27	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf4de79…
06-05 08:01:18	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5a74bc…
06-05 07:55:24	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x6dedfb…
06-05 07:52:57	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x070615…