Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
184
lifetime
Volume
$82
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$27
17 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 06-30 13:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48%
Politics
32%
Tech
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +767 $1 $7 +$6 06-28 12:05
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? Yes +817 $1 $3 +$2 06-30 13:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +1,412 $1 $3 +$1 06-28 14:30
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Yes +138 $4 $2 $-2 06-27 16:49
Megaquake by June 30? Yes +323 $2 $2 $-0 06-29 08:03
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +115 $0 $1 +$1 06-29 17:04
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? Yes +666 $2 $1 $-1 06-27 08:19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +148 $0 $1 +$1 06-28 23:47
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +86 $2 $1 $-1 06-29 04:21
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes +1,001 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 09:01
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +96 $0 $1 +$1 06-28 21:15
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes +108 $0 $1 +$1 06-28 17:27
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026? Yes +38 $0 $1 +$0 06-28 19:01
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +203 $1 $1 $-1 06-27 00:58
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 $-0 06-27 19:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes +197 $0 $0 $-0 06-30 09:29
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +46 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 02:58