Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,476
Trades
86
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$701
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-29 17:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $0 | $554 | $553 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $4 | $85 | $81 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $2 | $509 | $508 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $187 | $185 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $547 | $545 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1 | $90 | $89 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $272 | $272 |
| Below median | 9 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $25 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 22 | $2 | $400 | $398 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +551 | $547 | $547 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +448 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 06-26 06:52 |
| Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | +272 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 06-29 17:04 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x44dc…665b | No | +130 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 06-25 15:30 |
| Messy-Screw 0x1a2e…5fec | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 06-26 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaced…7e29 | Yes | +115 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-29 17:04 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +101 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 11:10 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 11:10 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +86 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-25 15:26 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-14 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-12 01:52 |
| Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5f2…6c7e | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-25 15:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eef…2cd9 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-12 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-25 16:53 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 12:35 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:02 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-25 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:02 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 16:04 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-29 12:36 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-29 12:36 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 10:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:04:20 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x6dd39f… |
| 06-29 17:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xaced…7e29 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6dd39f… |
| 06-29 12:36:37 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfa0282… |
| 06-29 12:36:37 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfa0282… |
| 06-27 11:10:38 | Scrawny-Venture 0x5fa4…cd4e | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xa51e21… |
| 06-27 11:10:38 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa51e21… |
| 06-27 11:10:38 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa51e21… |
| 06-26 06:52:35 | Messy-Screw 0x1a2e…5fec | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0xa410cb… |
| 06-26 06:52:35 | (anonymous) 0xaced…7e29 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa410cb… |
| 06-26 06:52:35 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa410cb… |
| 06-25 16:53:35 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b3899… |
| 06-25 16:53:35 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b3899… |
| 06-25 16:53:17 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3510aa… |
| 06-25 16:53:17 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3510aa… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa97643… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:04:59 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a57… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 16:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x063f9a… |
| 06-25 15:30:29 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23cfc0… |
| 06-25 15:30:29 | (anonymous) 0x44dc…665b | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0x23cfc0… |
| 06-25 15:30:29 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23cfc0… |
| 06-25 15:26:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcfdc8… |
| 06-25 15:26:23 | (anonymous) 0xc5f2…6c7e | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xbcfdc8… |
| 06-23 18:28:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74668a… |
| 06-23 18:28:58 | Blond-Discovery 0xa3af…5471 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x74668a… |
| 06-22 19:00:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf758b… |
| 06-22 19:00:01 | Blond-Discovery 0xa3af…5471 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xdf758b… |
| 06-21 07:05:25 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd16969… |
| 06-21 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd16969… |
| 06-21 07:04:35 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7fec57… |
| 06-21 07:04:35 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fec57… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | BUY | 551 | 99¢ | $547 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-15 12:35:58 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ffd5f… |
| 06-15 12:35:58 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ffd5f… |
| 06-14 14:42:54 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x87f7fb… |
| 06-14 14:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x87f7fb… |
| 06-12 11:17:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5728… |
| 06-12 11:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5728… |
| 06-12 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x1eef…2cd9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x8cecbe… |
| 06-12 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cecbe… |
| 06-12 01:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $72 | 0x43ea9c… |
| 06-12 01:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43ea9c… |
| 06-08 10:14:42 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1df146… |
| 06-08 10:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1df146… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 155 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-01 07:31:53 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde4eef… |
| 06-01 07:31:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xde4eef… |
| 05-28 20:13:38 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0xda2718… |
| 05-28 20:13:38 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 68 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda2718… |
| 05-28 18:47:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x935e5f… |
| 05-28 18:47:02 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x935e5f… |
| 05-28 09:05:57 | Friendly-Opponent-Spark 0xfa3f…32e4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x580a47… |
| 05-28 09:05:57 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x580a47… |