Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$919
Trades
37
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$701
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-21 07:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $3 | $632 | $629 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $122 | $122 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | $25 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $547 | $545 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $0 | $85 | $85 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $0 | $25 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $123 | $122 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | +551 | $547 | $547 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +333 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +220 | $1 | $2 | 9 | 06-21 07:05 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-18 01:24 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +76 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 06-14 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-12 01:52 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +54 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-07 02:36 |
| Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-07 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1eef…2cd9 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-12 07:14 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 12:35 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 12:35 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 18:47 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 07:04 |
| Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 10:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 07:05:25 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd16969… |
| 06-21 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd16969… |
| 06-21 07:04:35 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7fec57… |
| 06-21 07:04:35 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fec57… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Vital-Browser 0xe749…f771 | No | BUY | 551 | 99¢ | $547 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-18 01:24:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1ceb29… |
| 06-15 12:35:58 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5ffd5f… |
| 06-15 12:35:58 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ffd5f… |
| 06-14 14:42:54 | Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | BUY | 76 | 99¢ | $75 | 0x87f7fb… |
| 06-14 14:42:54 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x87f7fb… |
| 06-12 11:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5728… |
| 06-12 11:17:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3d5728… |
| 06-12 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x1eef…2cd9 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x8cecbe… |
| 06-12 07:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8cecbe… |
| 06-12 01:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43ea9c… |
| 06-12 01:52:46 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $72 | 0x43ea9c… |
| 06-08 10:14:42 | Distinct-Clan 0xe4be…ae9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1df146… |
| 06-08 10:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1df146… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:33 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | SELL | 155 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe03648… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-07 02:36:22 | Authentic-Flexibility 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x65b70e… |
| 06-01 07:31:53 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xde4eef… |
| 06-01 07:31:53 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde4eef… |
| 05-28 20:13:38 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 68 | 100¢ | $68 | 0xda2718… |
| 05-28 20:13:38 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 68 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda2718… |
| 05-28 18:47:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x935e5f… |
| 05-28 18:47:02 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x935e5f… |
| 05-28 09:05:57 | Friendly-Opponent-Spark 0xfa3f…32e4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x580a47… |
| 05-28 09:05:57 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x580a47… |